Sustainable Infrastructure and Asset Management
Transcription
Sustainable Infrastructure and Asset Management
Sustainable Infrastructure and Asset Management Kiyoshi KOBAYASHI What is Asset Management? The optimal allocation of the scare budget between the new arrange-ment of infrastructure and rehabilitation/maintenance of the existing infrastructure to maximize the value of the stock of infrastructure and to realize the maximum outcomes for the citizens Asset management Pavement management (highway, runway) Railway management Bridge management Facility management Tunnel management Water supply system management Port facility management Embankment management Slope management River facility/Dam facility management Forest management Dam Facility Management Long-term Sustainable Infrastructure Comprehensive management of sedimentation systems ( environmental change, ecological impacts, riverbed degradation, river morphology change, and coastal erosion ) Large-scale risks ( socio-economic change, volatility in sedimentation, green house effects ) Dam facilities based on renewal duration and management points Renewal duration Short Several yrs Several 10 yrs Facilities Management Others points Reduction of total Improvement of service cost of Inspection, level Maintenance, Technical Innovation Repair and Renewal Long Life Renewal duration will be Reduction of Life expanded by proper Cycle cost countermeasures Mechanical Electrical Architectural Long Several 10 yrs Several 100 yrs Reservoir (Sedimentatio n) Extra long Dam body Occasional Reservoir slope Inspection Land slide Immediate action Earthquake Reduction of Inspection and Maintenance cost Risk assessment No Renewal will be necessary for extra long duration and present value of the renewal can not be evaluated Respond up to certain level during construction period Hierarchical asset management cycles Plan Do Budget allocation benchmarking innovation See Plan R/M strategies See Do Plan R/M activities See Do Probabilistic analysis of reservoir sedimentation 4000 Specific sediment 3 2 yield(m / km / year) 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 1979 1977 1975 1973 1971 1969 0 1967 500 Year KAWAMATA dam (Tone River) Annual record of specific sediment yield can be plotted on log-normal probability paper using Weibull plot. F(xi)=i/(N+1) Non-exceeding probability F(%) 99.9 4500 99 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 1 0.1 0.01 1 10 102 103 104 105 Specific sediment yield (m3/km2/year) Expected gross storage capacity change without sedimentation management 3 Capacity(100million )m 350 300 250 200 Total storage capacity Total sedimentation Existing storage capacity Without new dams Sedimentation rate 0.24%/ yr 150 100 50 0 1900 Year 1950 2000 Japan 2050 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1900 Capacity(100millionm3) All new proposal and under construction projects included 2100 Total st orage capacit y Total sedimentation Without new dams Sedimentation rate 0.42%/yr Year 1950 2000 2050 Chubu Region 2100 Reservoir sedimentation in Sakuma dam J-Power (EPDC) 1956 Power generation Gravity concrete Height=155.5 m 320 平岡ダム 300 新豊根発電所放水口 280 201yr 260 101yr クレスト敷高 EL246.5m 240 豊川用水 取水口 220 200 佐久間ダム建設前の河床高 昭和55年度最深河床高 0 5 10 180 予備放流水位 常時満水位 堆砂101年後 堆砂201年後 建設前河床勾配の1/ 2勾配で堆砂(泰阜ダムの実績値) 建設前河床勾配の1/ 3.2勾配で堆砂(平岡ダムの実績値) 平岡地区護岸高 天竜中学校構内 平岡PS放水位 佐久間発電所 取水口 15 20 ダムからの距離(km) 25 30 160 140 120 100 35 標高(ELm) Future estimation of reservoir sedimentation in Sakuma dam Sedimentation management dams in Japan Classification Reducing sediment flowing into reservoirs Place Reduction of sediment production by hillside and valley works Regulation of reservoirs and sediment by erosion control dams and slit dams Reduction of discharged sediment and river course stabilization by channel works End of reservoirs Sediment check dam End of reservoirs Sediment bypass Asahi Dam, Miwa Dam, Koshibu Dam, Matsukawa Dam, Yokoyama Dam Sediment sluicing Sabaishigawa Dam Dashidaira Dam-Unazuki Dam (Coordinated sluicing ) Inside reservoirs Density current venting Sediment flushing Examples in Japan Upstream reservoirs Sediment routing Sediment management Details of sediment control measures Inside reservoirs Regurally excavating and recycling for aggregate or sediment supply to downstream river Sabo area, Changing from sediment check dams to sediment control dams (slit dams) Miwa Dam, Koshibu Dam, Nagashima Dam, Matsukawa Dam, Yokoyama Dam 57dams Non-gate botom outlets (natural flushing) Masudagawa Dam Botom outlets for flood control Koshibu Dam, Futase Dam, Kigawa Dam Non-gate conduits with curtain wall Katagiri Dam Selective withdrawal works Yahagi Dam Drawdown flushing Sediment flushing outlet Dashidaira Dam-Unazuki Dam (Coordinated flushing ) Partial flushing without drawdown Sediment scoring gate Senzu Dam, Yasuoka Dam Sediment scoring pipe Ikawa Dam Excavating & Dreging Recycling for concrete aggregate Miwa Dam, Koshibu Dam, Sakuma Dam, Hiraoka Dam, Yasuoka Dam Soil improving material, Farm Land filling, Banking material Miwa Dam, Yanase Dam Sediment replacing inside reservoir Sakuma Dam Sediment supplying to downstream rivers Akiba Dam, Futase Dam, Miharu Dam, Nagayasuguchi Dam, Nagashima Dam Reservoir sedimentation Upstream→ Coarse sediment Fine sediment ←Dam body Excavated and utilized for Kobe Airport Development of efficient and environmentally compatible sediment management techniques "Take", "Transport" and "Discharge" - - Sediment flushing/sluicing and sediment bypassing should be introduced more. The sediment trucking and supply, and the Hydro-suction Sediment Removal System (HSRS) are needs to be improved furthermore and introduced as supplementary measures. Asset management Life cycle cost (LCC) minimization Rehabilitation and Maintenance from proactive maintenance to preventive maintenance Operation, Replacement, Expansion, Removal, Real Option Asset management technology 1 Inspection technology Inventory Database Tool box Performance curve (Markov matrix) LCC evaluation (Markov decision model) Computer systems Asset management technology 2 Process evaluation/reengineering Policy evaluation (outcome/output/input) Performance-based asset management contract Citizen participation Two-staged project t0 Cost t1 30 30 billion JPY 70 billion JPY Benefit three scenarios 1/3 18 billion JPY 1/3 1/ 3 90 billion JPY 0 billion JPY 70 t2 100 billion JPY Cost-benefit analysis B = (1/3) 180 + (1/3) 90 + (1/3) 0 = 90 C = 100 B - C = 90 -100 = - 10 decline Real Option Additional cost 70 billion JPY B – C = 180-70 = 110 Scenario 1 B – C = 90 – 70 = 20 Scenario 2 B – C = 0 - 70 = - 70 Scenario 3 decline (1/3) 110+ (1/3) 20 + (1/30) 0 =43.3 Real Option = 43.3- 30 = 13.3 > 0 investment Life cycle course decision making as a real option university occupation spouse ・・・・・ ・・ integrity responsibility accountability