Faisabilité de Réalisation de Capacités d`Échanges d
Transcription
Faisabilité de Réalisation de Capacités d`Échanges d
Faisabilité de Réalisation de Capacités d’Échanges d’Électricité entre les Pays du Nord de l’Afrique et du Moyen Orient, et de l’Europe East ern Corridor MEDGRID - At e lie r d e s a sso ciés, 16 Ju in 2014 CO N FI D EN TI A L LIM ITED U SE CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Aims Cu rre n t st a t u s o f t ra n sm issio n syst e m Fu t u re p e sp e ct ive s Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 2 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Area of int erest Lib ya , Eg yp t , Jo rd a n , Syria , Le b a n o n , Tu rke y a n d ENTSO-e TR SY IQ LB PS JO LY EG Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 3 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Area of int erest Five Co u n t rie s Ge n e ra l In t e rco n n e ct io n Ag re e m e n t in 1998 Eg yp t , Ira q , Jo rd a n , Syria a n d Tu rke y (EIJST) TR SY IQ LB PS JO LY EG Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 4 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Area of int erest En la rg e m e n t : Eig h t Co u n t rie s In t e rco n n e ct io n Pro je ct Eg yp t , Ira q , Jo rd a n , Lib ya , Le b a n o n , Pa le st in e , Syria a n d Tu rke y (EIJLLPST) TR SY IQ LB PS JO LY EG Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 5 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Eight count ry syst em (EIJLLPST) Eight Country System Generation type MW % Combined Cycle 32,541 29.2 Gas Turbines 13,689 12.3 St eam 38,225 34.3 Diesel Unit s 2,455 2.2 Hydro 22,681 20.3 Ot hers 1,908 1.7 111,499 100.0 Total Installed capacity Ge n e ra t io n m ix b a se d o n t h e rm a l p o w e r p la n t s Mo st e fficie n t g e n e ra t io n m ix in Tu rke y, Eg yp t a n d Syria Na t io n a l g e n e ra t io n t o co ve r in t e rn a l co n su m p t io n Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 6 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Exist ing Int erconnect ions Eig h t s co u n t rie s ENTSO-e Georgia Nakhchivan Turkey 600 M W Isolat ed M ode 500 M W Syria Lebanon Iran 500 M W Not Operat ed 300 M W Palest ine 20 M W Iraq 20 M W (operat ed at 33 kV) Jordan 300 M W Saudi Arabia Libya Egypt Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 7 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Exist ing Int erconnect ions Tu rke y in t e rco n n e ct e d w it h ENTSO-e sin ce Se p t e m b e r 18, 2010 Ne w in t e rco n n e ct io n s in Bt B a re fo re se e n ENTSO-e Georgia 700 M W - 400 kV 350 M W - 154 kV 600 M W n.d. source TEIAS Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 8 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Past pow er exchanges Ne t Tra n sfe r Ca p a cit y lim it e d t o 400-500 MW o m a n y in t e rco n n e ct io n s a re u se d in iso la t e d m o d e Sit u a t io n a lm o st co n st a n t Syria a n d Eg yp t e xp o rt e r co u n t rie s (b e fo re Syria n crisis) o re d u ct io n o f t h e su rp lu s fo r Syria Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 9 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Current st at us of t ransmission syst em Lo n g it u d in a l st ru ct u re Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 10 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Current net w ork st ruct ure - SYRIA Me sh e d st ru ct u re a t 400 kV Po t e n t ia l w e a kn e ss in Ja n d e r Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 11 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Current net w ork st ruct ure - JORDAN On ly o n e 400 kV n o rt h -so u t h co rrid o r (d o u b le circu it ) Se co n d co rrid o r u n d e r st u d y Fu t u re n e w 400 kV in t e rco n n e ct io n w it h Pa le st in e Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 12 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Current net w ork st ruct ure - TURKEY Tu rkish syst e m b e t w e e n Eu ro p e a n d Mid d le Ea st o Ea st -t o -We st t ra n sfe r o f p o w e r • in t e rn a l p ro d u ct io n • p o w e r w h e e lin g Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 13 Lim it e d in t e rco n n e ct io n a n d p o w e r w h e e lin g ca p a cit ie s w it h in co u n t rie s La ck o f su rp lu s o f g e n e ra t in g ca p a cit y in Ma sh re q re g io n a n d o u t sid e In a d e q u a t e le g a l fra m e w o rk o Grid Co d e o su st a in a n d re g u la t e re n e w a b le s o t a riff re fo rm t o p h a se o u t su b sid ie s In st a b ilit y Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 14 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Current w eakness in M ashreq Lo a d g ro w t h ra t e fro m 4% t o 8% p e r ye a r o ve r t h e p e rio d 2012-2020 in Ma sh re q o m o re t h a n 16,000 MW in t h e w h o le p e rio d Ge n e ra t io n e xp a n sio n b a se d o n t h e rm a l ca p a cit y Am b it io u s p la n fo r RES d e ve lo p m e n t in Eg yp t a n d Tu rke y o 20% o f t h e n e w ca p a cit y in Eg yp t , w in d o 70% o f t h e n e w ca p a cit y in Tu rke y, h yd ro a n d w in d Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 15 CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Fut ure perspect ive CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE Fut ure perspect ive Te ch n ica lly t h e m o st d ifficu lt co rrid o r fo r p o w e r t ra n sfe r fro m No rt h Africa & Ne a r Ea st t o ENTSO-e o De p t h o f t h e se a im p e d in g t e ch n ica l fe a sib ilit y o f su b m a rin e ca b le s (m in im u m 2500 m ) o Lo n g o n sh o re p a t h cro ssin g m a n y b o rd e rs o Re la t ive ly w e a k e xist in g g rid a n d in t e rco n n e ct o rs HVDC lin k b e t w e e n Eg yp t a n d Gre e ce u n d e r st u d y Diffe re n t p ro je ct s t o in t e rco n n e ct Mid d le Ea st (GCCIA), Ne a r Ea st syst e m s a n d ENTSO-e o Sa u d i Ara b ia – Eg yp t (1500 km – 500 kV DC – 3000 MW) o Sa u d i Ara b ia - Jo rd a n Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26 16