Faisabilité de Réalisation de Capacités d`Échanges d

Transcription

Faisabilité de Réalisation de Capacités d`Échanges d
Faisabilité de Réalisation de Capacités d’Échanges
d’Électricité entre les Pays du Nord de l’Afrique et du Moyen
Orient, et de l’Europe
East ern Corridor
MEDGRID - At e lie r d e s a sso ciés,
16 Ju in 2014
CO N FI D EN TI A L
LIM ITED U SE


CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Aims
Cu rre n t st a t u s o f t ra n sm issio n syst e m
Fu t u re p e sp e ct ive s
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
2

CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Area of int erest
Lib ya , Eg yp t , Jo rd a n , Syria , Le b a n o n , Tu rke y a n d ENTSO-e
TR
SY
IQ
LB
PS
JO
LY
EG
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
3
CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Area of int erest
 Five Co u n t rie s Ge n e ra l In t e rco n n e ct io n Ag re e m e n t in 1998
Eg yp t , Ira q , Jo rd a n , Syria a n d Tu rke y (EIJST)
TR
SY
IQ
LB
PS
JO
LY
EG
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
4
CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Area of int erest
 En la rg e m e n t : Eig h t Co u n t rie s In t e rco n n e ct io n Pro je ct
Eg yp t , Ira q , Jo rd a n , Lib ya , Le b a n o n , Pa le st in e , Syria a n d Tu rke y
(EIJLLPST)
TR
SY
IQ
LB
PS
JO
LY
EG
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
5
CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Eight count ry syst em (EIJLLPST)
Eight Country System
Generation type
MW
%
Combined Cycle
32,541
29.2
Gas Turbines
13,689
12.3
St eam
38,225
34.3
Diesel Unit s
2,455
2.2
Hydro
22,681
20.3
Ot hers
1,908
1.7
111,499
100.0
Total



Installed capacity
Ge n e ra t io n m ix b a se d
o n t h e rm a l p o w e r
p la n t s
Mo st e fficie n t
g e n e ra t io n m ix in
Tu rke y, Eg yp t a n d Syria
Na t io n a l g e n e ra t io n t o
co ve r in t e rn a l
co n su m p t io n
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
6

CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Exist ing Int erconnect ions
Eig h t s co u n t rie s
ENTSO-e
Georgia
Nakhchivan
Turkey
600 M W
Isolat ed M ode
500 M W
Syria
Lebanon
Iran
500 M W
Not Operat ed
300 M W
Palest ine
20 M W
Iraq
20 M W (operat ed at 33 kV)
Jordan
300 M W
Saudi Arabia
Libya
Egypt
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
7


CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Exist ing Int erconnect ions
Tu rke y in t e rco n n e ct e d w it h ENTSO-e sin ce Se p t e m b e r 18, 2010
Ne w in t e rco n n e ct io n s in Bt B a re fo re se e n
ENTSO-e
Georgia
700 M W - 400 kV
350 M W - 154 kV
600 M W
n.d.
source TEIAS
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
8

CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Past pow er exchanges
Ne t Tra n sfe r Ca p a cit y lim it e d t o 400-500 MW
o m a n y in t e rco n n e ct io n s a re u se d in iso la t e d m o d e


Sit u a t io n a lm o st co n st a n t
Syria a n d Eg yp t e xp o rt e r co u n t rie s (b e fo re Syria n crisis)
o re d u ct io n o f t h e su rp lu s fo r Syria
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
9

CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Current st at us of t ransmission syst em
Lo n g it u d in a l st ru ct u re
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
10


CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Current net w ork st ruct ure - SYRIA
Me sh e d st ru ct u re a t 400 kV
Po t e n t ia l w e a kn e ss in Ja n d e r
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
11



CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Current net w ork st ruct ure - JORDAN
On ly o n e 400 kV n o rt h -so u t h
co rrid o r (d o u b le circu it )
Se co n d co rrid o r u n d e r st u d y
Fu t u re n e w 400 kV in t e rco n n e ct io n
w it h Pa le st in e
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
12

CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Current net w ork st ruct ure - TURKEY
Tu rkish syst e m b e t w e e n Eu ro p e a n d Mid d le Ea st
o Ea st -t o -We st t ra n sfe r o f p o w e r
• in t e rn a l p ro d u ct io n
• p o w e r w h e e lin g
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
13



Lim it e d in t e rco n n e ct io n a n d p o w e r w h e e lin g ca p a cit ie s w it h in
co u n t rie s
La ck o f su rp lu s o f g e n e ra t in g ca p a cit y in Ma sh re q re g io n a n d o u t sid e
In a d e q u a t e le g a l fra m e w o rk
o Grid Co d e
o su st a in a n d re g u la t e re n e w a b le s
o t a riff re fo rm t o p h a se o u t su b sid ie s

In st a b ilit y
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
14
CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Current w eakness in M ashreq

Lo a d g ro w t h ra t e fro m 4% t o 8% p e r ye a r o ve r t h e p e rio d 2012-2020
in Ma sh re q
o m o re t h a n 16,000 MW in t h e w h o le p e rio d


Ge n e ra t io n e xp a n sio n b a se d o n t h e rm a l ca p a cit y
Am b it io u s p la n fo r RES d e ve lo p m e n t in Eg yp t a n d Tu rke y
o 20% o f t h e n e w ca p a cit y in Eg yp t , w in d
o 70% o f t h e n e w ca p a cit y in Tu rke y, h yd ro
a n d w in d
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
15
CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Fut ure perspect ive

CO N FID EN TIA L – LIM ITED U SE
Fut ure perspect ive
Te ch n ica lly t h e m o st d ifficu lt co rrid o r fo r p o w e r t ra n sfe r fro m No rt h
Africa & Ne a r Ea st t o ENTSO-e
o De p t h o f t h e se a im p e d in g t e ch n ica l fe a sib ilit y o f su b m a rin e ca b le s
(m in im u m 2500 m )
o Lo n g o n sh o re p a t h cro ssin g m a n y b o rd e rs
o Re la t ive ly w e a k e xist in g g rid a n d in t e rco n n e ct o rs


HVDC lin k b e t w e e n Eg yp t a n d Gre e ce u n d e r st u d y
Diffe re n t p ro je ct s t o in t e rco n n e ct Mid d le
Ea st (GCCIA), Ne a r Ea st syst e m s a n d
ENTSO-e
o Sa u d i Ara b ia – Eg yp t
(1500 km – 500 kV DC – 3000 MW)
o Sa u d i Ara b ia - Jo rd a n
Faisabilit é d ’Éch a n g e s d ’Éle ct ricit é - No rd d e l’Afriq u e , Mo ye n Orie n t e t Eu ro p e - Ea st e rn Co rrid o r
MEDGRID – At e lie r d e s a sso ciés , 16 Ju in 2014 - 2012/11/26
16