Présentation de Thomas Lagoarde-Segot
Transcription
Présentation de Thomas Lagoarde-Segot
25Novembre 2016 SolvingtheSRIpuzzle?Anoteonthemainstreaming ofethicalinvestment FinanceResearchLetters(2016) EliasErragragui(KEDGEBusinessSchool) ThomasLagoarde-Segot(KEDGEBusinessSchool&LEST,UMRCNRS7317) 1 Post Crisis Finance Research Network From crisis to viability: finance reconsidered The ongoing economic, social and environmental crisis has revealed the need to redefine the function of finance. Academic finance bears significant responsibility in this process addressing the interaction between finance and society. As a response, many private actors have broadened their definition of ‘value’ in order to include environmental and social elements into their management and asset allocation practices. Such practices, however, appear incompatible with the current theoretical and methodological foundations of academic mainstream finance, which is heavily influenced by logical positivism and the methodological individualism hypothesis based on the maximization of the shareholder utility function. Academic finance focuses on the micro level and emphasizes econometric modelling rather than adopting a longer-run view incorporating the lessons from economic history. This paradox challenges us to reconsider the epistemological and theoretical foundations of modern finance, and, in particular, the dominant role played by shareholders. It is our responsibility to question the idea that social welfare and ethics are simply the result of shareholders value maximization and to enrich finance research, particularly with perspectives and contributions from other social sciences. In particular, we argue that there is a need to turn the order upside down: economy and finance must be embedded in environmental and social welfare in order to confront the challenges we face, rather than the other way around. Should we promote another character, as a substitute to the shareholder? How might we (re)define the concept of value? The network will serve as an interdisciplinary forum for the rethinking of academic finance, with a view to carving out sustainable paths for financial research and practices in the 21st century. Themes of interest include: • (Re)defining value(s) and wealth • Alternatives to shareholder value maximization and promote a long term and sustainable perspective. • Critical perspectives in accounting • Economic history and finance • Finance and comparative capitalism Keywords: ethics; financialization; critical • Finance and the Global South perspectives, crisis, sustainability, social impact finance, networks • Financialization, networks and interconnectivity • New metaphors for the study of post crisis finance • Rethinking education in finance • Social banking and finance L’ISRetlarecherche en finance Le‘puzzle’empirique § Impactdéfavorable desfiltres surlafrontière d’efficience § RSEetcompétitivité desfirmes § Résultats inconclusifs (Revelli andViviani,2015) Une controverse àdépasser? § Ontologie sociale:leréalisme critique(Downward,2016) § Lafinanciarisation comme structureproductrice dedonnées? § L’hypothèse del’intégration (‘mainstreaming’) L’hypothèse d’intégration (mainstreaming) “adoubleprocessofupstreamingethicalstocksintoconventional indicesandportfolios,anddownstreaming conventionalstocksinto ethicalindicesandportfolios” § L’intégration parl’amont (upstreaming)reflète l’inclusion des constituentsdesindicesISRdans lesindicesconventionnels § L’intégration parl’aval (downstreaming)reflète lesenjeux méthodologiques dufiltrage § Opérationalisation:nullité desécarts deperformanceISRvs. portefeuilles conventionnels Données etméthodologie Données § § § § 24indicesconventionnels,islamiques,ISR 5marchés développés:USA,GB,Japon,Canada,Australie 3marchés émergents:Brésil,Inde,Afrique duSud IndicesMSCIhorsdividendes Méthodologie § Statistiques descriptives +rendements glissants § Testbivarié surlesdifférentiels deratiosdeSharpeannualisés § Testmultivarié surlesdifférentiels deratiosdeSharpeannualisés (LeungandWong,2008) § Modèle d’évaluation desactifs (EGARCHavecclustersICSS) § Testsurlesdifférences entrealfas Données Market Country Australia Canada Developed Japan U-K United-States Brazil Emerging India South Africa Indxe type Conventional Islamic Index name MSCI Australia MSCI Australia Islamic Ticker MXAU MIAU SRI MSCI Australia SRI MXAUSI Conventional Islamic SRI Conventional Islamic SRI Conventional MSCI Canada MSCI Canada Islamic MSCI Canada SRI MSCI Japan MSCI Japan Islamic MSCI Japan SRI MSCI United Kingdom MXCA MICA MXCASI M3JP MIJP MXJPSI M3GB Islamic MSCI United Kingdom Islamic MIGB SRI MSCI United Kingdom SRI MXGBSI Conventional Islamic SRI Conventional Islamic MSCI USA MSCI USA Islamic MSCI USA SRI MSCI Brazil MSCI Brazil Islamic MXUS MIUS MXUSSI MXBR MIBRO SRI MSCI Brazil ESG MXBRSI Conventional Islamic SRI Conventional MSCI India MSCI India Islamic MSCI India ESG MSCI South Africa MXIN MIIN MXINSI M3ZA Islamic MSCI South Africa Islamic MIZA SRI MSCI South Africa ESG M3ZASI Rendements glissants – 6mois -.6 -.4 -.2 0 .2 .4 United States 01jan2008 01jan2010 day Roll_us Roll_usisl 01jan2012 Roll_ussri 01jan2014 Rendements glissants – 6mois -1.5 -1 -.5 0 .5 1 Brazil 01jan2008 01jan2010 day Roll_bra Roll_braesg 01jan2012 Roll_braisl 01jan2014 Testmultivarié surlesratiosdeSharpe Considérons le vecteur kx1 des ratios de Sharpe des k portefeuilles observés: 𝜇 𝜃 = 𝜇$ 𝜇( ,…, ′ 𝜎$ 𝜎( Définissons lamatrice C k-1×k suivante: æ 1 - 1 0 ... ç 1 - 1 ... ç0 C =ç0 0 1 -1 ç ç ... ... ... ... ç 0 ... ... ... è 0ö ÷ 0÷ ... 0 ÷ ÷ ... ... ÷ 1 - 1÷ø 0 ... L’hypothèse d’égalité des k ratios de Sharpe s’écrit H0:Cμθ=0 versus H0:Cμθ≠0. Estimationdesalfas:E-GARCHetdummiesICSS § Filtrage initialGARCH(1,1) § Identificationdepicsdevolatilité endogène (Bacmann &Dubois,2002) § Insertiondesdummiesdans l’équation devarianced’unmodèle E-GARCH: (𝑟, − 𝑟., ) = 𝛼 + 𝛽(𝑟3, − 𝑟., ) + 𝜀, 𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑉𝑎𝑟 𝜀, 𝜀,>$ with 𝜀, = 𝑧, ℎ, = 𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝜎,? = 𝐿𝑜𝑔 ℎ, = 𝜔 + 𝑑$ 𝐷$ + ⋯ + 𝑑D 𝐷D + 𝛾𝑍,>$ + 𝜃 𝑍,>$ − 𝐸 𝑍,>$ + 𝜑𝐿𝑜𝑔(ℎ,>$ ) § Trois spécifications:sansdummies,avecdummies,avecdummiessignificatives § Comparaison desalphasparune statistique detestZ Testsurles alphas Conclusions § Le“matchnul”entretenantsetcontempteurs d’une surperformance desfonds ISRreflète l’intégration del’investissement éthique dans une réalité financiarisée § Hypothèse soutenue parune batterie detestsmenée surlapériode 2008-2014 § Questionnements: 1. 2. 3. Travailquantitatif:descendre auniveau micropouranalyser les constituentsdesindices Travailqualitatif:comprendre lemodèle réel d’allocation desactifs utilisé parlesgérants deportefeuille Travailconceptuel:redéfinir lavaleur pourré-encastrer lesdécisions financières dans lescontraintes desoutenablité