BU ll ETIN - Statistical Society of Canada
Transcription
BU ll ETIN - Statistical Society of Canada
B U l l Vol. 1 , no 1 sse E T Autumn / Automne 1986 Statistical Society of Canada Societe Statistique du Canada I N 8 U l l E T I N EDITOR/R E DACT R I C E N icole P.-Gendreau, B u re a u d e la statlst l q u e du Q u ebec, 117. S a i nt-Andre. Q u e bec (Q u e bec). Gi,, 3 Y 3 (418-643-5030). ASSOCIATE EDITORS/R E DACT E U R S ADJ O I N TS Dr. Christian Genest, U n iversity of Wate rloo, Onta r i o. Philip E.J. G reen, Consu It I ng Statlstl c l a niStatlst l c l e n-consel l , Mlsslssa u g a . O ntario. I N T E R NATIO N A L M E E T I N G SI R E N C O N T R E S I N T E R N AT I O N A L E S Dr. Agnes M . Herzberg, I m pe r i a l Col le g e , lo n d o n , E n g la nd Prof. George P.H. Styan, U n iverslte M cG i l l . Liaison IS p u b l ished b y t h e Statist i ca l SOCiety of C a n a d a a n d i s s e n t f r e e of c h a rg e to a l l m e m be rs th ree t i m es a year: Wi nter. S p ri n g S u m m e r a n d Autumn. T h e a i m of Liaison is to foster I n c r e a sed a n d bette r c o m m u n i c a t i o n a m on g C a n a d i a n statist i c i a ns. BOARD OF DIRECTORS) CONSEIL D'AbMINISTRATION' MEMBERS OF THE EXECUTIVE CO MMITTEE/ MEMBRES DU COMITE EXECUTIF P R E S I DE NT f P R ESIDE NT: Martin B. Wilk, Statistics C a n a d a P R E S IDE NT - E LE CTfP R E S I DE NT -EL U : James V. Zidek, UniverSity o f British Co l u m b i a S E C R E TARYfS E C R E TAIRE: John F. Brewster, U n iversity of M a n itoba TREAS U R E RiTR E S O R I E RE: Mary E . Thompson, U n iversity of Wate rloo P U B LI C R ELATI O N S O F F I C E Rf R E S PO N S A B L E D E S R E LATI O N S P U BLI Q U E S : Nicole P.-Gendreau, B u re a u d e l a statist i q u e d u Q u e bec PAST-P R E SIDE NTf P R E SIDE NT S O RT ANT: David F. Andrews, U n iversity of Toronto REG IO NAL REPRESENTATIVES / REPRESENTANTS REG IONAUX Atlan tic Provinces/Provinces Maritimes louise Dionne, M e m orial U n iversity Christopher A. Field, Da lhousie University Quebec Liaison est p u b l i e p a r l a Societe Statlst i q u e d u Ca n a d a e t e s t rem ls g ratu lte m e nt a u x m e m bres trois f o i s p a r a n n e e. a I ' h l v e r. a u p r l n tem ps-ete e t a I ' a u to m n e . l e b u t de Liaison est de contr l b u e r a de m ei l l e u res co m m u n i cations a u s e l n de l a c o m m u n a u t e statlst l q u e c a n a dienne Alain Boulanger, U n lverslte de S h erbro o k e Correspo n d e n ce r e l a t l n g t o " N ews a bo u t M e m bers" a nd " R e gi o n a l News" s h o u ld b e sent to:fTo u t e c o r r e s p o n d a n c e r e l a t i v e a u x r u brlques " Nouve l le s des mem bres" e t " E c h os des reg i o n s " dOlt etre a d ressee a: Geoffrey J . C. Hole, Statistics C a n a d a Christian Genest, Statistics a n d Actuarial Science, U n iversity of Waterloo, Waterloo, Onta rio, N2l 3G1 (519-888-4481). Correspo n d e n c e p e rta i n i ng to "The C o n s u l ta nts' C o l u m n " a n d advert i se m e n t s h o u l d be sent to:iToute corresp o n d a n ce c o n c e r n a n t l a r u b r l q u e "le statistici e n -conseil" e t l a pub l iCite doit etre a d ressee a: P h i l i p Green, 930 Crozier Court, Mississauga, Ontario, l5H 2T3 (416-278-3483). Correspond e n ce relat i n g to " I n te r n a ti o n a l Meet i n g s" s h o u l d b e s e n t t o : fLa c o r r e s p o n d a n ce c o n c e r n a n t les " R e n co ntres Inte r n at l o n a l es" dOlt etre a d ressee a: George P.H. 5tyan, Depart. of Mathematics and Statistics, McGill U n i versity, 805 Sherbrooke West, Montreal, Quebec, H3A 2 K6 (514-392-8284). Andre Pla nte, Universite d u Q u ebec a M o ntreal Carl- E rik Sarndal, Unlversite de Montre a l Serge Tardif, U n lverslte de M o ntrea l Ontario J e r a l d F . lawless. U n iverSity of Waterloo John N.K. Rao, Ca rleton U n iversity Richard Snillington, Consultant, Ottawa Manitoba-Saskatchewan-N. W. T.! Manitoba-Saskatchewan- T. N. -o. K. Lai Chan, U n iversity of M a n itoba David J a cobson, U n iverSity of Reg i n a Alberta-British Columbia- Yukon/ Alberta-Colombie Britannique- Yukon Na ncy M . Reid, U n iverSity of B r itish Col u m bia K. larry Weldon, S i m o n F raser U n iverSity HO N ORARY MEMBERS / MEMBRES H O N ORAIRES Charles S . Carter, Daniel B. DeLury, George l. Edgett, Simon A. Goldberg (deceasedfdecede), Cyril H. Goulden (deceasedfdecede), John W. Hopkins, Vinayak M. Joshi, Esnest S. Keeping (deceasedfdecede), Nathan Keyfitz, He rbert Marshall (deceasedfdecede), Stanley Nash, Jacques St-Pierre. c o N T E N T s / s o M M A R E' N Vol . 1, no Autumn / Automne 1986 1 A Word from the Editor 4 Le mot de la redactrice Mailbox 5 La boite aux lettres 617 Le nouveau Liaison The New Liaison Update on SSC Affairs 8 La SSC en bref A M essage from the Presi d ent 8 Le bi l l et d u Presi d ent The Board of D i rectors' M eeti ng 9 Reu n ion du Consei l d ' ad m i n i strati o n B a l a nce Sheet, Dece m ber 3 1 s t 1 985 11 E tat f i n a n c i e r a u 3 1 decem bre 1 985 An n u a l M eeting 1 987 12 Congres a n n u e l 1 987 What's H appening? 13 Au fait de I' actualite News about Mem bers 13 Nouve l l es des mem bres Reg i o n a l N ews 14 E chos d es reg i ons I nternati o n a l M eeti ngs 18 Rencontres i nternati onales Statistics in the Capitals 24/25 La statistique en capitales The Consultants' Column 28/31 Le statisticien - conseil " Fi rst Experi ences with a Stati sti c a l Consu lti ng Co u rse" by 1 . Te rry Smith 28/31 " Cours sur l a consu l tati on stati stique: prem i e res i m pressions" "Stat i stics: M athematical Speci a l ty or Separate Disc i p l i ne ? " by K. L. Weldon 34/36 Career Opportunities par 1 . Terry Smith 38 " La stati st i q u e est-e l l e u n e branche des mathemat i q u es ou u ne d i sci p l i n e d i sti ncte ? " par K. L. Weldon Le babillard des carrieres Dead l i n es for submisSion of a rticles a re as fol l ows: S p r l n g S u m m e r: April 30 th; Autu m n : August 31st; Wi nte r : December 3 1 st Texts m u st be typed o n 8+ x 11 paper, at one and o n e- h a lf spaC i n g . Les dates de tom bee des textes sont les s u ivantes: P rintem ps ete: 30 avril; Auto m ne: 31 aout; H iver: 31 decembre. Les textes doivent etre d a ctylo g r a p hies a u n Inte r l i g n e et d e m l , s u r format 8+ x 1 1 . N o responsi b i l ity f o r t h e views expressed b y t h e a ut h ors i s ass u m ed b y Liaison, ItS ed itors o r t h e S Se. Les POi nts d e v u e expn m e s p a r les a ute u rs n'e n g a g e n t pas la responsa b i l lte d e Liaison, n i d e ses redacteu rs, n l d e l a sse. Any c h a n g e of a d dress s h o uld be n ot i c e d to: M a r y E . Thompson, Depart. of Statistics and Actuarial Science, U n iv. of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, N2l3G1. Tout c h a n g e m e n t d ' a d resse d o it etre com m u n i q u e a: Mary E . Thom pson, Depart. o f Statistics a n d Actuarial Science, Univ. of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, N2l3G1. We a c k nowledge the s u p p o rt of the B u re a u de la statlst i q u e d u Q uebec. N o u s rem emons I e B u re a u de la statlstl q u e d u Q u e bec po u r Ie su p port a p porte d a n s l a preparation d e ce b u l letin. C i rculati o n : 750 copies ISS N: 0832-9095 Reproduction is a uthorized with the mention of the source. T l r a g e 750 exem pla l res I S S N: 0832-9095 Toute reproduction est autorisee sous reserve de fa men tion de fa source. A WORD FROM THE EDITOR LE MOT DE Le voi c i d a n s sa form e nouve l l e, Liaison, LA REDACTRICE I e b u l l et i n d ' i nformation d e l a Societe statistique du Canada. Inspi re d es recom m a n d ati ons d u Com ite su r l es nouve l l es com m u n i cati ons et fru it d e l a reflexion d e nom breuses person nes, Liaison com porte p l u s i e u rs i n novati ons. Liaison, c'est un com ite d e redaction qui se pa rtage la tache d e prod u i re I e b u l l eti n . Ce sont ega l em ent des col l a bo rate u rs q u i prennent en charge certa i nes r u b ri q u es. Liaison, ce sont d es r u b ri q u es reg u l i eres q u i vous d evi e nd ront fa m i l i eres (el l es vous sont presentees pl u s en d eta i l a l a page 7). C' est a u ssi la presence d ' a rticles ved ettes. Liaison, c ' est m a i nten a nt l a presence de p u b l i c ite. C'est un contenu pl u s e l a bore et u ne presentati on visu e l l e a m e l i oree. Liaison eta b l i t d es com m u n i cations nouve l l es, renforce d es l i ens, m et en contact l es mem bres d e l a SSC avec d e nouve a u x a u d itoi res et susc i te l a pa rti c i pation des m i l i eu x prives, gouvernementa u x et u n i ve rsita i res d e l a statistique. Liaison, ce sont vos refl exi ons, vos comm entai res. Fai tes- nous pa rt de vos reacti ons et de vos besoi ns. Nous vou l ons fai re de Liaison votre veh i c u l e, votre i nstr u m ent d e com m u n i cation. Liaison est prod u i t trois foi s I ' a n , a I 'a utom n e apres l a reu n i o n du Com ite d e d i recti on d e la. SSC, a I ' h i ver en p repa rati on a u cong res et a I ' ete a pres l a rencontre a n n u e l l e des mem bres. Dans ce pre m i er n u m e ro, Terry S m ith nous fai t d ecouvri r d es aspects i m portants d e l a consu ltati on en nous fa isant part de son experi ence de la m i se s u r pied d'un cou rs su r la consu l tati on stati sti q u e . Q ua nt a Larry Wel don, ses refl exions su r l a statisti q u e " branche des m athe m ati q u es ou d i sci pl i ne d i sti ncte " , d evra i ent susciter d es courts et d e l ongs commentai res ... J e n e vou d ra i s pas o u b l i e r d e remercier V i ctor Tre m bl ay, mon p red ecesseur, pou r Ie trava i l rem a rq u a b l e q u ' i l a a ffect u e avec des m oyens l i m i tes. Ses conse i l s m ' ont ete fort uti l es. J e l u i sou h a i te Ie mei l l e u r succes d a ns sa nouve l l e e ntreprise q u ' i l vient de m ettre su r pied. La Redactri ce, N i cole P.-Gend rea u The ed itori a l tea m has been feverish l y active over the past few weeks. Here it i s with its new l ook, the SSC newsl etter. Liaison has e m e rged from recommendations by the New Com m u cati ons Com m i ttee a nd refl ects the thoughts of m a n y people. It i ncorporates severa l i n novati ons. Liaison i s a n editori a l tea m that sha res the task of prod u c i ng the newsl ette r. It i s a l so correspon d e nts who h ave ta ken charge of certai n sections. Liaison i s a ser i es of reg u l a r secti ons that wi l l become fa m i l i a r to you (they a re d escri bed in greater d eta i l on page 6) . It i s a l so feat u re a rticles a n d , for the fi rst ti me, Liaison wi l l conta i n advertising. The content is more e l a borate and the visual presentati on i m proved. Liaison esta bl i shes new l i nes of com m u n i cation, rei nforces l i n ks, puts SSC m e m bers in contact with new a u d i e nces a n d sti m u l ates the pa rtici pati on of the statistical com m u n ities in pri vate sectors, the governments, a n d the u n i versiti es. Liaison is you r thoug hts, you r comments. Let us know what you need . We want Liaison to be your ve h i c l e, your i nstru m e nt for com m u n i cati o n . Liaison i s p u b l i shed th ree ti mes a yea r: i n t h e autu m n after t h e S S C Board o f Di rectors' meeting, i n t h e wi nter i n prepa ration f o r t h e conference a n d i n t h e s u m m e r fol l ow i n g the a n n u a l meeting o f mem bers. In th i s fi rst i ssue, Terry S m ith reveals i m portant aspects of the consulting world by d escri bing his ex perience i n setti ng up a course i n stat i stical consu l t i n g . La rry Wel d o n ' s m u si n gs on stati stics, " M athema tical Speci a l ty o r Sepa rate Di sci pl i ne?" , shou l d gene rate a l i ve l y response from read ers. I can not concl u d e without tha n k i n g my pred ecessor, V i ctor Tre m b l ay, for the re m a rkab l e work he accompl i shed with l i m i ted resou rces. H i s advice has been extremely u sefu l . I wish him m u c h su ccess in his new busi ness he has j ust set u p. The Editor, Liaison, N i co l e P -Gend reau MAILBOX LA BOlTE AUX LETTRES Sai nte-Foy, October 2 0 Sai nte-Foy, I e 20 octobre Dear Statisti ci a n s : Che r(e)s stati sti c i e n ( ne)s, At t h e l ast g e n e r a l m eeti ng held i n B a n ff, i n M ay 1 986, we passed a reso l ution ask i n g fo r the removal of the restricti o ns on the adverti sem e nt of positi ons for statist i c i a ns in Canada. The a i m of the proposa l was to fac i l i tate the h i ri n g of non Cana d i ans. At the vote, m ost part i c i pa nts were try i n g to m a ke the best of the steak that the B a nff Centre was se rv i ng that even i ng . It appears that they d i d not g i ve the reso l ution a l l the atte nti on it d eserved . This vote was premature i nd eed; the wo rd i n g of the proposa l see m s to be a m b i g u ous and the facts p resente d , n a m e l y t h e d i ff i c u l t i e s t h a t t h r e e u n i versi ties experi enced i n h i ri ng com petent statis ti c i a ns, d i d not d e m a n d a n i m m ed i a te res ponse from the Soci ety. Lors d e I ' asse m b l ee g e n e ra l e a n n u e l l e de l a Soci ete ten u e en m a i dernier a B a n ff, nous avons adopte u ne resol uti on d e m a n d ant la l evee d es res trictions concernant I ' affi chage de postes en stati s t i q u e au Ca nada. On voula i t a i nsi fa ci l i ter I ' e m b a u c h e de non Canadi ens. Lors d u vote, l a p l u part des pa rti ci pa nts essaya i ent de t i re r Ie mei l l e u r parti poss i b l e du steak q u e Ie B a nff Centre offra it ce soi r la. l i s n ' ont pas, sem b l e-t-il , accord e a cette reso l u tion toute I ' attenti on q u ' e l l e meri tait. C e vote eta it premature; la form u l ation d e l a proposition paraTt a m bi g ue et l es fa its presentes, a savoi r l es d i ffi c u l tes q u ' ont eues trois u n i versi tes a recruter des sta ti sti ciens compete nts, ne j u sti fi a i ent pas u ne prise d e positi on i m m ed i ate. What have we voted for? It see m s that the word u n i versity d oes not a ppear in the word i ng of the reso l uti on and that our vote appl i es to a l l j obs i n stati sti cs, the " b l u e col l a r " and the "white col l a r "j obs to u se M a rti n Wi l k 's te rm i no l og y Are the j ob opportu n i t i es i n stati sti cs so n u m e ro u s that Canad i a n u n i versi t i es ca n n ot m eet the d em a nd? I d o not kn ow. A l l I can say is that at U n i versite Laval m ost g ra d uates of the Bachel ors prog ram i n statis tics fi nd govern m e nt rel ated j o bs. Thus even i f the j ob situation is g ood , i t can d eteriorate ra p i d l y i f o n e o f the g overn m e nts ca l l s a h i ri ng freeze. The need , in the U n ited States, for q u a l i fi ed statist i c i a ns is not fel t at Lava l . T h i s contrasts with the situation i n actu a r i a l sc i e n c es w h e re m a n y US j o bs a r e ad vertised on cam pus. T h e statist i cs stu d e nts I ta l k ed to are agai nst the proposa l . Po u r q u e l l e propos i t i o n avons-nous vot e ? I I se m b l e q u e I e mot u n i versite n ' a p pa ra i sse pas dans I e l i bel l e d e l a proposition et q u e notre vote s'appl i q u e a tous l es e m p l o i s en statist i q u e , tant ceux d e "cols b l e u s " q u e d e " co l s bl ancs" pou r empl oyer l es expressions de M a rti n Wi l k. Le nom bre d ' empl o i s d i spon i bl es en stati stique est-i l tel q u e l es u n i versi tes ca n a d i e n n es n ' a rr i vent p l u s a repond re a la demande? Je n ' en sa i s rien. Tout ce q u e j e peu x d i re c ' est q u ' a l ' U n i v e rsite Lava l , ce sont s u rtout d es organi smes gouvernementa u x q u i e m ba u chent l es fi n i ssa nts d u bacca l a u reat e n statist i q u e . A i n s i , m e m e si n os fi n i ssa nts se pl acent b i e n , l a situati on est fragi l e car el l e est a l a merci d ' u n gel d es postes des gouvernem ents fed eral ou provi nci a l . La penu rie d e statisti ci ens q u e con n a i ssent actuel l ement l es Am eri cains ne sem ble pas avoi r d e reperc u ssi ons chez nous. E n actu a ri at, par contre, on retro u ve bea u c o u p d ' offres d ' e m p l o i a m e r i c a i n e s s u r I e campus. E n fa i t l es etu d i a nts e n statisti q u e q u e j ' a i consu ltes sont contre cette propositi o n . B ecause, o n th ree i n sta n c es, C a n a d i a n i m m i g rati on pol i c i es m a y have h a m pe red , or even have prevented the h i ri n g of com petent statisti c i a ns, the Soci ety m a kes a sta nd and asks to be exe m pted . A sa m p l e s i z e o f t h r e e i s n ot m u c h ( e v e n fo r dedi cated B ayes i a n s w i th st rong p r i o rs ! ) . B efore com m i ting itsel f a m ore m atu re soc i ety, l i ke the ASA, wo u l d u n d o u bted l y h a v e g a t h e r e d m o r e i nform ation on the i ssue. It wou l d be i nteresti ng a n d benefi c i a l to deba te this issue p u bl i cl y . The refore I u rg e the Presi d ent to use Liaison to l et u s know how h e i nte n d s to fol l ow up on this reso l ution and to make p u bl i c the case he wi l l eventu a l l y present to the Depa rtment of I m m i grat i o n . Soci ety m e m bers who m a y have had d i ffi c u l t i es with the Department of I m m i g ra tion and its reg u l ations sh o u l d exp ress the i r vi ews i n Liaison . T h i s w o u l d m a k e for an i nterrest i n g L iaison a n d , w h o k n ows, poss i b l y i n c r e a se t h e mem bersh i p o f the S oc i ety. B est regards Louis-Pa u l Ri vest U n i versite Lava l Pa rce q u ' a trois reprises l es pol iti qu es d ' i m m i gration canad ienne a u ra i ent n u i , ou a u ra i ent m e me em peche I ' e m ba u che d ' u n statisticien com pe tent, la Soc i ete prend pos i t i o n et d e m a n d e u n e exempt i o n . U ne ta i l l e d ' echanti l l on de trois, c ' est peu ( m e m e pou r d es B ayesi e n s si nceres avec d e fortes opi n i ons a pri ori ! ) . Ava nt d e se prononcer, u ne soc i ete eta b l i e com me I 'ASA a u rait sa ns d oute a pprofon d i la q u esti o n . I I sera i t i nteressa nt e t ben efi q u e q u e I e d ebat reste ou vert et p u b l i c. Je sou h a i te v i vement q u e I e president d e l a Soci ete uti l ise l es pages de Liaison pour nous fai re savo i r I e s u i vi q u ' i l d o n nera a cette resol uti on et pou r nous com m u n i quer, I e cas eche ant, I e d ossi er q u ' i l entend presenter au m i n i stere de I 'lm m i g rati o n . Les mem bres de la Soc i ete ayant eu d es d e m e l es avec I m m i g rati o n C a n a d a pou r ra i ent e u x a u ssi uti l i ser ces pages pour nous fa i re part d e l e u rs opi n i ons. Cela ren d ra i t Liaison pl u s i nteressa nt et, q u i sait, a u g m entera it peut-etre I e nom bre d e mem bres d e l a Soci ete. Sal utati ons, Lou i s-Pa u l Ri vest, U n i versite Laval THE NEW LIAISON A number of sections will be appearing in each issue of Liaison. The following paragraphs describe the objectives of each one and its typical content. Unfortunately, in some eyes at least, instructions are also given to guide the literary flights of authors. A WORD F RO M TH E E DITOR WHAT' S HAPPENING? Liaison's E d itor w i l l use t h i s space to i nf o r m m e m bers of t h e Ed ito r i a l C o m m ittee's objectives a n d c o n c e r n s , t o c a l l upon contributors, i nvite com m e nts, d raw readers' atte ntion to an a rt i c l e o r eve nt of pa rti c u l a r i nterest, etc. T h a t ' s r i g h t, t h i s space has a n "infi n ite deg ree of freed o m". H owever, the Editor pledges that her word w i l l prov i d e n o t h i n g but "re l i a b l e i n d i cators" . T h ese "spa t i a l a n d t e m p o r a l v a r i a tions" g e n e rated b y tech n o l o g y a n d t h e i r a u t h o r s ' own h i g h e n e r g y w i l l prov i d e n e w s a b o u t m e m b e r s ( a pp o i n t m e n t s , p u b l i c a t i o n s , e t c . ) a n d l i st t h e m a j o r a c t i v i t i e s a t t h e reg i o n a l , n a t i o n a l a n d i nternat i o n a l levels ( m eet i n g s , c o n f e r e n ces, conventions, etc.). as wei! as a n y other eve n t th a t m a y be of i n t e rest t o sta tist i c i a n s . MAILBO X STATISTICS IN TH E CAPITALS T h i s i s t h e r e a d e rs' p a g e Y o u a r e i n v i ted to s e n d u s y o u r c o m m e n ts o r t h o u g h t s t h a t m a y b e o f i n te r e st t o m e m bers o r f o r t h e profeSSi o n . T h e I n d ica tions a re that this page will be g iven over to "va riations and sta n d a rd deviations" E a c h issue of Liaison w i l l conta i n texts dea l i n g with activities, pro g ra m s or deve lopm ents u n d e r way In the v a r i O U s g o ve r n m e nta l statistical a g e n cies (fed eral or provi n c i a l ) , o r in depart m ental sta t i sti cal sect i o n s . Yes I n d e e d , eve ry "st a t i st i c a l a g g regate" w i l l be asked to c o n t r i bute I S o m e , more t h a n oth ers. s i n ce Stat i stics Ca n a d a wlil contri bute to each Issue. UPDATE O N SSC AHAIRS T h i s sect i o n of Liaison w i l l c o n c e n trate·on activities a n d n ews conce r n i n g the E xecutive, the B o a rd of Directors and the Soci ety's va r i o u s co m m itte e s . The PresI dent of the S S C will have a word to sa y . T h e ot her m e m be rs o f t h e Executive, co m m ittee c h a i r m e n a n d re g i o n a l represe n tatives ca n a l s o i n cl u d e m essa ges. In fact. t h i s sect i o n c o u l d be g i v e n t h e t i t l e : "Tre n d s a t the Top" N 5 T R u their thoughts on t h e a ctu a l process of c o n s u lti n g , f o r t h e b e n ef i t of t h e p r o fess i o n i n g e n e ra l . FEATURE ARTICLES Liaison w i l l i nc l u d e fe a t u re a rt i c l e s , papers, su m m a r ies, a n a l yses, new app l i ca tions, reflect i o n s , pedagogical a rticles, etc . , presented I n a n o n -tech n i cal way, a n d o f g e n e rai I n te rest f o r statisti cia n s o f a l l backgrounds. T h i s IS the "a lpha" a n d the "om ega" of statistics. CAREER OPPORTU N ITIES Positions w h i c h may I nterest S o c i ety m e m be rs will be posted for "pa i ri n g " p u r poses. TH E CONSULTANTS' COLUM N T h i s f e a t u r e IS t h e d o m a i n of c o n s u lta nts f r o m private f i r m s, aca de m iC I n sti tutions, i n d ustry or g overn m e nt ad m i n i S trati o n s . All these "i n depe n d ent va r i a b l es" a re i n vited to s h a r e , i n a n o n -te c h n i c a l way, t h e resu lts o f work they a re curre ntly e n g a g ed in, have recently completed , or C T o N 5 T 0 A u T H o R 5 M a n u scri pts m u st be typed on 8t x 1 1 paper, at one and one- h a l f spac i n g . The ma x i m u m n u m ber of manus cri pt pages, i n the ori g i na l l a ng u age, i s : Mailbox: 1 page Feature Articles: 4 pages Statistics in the Capitals: 2 pages Career Opportunities: m a x i m u m of 1 2 5 words for each pos i t i o n (adverti si ng rates wi l l apply beyond this l i m i t). The Consultants' Column: 2 pages All articles should be submitted with their translation as much as possible. Correspondence rega rd i ng "News about Members" and "Regional N ews" shou l d be add ressed to Christi a n G e n est, wh i l e G eorge Stya n i s t h e person t o contact conce rning "I nternational Meetings". F o r a n y i nformati on on a d vertisi n g a n d "The Consultants' Column", pl ease contact P h i l i p G reen. (Add resses are i n d i cated on page 2.) --------��r- LE NOUVEAU LIAISON Un certain nombre de rubriques reviendront a chaque numero de Liaison. Les objectifs poursuivis par ces rubriques et leur contenu-type sont exposes dans cette page. Helas, diront plusieurs, des instructions y sont egalement indiquees afin de contenir les elans litteraires des auteurs. LE MOT DE LA REDACTRICE AU FAI T DE L'ACTUALI TE La Redactrice d e Liaison co m m u n i q u e a u x m e m bres d a n s cette page l e s orie nta tions ou les preoccu pati o n s de la R e d a c t i o n , fait a p p e l a des c o l l a borate u rs , s o l l i cite des co m m enta i res, atti re I ' attent i o n s u r u n texte ou u n even e m e nt d ' i nte ret p a rt i c u l ier, etc. Vous avez bien l u , e l l e a carte b l a n c h e . E l l e s ' e n g a g e tout de m e m e a c e q u e son m ot presente d es "ind i c e s f i a b l es" . Ces " v a r i a t i o n s spati a l e s et t e m po re l i es" d u es a l a tech n o l og i e et au rayon laser d e l e u rs a uteurs d onne ront des nou velles des m e m bres (nom inati o n s, p u b l ica tion, etc.) et e n u m ereront les princi p a l e s a ctiv ites q u i m a rq u e n t l e s sce n e s reg i o nale, nationa l e et i ntern ationa l e (rencon tres, confe rences, cong res, etc . ) o u t o u t a utre evene ment su sce pt i b l e d ' i nte ress e r l e s statlst l c i e n s . LA BOlTE AUX LETTRES LA STATI STIQUE EN CAPITALES La page reservee a u x lecte u rs . Ceux-ci sont invites a y exposer un po i nt de vue ou une reflexion d ' interet pour les m e m bres o u pour la profess i o n de stati stlc i e n . D e toute eVidence, I I s ' a g l ra s o u v e nt i c i d e "va ri ances e t d ' eca rts types " . On y trouvera, dans c h a q ue n u m e ro de Liaison, de courts textes s u r les a ctivites, les p rogra m m es , ou les deve l o p pe m e nts en cours dans les d i ffe rentes u n ites statlsti q u es gouvernem enta les, que ce soit dans les a g ences statist i q ues centra les (federa l e ou provlnc i a l es). OU d a n s l e s d i re ctions d e statistiq u es de m inisteres o u d'org a n l smes. Eh oui, t o u s l e s " a g reg ats sta t i st l q u es" sont mlS a contribution I Ce rta i ns plus q u e d'a utres, p u isq u e Statist l q u e Ca nada sera a u rendez-vous a chaque n u m e ro . LA sse EN BREF Cette r u b r i q u e de Liaison est c o n sacree a u x activites e t a u x n o u v e l l e s d e l ' E xecutif, d u Cons e i l d ' a d m i n i st r at i o n e t des d i vers com ites d e l a Societe. L e presi d ent de l a SSC y d i ra son m ot. Les a utres m e m bres de l ' E xecutif, les p r e s i d ents d e co mite e t l e s r e p r esenta n t s r e g i o n a u x p o u r ront e g a l e m ent y passer d e s m es s a ges. Cette r u b r i q u e pourra i t en f a i t s ' inti t u l e r : "Les tendances au som m et". N S T R U C T ou encore des a d m i n i strations g o u v e r n e m e nta les. Toutes ces " va r i a bles i n d e pen d a ntes" sont i n vitees a com m u n iq u e r , d e fa�on non tec h n i q u e et pour I e benefice d e l a profession e n genera l , l e s resu ltats d e l e u rs travaux e n cours , l e u r s rea l i sa t i o n s recentes ou l e u rs reflexions s u r I e processus m e m e de l a consu ltati o n . ARTICLES VEDETTES On p re s e n t e r a d a n s L i a is o n d e s a rticles d e fond, des textes d e conference, des res u mes, des a n a l yses, des a p p l icat i o n s nouvelles , d e s reflexions, des a rticles p e d a g o g i q u e s , etc . , p rese ntes d e fa�on n o n tech n i q u e e t d ' i nte ret g enera l p o u r l e s statlsticiens de tous l e s m i l ieux. Cest ''i ' a l pha e t I 'o m ega" d e l a statisti q u e . LE BABILLARD DES CARRI ERES Les postes suscept i bles d ' i nteresser l e s m e m bres de l a Soci ete y seront publ ies a des f i n s . . "d'a p p a r i e m ent". LE STATI STI CI EN-CONSEI L Cette r u bri q u e est reservee a u x ex pe rts-statistl ciens, q u ' i l s soi ent des f i r m e s p r l vees, de I ' e n se l gnem ent, d e I ' industrie o N 5 A U X A U T E U R S Tous l es m a n uscrits d o i vent etre d actylogra p h i es su r papier 8+ x 1 1 , a u n i nterl igne et d em i . Le nom bre maxi m u m d e pages d e m a n u scrit, dans la l a ng u e ori gi nale, est: La boite aux lettres: 1 page Articles vedettes: 4 pages La statistique en capitales: 2 pages Le babillard des carrieres: ma x i m u m de 1 2 5 m ots pour chaque poste ( a u - d e l a d e cette l i m i te, on d evra reco u ri r a u ta rif prevu pou r l a publ i ci te) . Le statisticien-conseiI: 2 pages La traduction des textes doit. dans toute la mesure du possible. etre fourni e. On d oi t ad resser a Christi a n G enest toute corresponda nce rel ative a u x "Nouvelles des membres" et "Echos des regions", et a G eorge Stya n cel i e concerna nt l es "Rencontres internationales". De m eme, on s ' ad ressera a Phi l i p G reen pour toute q u esti on se ra p portant a l a rubrique "Le statistici en-conseil" et a l a pu b l i c i t e . (Les ad resses d e ces perso n nes sont fou r n i es a la page 2). --------���-- UPDATE ON LA sse AFFAIRS sse EN BREF A MESSAGE FROM THE PRESIDENT LE BILLET DU PRESIDENT T h i s i s the i na u g u ra l i ssue of SSe's "Liaison ", the su c cesso r j o u r n a l to the SSC "Newslette r ". T h e c h a n g ed format, coverage a n d p o l i c i es o f t h i s j o u r n a l a re a prod u ct of j o i nt pl a n n i n g b y the New C o m m u n i ca t i o n s C o m m i ttee ( c h a i red b y J a n e G e ntl e m a n ). i n c o m i n g P u b l i c R e l a t i o n s O ff i c e r N i co l e G en d reau a n d t h e Liaison Ed itori a l Board. O f course, the changes have the fu l l approval of the SSC B oa rd of Di rectors. Voici I e prem i e r n u m ero d e Liaison, l a revue q u i succede a u Bulletin d e l a SSe. La presentation, I e contenu et l es pol itiques d e cette nouvel l e revue sont d i fferents; ils sont I e fru i t com m u n d u trava i l d e pl a n i ficati o n accompl i par I e Com i te d es n o u vel l es com m u n i cati o n s (presi d e par J a n e G e ntl e m a n). par l a n o u v e l l e respo nsa b l e d es re l at i o n s p u b l i q u es, N i co l e G en d reau , e t p a r I e C o m i t e d e red a cti on de Liaison . N at u r e l l e m e nt, l es m od i fi cations apportees ont ete plei nem ent a pprouvees par I e Conse i l d ' ad m i n istrati o n d e l a SSe. On beh a l f of the SSC, I w a nt to e x p ress o u r a pp rec i ati o n f o r t h e e x c e l l e nt w o r k o f V i ct o r Trem b l a y as Ed itor of the N ewsl etter over severa l years . W h e n s o m e c a reer c h a n ges req u i r e d h i s resig n ati o n as SSC Pu b l i c Relations Offi cer, the SSC Board voted u n a n i m ously to ask N i co l e G e n d re a u t o succeed h i m , a n d h a p p i l y s h e accepted . J o u r n a l d evelopm ents are but one aspect of a matu ri n g of t h e S S C a cti v i t i e s a n d p o l i c i es i n represe nti n g , a n d a d v a n c i n g , the p rofess i o n o f stati sti cs i n Canada. T h e v i a b i l ity a n d va l u e o f the S S C to Ca n a d i a n s t a t i s t i cs h a s b e e n fu I I y d e m o n strate d . A g a i n st that b a c k g r o u n d , t h e r e seem s n o w t o be com m o n agreement that: t h e SSC s h o u l d w o r k to e n l a r g e a n d b r o a d e n i t s m e m be rshi p; ta ke a m o re aggressi ve and proactive rol e in i m provi n g research s u p po rt for stati sti cs; take p rofessi o n a l res p o n s i b i l i t y for p u b l i c a n d sc i e nti fic a ppl i ca t i o n s o f statist i c a l c o n c e pts a n d tech n i q ues; take a m ore active rol e i n i m prov i n g l i a i son o f aca d e m i c statisti c i a ns with govern m e n t and i nd u stry statisti c i a ns; a n d expa n d t h e servi ces of SSC to its m e m bers ( e. g . by the d evelopment of Liaison, by workshops, by l ectu re prog r a m s , b y other p u b l i cati o n-rel ated acti vities, etc . ) . T h e S S C m ust m a n a g e its deve l o p m e nt w h i l e deal i n g rea l i sti c a l l y a n d prod u ct i v e l y w i t h t h re e chal l en g i ng factors: ( i ) t h e need to operate as a bi l i ng u a l soci ety ; ( i i ) the vast geog ra p h i c d i spers i o n o f statisti c i a ns i n C a n a d a a n d ( i i i ) the d o m i n a nt prox i m ity of A m e r i c a n stati sti c a l orga n i za t i o n s , espec i a l l y t h e A m e r i c a n Statistical Assoc i at i o n . At the sa m e ti m e , Ca nad i a n statistics h a s the potenti a l advantages o f : (i) a h i g h l y ce ntra l i ze d offi c i a l statist i c a l syst e m , c e ntered on Stati sti cs Ca n a d a ; and ( i i ) a r e l a t i v e l y c l ose-k n i t ( a l b e i t sm a l l i sh) acad em i c stati sti c a l com m u n ity. At t h e present ti m e , the l i a i s o n betw e e n the O ffi c i a l Statisti c i a n s and the Acad e m i c Statist i c i a ns i s rather rud i m entary. The enti re profession sta nds to g a i n a s the con necti v i ty between those two g ro u ps i s strengthe ned . Au nom de l a SSC, je vou d ra i s rem ercier V i ctor Trem b l ay du trava i l re m a rq u a b l e qu ' i l a rea l i se pendant pl usi e u rs a n n ees a titre de red a cte u r e n chef d u Bulletin. Apres q u e des c h a n g e m e nts d e nature professi onnel l e eu rent a m e n e V i ctor Tre m bl a y a dem issi onner d e s o n poste d e responsa b l e des relations p u b l i q u es d e l a SSC, les mem bres d u Consei l d'ad m i n istrati o n d e. l a SSC o n t u n a n i m e m ent demande a N i co l e G e n d reau de l u i succeder. Et cel l e-ci a heu reu sement accepte de rem pl i r ces foncti ons. Les changem ents apportes a u bu l l eti n sont I e refl et d e nom breuses m od i fi cati ons a ven i r d a n s l es a cti vi tes et l es pol itiques d e l a SSC, orga n i sm e q u i rep resente I e monde d e l a stati st i q u e e t q u i fa i t progresser cette d i sci p l i n e dans n otre pays. L a vi a b i l i te d e l a SSC ai nsi que son uti l ite pour l a stati sti q u e a u Ca n a d a ne sont pl us a d e m o ntre r . D a n s c e contexte, i l se m b l e m a i nte n a nt y avo i r u n con sensus sur ce que l a SSC devra i t fa i re : s ' effo rcer d ' a u g m enter Ie nom bre d e ses m e m bres et d ' e l a rg i r s a composition, j ou e r u n role p l u s dynamiq u e d e fa<;on proact i v e afi n d'a m e l i o rer I e souti e n a l a rec herche statistique, assumer d es respo n sa b i l i tes professi o n n e l l es re l ativement a I ' appl i cati o n d e concepts et d e tec h n i q u es a des d omai nes genera u x e t sci entifiques, j ouer u n rol e p l us actif afi n d ' ac croitre la com m u n i cation e ntre l es statisti ciens q u i trava i l l ent a I ' u n i versite et ceux q u i sont a u serv i ce d e l ' E tat et d u secte u r prive et, enfi n, e l a rg i r l es servi ces oHerts a ses mem bres (par exe m p l e , I ' eta b l i ssement de Liaison, des ate l i ers, des conferences, d i verses activites rel i ees a des p u b l i cati ons) . La SSC d oit s ' occu per d e sa croissa nce tout e n te n a nt com pte, d ' u n e m a n i ere rea l i ste e t prod uc tive, d e troi s d efis i m po rt a n t s : ( i ) la n e c es s i t e d ' exercer ses activites en tant q u ' orga n i sm e bi l i n g u e , ( i i ) l a d i spersi on geogra p h i q u e des stati sti ciens au Ca n a d a , ( i i i ) I 'i m po rta nce d e s o rg a n i sati o n s statisti ques a m e ri cai nes, com m e l 'American Statisti cal Assoc i ation, en raison de la proxi m i te des Etats Unis. UPDATE ON sse AFFAIRS / LA sse EN BREF The d i sci pl i ne of stati st i cs i n its wide spectru m of coverage - ph i l osop h i ca l con cepts and precepts; m a them ati c a l a n d m eth o d o l o g i c a l te c h n i q u e s; m od e l bu i l d i ng a n d d ata a n a l ys i s, i n c l u d i n g g ra p h i cs ; stati stical com puti ng and d ata m a nagement; d es i g n of su rveys and exper i m e nts; d ata col l ection a n d compi l ati on - is a fasc i n ati n g fi e l d , i ntellec tu a l l y a m biti ous, perhaps pretentious. It has m u c h t o offer t o the d eve l opment o f sc i e nce and t o the prov i s i o n of effect i ve i nformati on systems need ed for a modern, d e m ocrati c i nd u strial soci ety. W h i l e o perati ng t o serve the i nterests a n d n e e d s o f i ts m e m bers h i p, the overri d i n g obj ective of the SSC i s t o expl oit t h e fu l l pote nti a l o f statist i cs t o serve the Ca nad i a n p u b l i c i nterest. Martin B. W i l k THE BOARD O F DIRECTORS' MEETING The B oa rd of Di rectors of the Soci ety m et i n Ottawa on October 18 and 1 9, 1 986. The agenda com p r i sed some forty i t e m s for d i scuss i o n. T h e m e eti n g w a s d o m i nated b y t h e B o a rd ' s d et e r m i nati o n to expand the activities of the Soci ety and to broaden its appeal. T h i s preoccu pati on was at the h e a rt of a!1 the d i sc u ssi o n s a n d l ed to a n u m be r of acti ons. The m ost i m m e d i ate a n d tang i b l e c h a n g e is certa i n l y the n ew a ppearance of the Soc i ety' s news l etter, starti ng with this i ssue. It is hoped that the i nc l usi o n of a n u m be r of new col u m n s a n d the i ntrod u ction of paid adverti s e m e nts w i l l prov i d e for better coverage a n d representation from u n i versi ti es, govern m e nt agenc i es, a n d i nd u stry, wh i l e l i m i t i n g prod u ction costs. T h e ed i to rs of L iaison, w h o ag reed with the suggest i o n s fo rm u l ated by J a n e F . G e ntl ema n ' s New Com m u n i cati ons Com m i t tee, ex pect to p u b l i sh three i ssues the fi rst yea r. In the sa m e spirit, the Ed i tor of The Canadian Journal of Statistics (CJS), Donald L. M c Le i s h , h a s esta b l i shed a n e w secti on i n order to foster better com m u n i cati o n among pri vate a n d u n i versity sta tistical consu lti ng u n its i n Canada and the stati sti cal com m u n i ty at l a rge. The new section, whose title is yet to be d eterm i ned, wi l l p u b l i sh a rti c l es of a m ore tec h n i ca l nature than those a ppeari ng i n Liaison's consu l ta nts' col u m n . Al l m a n u scri pts su b m i tted to this col u m n of the CJS wi l l be refereed. I n yet a n oth e r d evel o p m e n t c o n c e r n i n g p u b l i cati ons, the Pres i d ent of the Soci ety confi rmed that a rra ngem ents have been made with Statist i cs Canada to provide the Journal of Survey Metho- Par a i l l e u rs, I e m o n d e d e l a sta t i st i q u e a u Canada peut profiter d e ce rta i n s avantages : u n syste m e statisti q u e offi c i e l h a utement centra l i se a yant Statist i q u e Ca n a d a c o m m e foyer et u n e com m u n a u te sta t i sti q u e u n i v e rs i t a i re d o nt l e s mem bres (meme s ' i l s sont peu nom b reux) entre ti ennent d es l i ens re l a ti ve m ent et roits Les l i ens entre l es stati st i c i e n s offi c i e l s et l es stati sti c i e n s u n i versitai res eta nt plutot rudimentai res a I ' heure actuel l e , toute notre professi o n beneficiera d u ren forcement d es re l ations entre ces deux grou pes. La stati stique est une d i sci pl i ne fascinante q u i exige bea ucoup d u poi nt d e v u e i ntel l ectuel, peut etre m e m e de la pretention, en raison de ses d i verses facettes : concepts et reg l es phi l osop h i ques; tec h n i ques math e m ati q u es et m et h od o l o g i q ues; m od e l i sati o n et a n a l yse d e d on n ees, y com pris l es m ethodes gra p h i q ues; cal c u l stati sti q u e et gestion d e d o n n ees; conception d ' enq u etes et d ' experien ces; col l ecte et com pi l ation d e d o n n ees. E l l e peut contri buer a u prog res d e la sc i e nce et a la pres tation de systemes d ' i nform ati o n efficaces dont a beso i n une soc i ete i n d u str i e l l e , d e m ocrati q u e et m oderne. M e m e si dans I ' exercice de ses activites, l a SSC vise a servi r l es i nte rets d e ses mem bres e t a repond re a l e u rs besoi ns, son o bj ecti f princi pal est d ' e x p l o i t e r d a n s I ' i n t e r e t p u b l i c to u t e s l e s possi bi l i tes q u ' offre l a stati st i q u e . Martin B . Wi lk REUNION DU CONSEIL D'ADMINISTRATION Le consei l d ' a d m i n i strati o n d e l a Societe s ' est reu n i a Ottawa l es 1 8 et 19 octobre 1 986. Une q u aranta i ne d e suj ets fi g u rait a I ' ordre d u jour d e l a reu n i o n , au cours d e l a q u e l l e s' est m a n i festee l a vol o nte g ra n d i ssa n te d u c o n se i l d ' i n s u ffl e r u n nouvel essort a l a Soci ete et d'elargir I'eventa i l des services q u ' e l l e o f f r e a s e s m e m b r e s . Cette preoccu pation a d om i n e tous l es d ebats et plusi e u rs m esu res ont ete adoptees en ce sens. A cet egard , Ie changem ent Ie p l u s tang i b l e et I e pl us i m m ed i at concerne I e b u l l eti n d ' i nformati on d e l a Soci ete, q u i se presente dorenavant sous un nou veau j ou r . L' i ntrod u c t i o n de n o u vel l e s r u b r i q u es e t I ' i ncl usi on d e p u b l i c ite payante devra i ent favo r i se r u n e m e i l l e u re couve rtu re d e s m i l i e u x u n i versitai res, d es agences gouvernementa l es et d e I ' i nd ustrie, tout e n l i m itant l es coOts d e prod ucti on. Le com i te d e redacti on d e Liaison, q u i a end osse l es reco m m a ndations d u com ite d es nouvel l es commu n i cati ons presi d e par Jane F. G entl eman, proj ette l a p u b l i cation d e trois n u m e ros l a pre m i e re an nee. UPDATE ON sse AFFAIRS I LA sse EN BREF to SSC m e m b e rs at a red uced price of $ 1 4 per a n n u m . Provisions wi l l b e m a d e to i ncorporate the su bscri pt i o n to t h i s j ou rn a l as an o pti on on the Soci ety ' s m e m be rsh i p renewal form. do/ogy The Treasu rer, M a ry E. T h o m pson , rema rked that i n t h e s h o rt term, t h e S oc i ety ' s d es i re for e n h a nced servi ces w i l l l ea d to a fee i ncrease. At the req u est of the Executive Com m i ttee, the B oa rd of Di rectors a p p roved a new fee str uctu re for 1 987. As of Ja n u a ry 1 , 1 987, the sched u l e of fees wi l l be as fol l ows: $200 for i nstituti o n a l m e m bers, $45 for i nd i v i d u a l m e m bers, and $20 for assoc i ate m e m bers. The a n n u a l m eeti ng of the Soci ety is proba b l y t h e activity that g e n e rates t h e m ost e n t h u s i asm among the m e m bersh i p . In recog n i ti on of this fact, the Board of Di rectors conti rmed the appoi ntm e nt of R. J a m es Tom k i ns, of the U n i versi ty of Reg i na , as Prog ra m Sec retary w i th a m a n d ate to coord i nate meeting pians over a l ong term hori zon i n consu l tati o n with Prog ram C h a i r m e n a ppoi nted a n n u a l l y. Dr. Tom ki ns' n o m i nati on i s effecti ve u nti l J u ne 30, 1 990. The Pro g r a m C h a i r m a n for the 1987 ann u a l meeting, M a rc M oo re, reported that a rra ngem ents for the meeti ng at Universite Lava l a re goi ng wel l . M ore d eta i l s o n the prog ram h e has prepa red are prov i d ed on p a g e 1 2 . C o n s i d e ra b l e efforts have been m a d e t h i s yea r to d esi g n a program w h i c h wi l l g e n e rate a g r e a t e r l e v e l o f i n t e r est a m o n g governm ent and i nd ustry statisti c i a ns. The meeti ng wi l l feature, among other t h i ngs, i nvited add resses by Dr. Ivan P. Fe l l eg i , C h i ef Stati sti c i a n of Canada, Professor C h a r l es W . D u n n ett, second SSC g o l d m ed a l l i st, a n d S i r Da v i d R. Cox. I n order to ensure the fi n a n c i a l su ccess of the m eeti ng, the B oa rd of Di rectors has approved a reg i strat i o n fee of $ 1 00, i nc l u d i ng the ba n q u et. The Board has resol ved to a ccept the i n vitation of the Ameri can Sta tistical Assoc i at i o n (ASA) a n d t h e SIAM Inst i tute for M at h e m ati cs a n d Soci ety (S I M S) to co-spo nsor the Env i ronmetrics 87 confe rence w h i ch wi l l be h e l d i n Washi ngton, D . C . , i n N ovem ber, 1 987. As i m pl i ed b y i ts na me, the focus of t h i s conference wi l l be on a p p l i cati ons of m athe mati cs and stati sti cs to pro b l ems of envi ronmental q u a l i ty . Some 300 reg i stered part i c i pa nts attended a si m i l a r confere nce held i n 1 98 1 . F i n a l ly, i n v i ew of the suggesti ons made by the Ad Hoc Com m i ttee on Resea rc h Su pport, a Conti nuing Comm ittee on Resea rch has been struck by the Boa rd to i m plem ent some of th ese i n i t i at i ves. As a fi rst step, the co m m i ttee, to be chai red by Da ns Ie m eme esprit, Ie red a cteu r en chef d e L a Revue Canadienne de Statistique ( RCS) , Donald L M c Leish, a a n nonce l a creation d ' u n e nouve l l e r u bri q u e v i sa nt a favoriser d ava ntage l a c om m u n i cat i o n entre l es agences d e consu ltati on u n i vers i ta i res ou pri vees et I 'ense m b l e d e l a profess i o n . L a nou vel l e rubriq ue, d o n t I e nom n ' a p a s ete d evoi l e , a u ra u n ca ractere pl us tec h n i q u e q u e celie q u i paraitra regu l i erement dans Liaison. Tous l es m a n u scrits sou m i s a cette rubrique d e l a RCS se ront eva l u es par un comite d e l ectu re . Touj o u rs a u cha pi tre d es p u b l i cati ons, I e conse i l a ete saisi d ' u n accord q u i est i ntervenu entre l a sse et Stati sti q u e Ca nada et en vertu d u quel l es m e m bres d e l a Soci ete pou rront d orenavant s'abonner a l a revu e Techniques d'enquete a u ta r i f prefere n tiel d e 1 4 $ par an nee. Une d i spositi o n a cet effet sera i ncorporee a I ' avis de cotisation a n n u e l l e. La tresori ere, M a ry E . Thom pson, a esti m e q u ' a court terme, l es efforts d'expa nsi o n d e l a Soci ete se trad u i ra i ent pa r u ne ha usse d es coti satio ns. A l a d e m a n d e d u Com ite exec uti f, I e conse i l d ' a d m i n i s trati on a approuve de nouveaux tarifs d ' ad h esi o n . A com pter d u prem i er j a nv i e r 1 987, l es cotisati o n s s ' eta b l i ront d o n c com me su i t : 200 $ po u r l es i ns ti tuti ons, 45 $ pou r l es membres i nd i v i d u e l s et 20 $ pour l es mem bres associ es. Le congres a n n u e l est sa ns d oute I ' acti vite q u i suscite I e p l u s d ' i nteret au pres d es membres. Cons ci ent de ce fait, I e conse i l d ' ad m i n i stration a confi e a R. Ja m es Tom k i ns, de l ' U n i versite de Reg i n a , I e mandat d ' assurer l a planification a long terme d e s congres, d e concert avec l es pres i d ents de progra m me nom m es a n n u e l l e ment. M . Tom ki ns a g i ra a titre d e secreta i re du progra m m e j u sq u ' au 30 j u i n 1 990. Pou r sa part, Ie pres i d e n t du progra m m e d e cette an nee, M a rc M oore, a soul i g n e que l es prepa rati fs vont bon tra i n en previ s i o n du congres d e 1987 a l 'Uni versite Lava l . Vous trou verez d e pl u s am p l es d eta i l s a ce sujet e n page 1 2 Des efforts cons i d era b l es ont ete d e p l oyes cette annee dans I e but d e con cevoi r u n progra m m e capa b l e d e raviver I ' i nteret d es statistici ens evol u a nt d a ns I ' i nd u st ri e ou a I 'em ploi d ' age nces gouvernementa l es. Le con gres sera re hausse par l a prese nce du statisti c i e n en chef du Canada, M. Ivan P. Fell eg i , du second m e d a i l l e d'or de l a SSC, Charl es W. D u n nett, et de S i r Dav i d R . Cox. Afi n d ' assurer l a viabi l ite d e cette en treprise , I e conse i l d ' ad m i n i strati o n a etabl i a 1 00 $ l es fra i s d ' i nscri pti o n (y com p r i s I e cout d u b a n q u et) . SSC Par reso l ution d u conse i l d ' a d m i n i strati o n , l a s' est engagee au pres d e l 'Associ ati o n d e UPDATE ON sse AFFAIRS I LA sse EN BREF Professor J e ra l d F . Lawl ess of t h e U n i vers i ty of Waterl oo, wi l l w rite an a rti c l e for Liaison o n the v a r i o u s s o u rces o f resea r c h s u p p o rt c u r r e n t l y avail a b l e i n Ca n a d a . Statisti q u e Ameri ca i ne (ASA) e t d u S IA M I n stitute for M athem atics and Soci ety (SI M S) a. parra i n er l a conference Environmetrics 8 7 q u i se ti e n d ra a Washi ngton en novem bre 1 987. Com m e son nom I ' i nd i q u e, cette conference portera sur les appl i ca tions des mathemati ques et de la stati sti q u e aux probl emes rel atifs a la q u a l ite de I ' envi ro n n ement. U ne conference sem b l a b l e ava i t attire q u e l q u e 300 part i c i pa nts en 1 98 1 . E nfi n , suite a u x recom mendations d u com ite ad h o c p o u r Ie su pport a la re c h e r c h e , u n comite permanent pour la recherche a ete i nsti tue par I e conse i l d ' a d m i n i strati o n , sous l a p r e s i d e n c e d e J e ra l d F . Lawl ess, d e l ' U n i versite d e Waterl oo. Dans un prem i e r tem ps, Ie com i te red i g e ra un a rti c l e pou r Liaison d a ns l eq u el seront decrites l es sou rces cana d i e n nes de fina ncement de la reche rc he. STATISTICAL SOCIETY OF CANADA/SOCIETE STATISTIQUE DU CANADA BALANCE SHEET (unaudited)IETAT FINANCIER (non w§rifie) D E C E M B E R 3 1 , 1 98 5 (with comparative figures for 1984)IAU 3 1 DeC E M B R E 1 98 5 (avec donnees comparatives pour 1984) ASSETS/ACTIF Current assets/Elements d' actif a court terme Cash/E n c a i sse Accou nts recei vabl e/Com ptes a recevo i r Prepa i d expenses/Frais payes d ' avance LIABILITIES AN D MEMBERS' EQUITY/PASSI F ET AVOI R DES MEMBRES Current liabili ties/Elements du passi f a court terme Accou nts paya b l e a n d accrued l i a b i l ities/Comptes et d ette a payer Cu rrent portion of d efe rred m e m bersh i p reve n u e/Tra nche a c o u rt terme (moins d'un an) d u reve n u d i ffere d es m e m bres Total current liabilities/Total du passif a court terme Deferred membership revenue/Revenu differe des membres Less c u rrent portion a bove/ M o i ns l a tra n c he a cou rt terme m enti o n n ee ci-haut Members' equity (deficiciency)/Avoir des membres (excedent du deficit sur Ie capital d'apport) 1 98 5 1 984 $ $ 1 ,3 1 0 6,368 1 ,423 9,101 3, 1 32 937 518 4,587 3 , 68 3 1 ,809 3,3 08 6,991 3, 1 07 4,916 3 ,548 3,308 240 3,137 3, 1 07 30 1 ,870 9,101 {359} 4,587 ERRATA Two corrections should be made to the 1984 financial statement of the sse which appeared in Vol. 14, No.1 of the Newsletter: on page 4, line "partial refund of NSERC gra n t ", we should read "$3 10070" (instead of "$3 100.00"); on page 5, line "Cash at Bank ", we should read "$3 131.89" (instead of "$760.89") Deux erreurs se sont glissees au bilan financier de 1984 de la sse publie dans Ie vol. 14, nO 2 du Bulletin: en page 4, a la ligne "partial re fund of NSERC grant", on doit lire "$3 100.70" (plutMque "$3 100.00"); en page 5, a la ligne "Cash at Bank ", on doit lire "$3 731.89" (plut6t que "$760.89"). --------��r-- sse The 1987 Annual meeting will be held in Quebec city from May 31 to June 3. ANNUAL MEETING The spec i a l l y i nvi ted spea kers wi l l be : Professor S i r D a v i d Cox, Professor C h a r l es W. D u n nett and Professor Christi a n G e n est. CONGRES ANNUEL 1 9 8 T h e fol l ow i n g i n v i ted p a p e r sessions are p l a n ned : 7 Le congres annuel 1987 s e tiendra a Quebec du 3 1 mai au 3 juin. Les c o n f e re n c i e rs s p e c i a l e ment i nvites seront: I e Professe u r S i r David Cox, I e Professeu r Char l es W . D u n n ett et M . C h r i st i a n G e n est. Les sess i o n s s u i v a n t e s s o n t prevues: Organizer/Organisateur Topic/Sujet • • • Professor M. A. Stephens Goodness-of-fit techniques Simon Fraser University. Techniques d'ajustement Mr. T. J . O'Driscoll Statistics in industry General Foods Ltd. Statistique dans I'i ndustrie Teaching statistica l consulting Professor J. T. Smith L'enseignement de la consultation statistique Queen's University. Mr. P.E.J. Green Case studies • • Etude de cas • • Consulting Statistician, Toronto. Mme N . Gendreau Admin istrative files for statistica l purposes Bureau de la statistique du Quebec. Fichiers administratifs a des fins statistiques Professeure C. va n Eeden Non parametric methods Universite de Montreal. Methodes non-pa rametriques La session su r I ' etude de cas est u ne experi ence nouve l l e a n otre congres. A la fi n d e la prem i e re m ati nee d u cong res, d e u x cas seront presentes. Les d on nees perti nentes a ces cas seront d i spo n i bles . Les cong ressi stes seront i n v i t es a refl e c h i r a u x p r o b l e m e s s o u l eves et p o u r r o n t a n a l y s e r l e s donnees pa r ord i nate u r. Lors d e l a derni ere sessi o n d u cong res, l es partici pa nts pou rront echanger e t com parer l e u rs suggesti ons. The sessi o n o n case stu d i es is a new experi ence at our m eet i n g . At the beg i n n i ng of the m eeti ng, two cases wi l l be presented (with d ata sets) . The parti c i pa nts wi l l be i nvited to thi n k a bo u t these d ata . Com puti ng fac i l ities wi l l be avai l a b l e for the a n a l ysis. At the end of the meeti n g , there wi l l be a sess i o n w h e re s u g g esti o n s wi l l be rece i ved a n d d i scussed . It i s p l a n n e d t o h a ve contri b uted paper sess i o n s. T h e c o n t r i b u tor w i I I h a ve t h e c h o i c e b e t w e e n t w o f o r m a t s: a ta l k o r a p o s t e r presentati o n . 1 5 m i n utes wi l l be a l l oted to e a c h ta l k . Des sessions sont prevu es pou r l a presentati o n d e com m u n i cati ons l i bres. Les form ats conference et affi chage sont d i sponi b l es Avec Ie format con fere n c e , c h a q u e p a rt i c i p a n t d i s p o s e r a de 1 5 m i nutes. All titles of contributed papers must be provided by January 31, 1987. The type of presentation must be indicated, All abstracts with 100 to 200 words, must be received before March 1, 1987. Les titres des communications libres doivent etre re<;us avant Ie 31 jan vier 1987. On doit men tionner si la communication sera presentee sous forme de conference ou par affichage. Un resume de 100 a 200 mots doit etre re<;u avant Ie 1er mars 1987. Titles and abstracts should be addressed to:ILes titres et resumes doivent etre envoyes a: M. MARC MOORE Ecole Polytechnique de Montreal Departement de mathematiques appliquees Case postale 6079, Succursale "Au Montreal (Quebec) Canada H3C 3A7 12 WH AT'S H APPENING ? AU FAIT DE � ACTUALITE NEWS ABOUT MEMBERS NOU VELLES DES MEMBRES The U n i versity of Waterl oo annou nces that S i r David R. Cox has been a ppoi nted Adj u nct Professor i n t h e D e p a rtm e n t of Stat i st i c s a n d A ct u a r i a l Sci ence. H e plans t o vi sit the d e pa rtment reg u l a rl y . L ' U n i ve rs i te de Wate r l o o a n n o n c e l a n o m i nati on d e Si r David R. Cox a u paste honori fi q u e d e professe u r asso c i e a u d e pa rtement d e statisti q u e et d ' actu a r i at. Le professe u r Cox prevoit v i s i te r I e d epartement a i nterva l l es reg u l i ers. Robert J . E lliott ' s boo k , " Stoc h a st i c Ca l c u l u s a n d A p p l i c ati o n s " ( S p r i n g e r- V e r l a g , 1 9 8 2 ) h a s recen t l y b e e n tra n sl ated i nto R u ss i a n . Professor E l l i ott, who holds a D.Se. d eg ree from Cambridge, is F u l l Professor of Statist i cs and Appl i ed Proba b i l ity at the U n i ve rsity of Al berta . Mr. Rod Ell i ott has bee n h i red as manager of the O nta r i o Ass u ra nce Centre (QU A LAB) w h i c h has recently been created by the U n i versity of Western Onta r i o . Fi rst S S C g o l d m ed a l l i st, Donald A. S . F raser, has accepted a posi tion of F u l l Professor of Stati st i cs i n the Department o f Mathematics at York U n i versity, effecti ve J u l y 1 , 1 986. P r o fe s s o r J a m e s G. K al b fl e i s c h , f o r m e r p resi d ent of the SSC and author of a popu l a r text i n pro b a b i l ity a n d statisti cs, has been a p poi nted Dea n of the Facu l ty of M athemati cs of the U n i versity of Wate rl oo for a fi ve-yea r term, effecti ve J u l y 1 . Three Canad i a n s were a m ong the statisti c i a ns w h o were honored at the Aug u st meeti ng of the I n stitute of M athematical Statisti cs ( I M S ) a n d the American Stati sti cal Assoc i ation (ASA) in C h i cago. Statisti cs Professor Robert E. Odeh of the U n i versity of V i ctoria and Proba bi l i st Radu Theodorescu of U n i ve rsite Lava l were el ected fe l l ows of t h e I M S w h i l e Professor Muni S. Srivastava of the Depart m e nt of Stati stics at the U n i versity of Toronto was e l ected a fe l l ow of the ASA. George P. H . Styan o f t h e D e p a rt m e n t of M athemati cs and Stati sti cs at the M c G i l l U n i versity, has been a p poi nted Ed i tor of The I nstitute of Ma them ati cal Statistics B u l l eti n , the American cousi n of L iaison. G eorg e ' s fi rst i ssu e wi l l be Vol u m e 1 6, N o . 1 , J a n u a ry 1 987. P rofessor Cesareo V i l l egas of Si m a n F r a s e r U n i v e rsity, w h o h a s reac h e d n o r m a l reti r e m e n t age, has b e e n rea ppoi nted for a th ree-year peri od. Le traite " Stoc h a sti c Ca l c u l us a n d A p p l i ca t i o n s " (Spri n g e r- Verl a g , 1 98 2 ) d e M . Robert J . Ell i ott a recemm ent ete trad u i t en l a ng u e russe. M . E l l i ott, q u i porte I e grade d e d octe u r es sci e n c es ( D . Se.) de l ' U n i ve rsite C a m b r i d g e , est p rofesse u r titu l a i re d e statist i q u e et d e proba b i l ite appl i q u ee a l ' U n i versite de l 'Al berta . M. Rod Elliott a ete nom m e a l a d i recti on d e l ' Ontario Qual i ty Assura nce Centre ( Q U A LAB) q u i a rec e m m ent ete fonde par I ' U n i ve rs i t e Weste rn Onta ri o. Le pre m i e r med a i l l e d ' or d e l a SSC, M. Donald A. S . F raser, a a c c e pte u n paste d e p rofesse u r titu l a i re a u d e p a rtement d e m a t h e m ati q u es d e l ' U n i versite York, a com pter d u pre m i er j u i l l et 1 986. M. James G. Kalbfleisch, a n c i en presi d ent d e l a S S C e t a u t e u r d ' u n m a n u e l tres repa n d u su r l a stat i st i q u e et l es pro ba b i l i tes, a ete n o m m e a u paste d e d oyen d e l a fac u l te d e m athemati q u es d e l ' U n i versite d e Waterl oo. I I o c c u pe ses n o u ve l l es fonctions depu i s I e pre m i er j u i l l et ; son m a ndat est de c i nq ans. Trois Ca nad i ens eta i e nt du nom bre d e ceux q u i ont ete hon ores a u congres conj oi nt d e I ' l nstitut d e statistique math emati q u e ( I MS) et d e l 'Associ ation statisti q u e america i ne (ASA) qui s ' est t e n u a C h i c a g o en aout d e rn i e r M . Robert E. Odeh, pro fesseu r d e statisti q u e a l ' U n i versite d e Vi ctori a , et I e proba bi l i ste Radu Theodorescu, professeu r titu l a i re a l ' U n i versite Lava l , ont tous d e u x ete el us fe l l ows de I ' I M S Po u r sa pa rt, I e p rofess e u r Muni S . Srivastava d u d e parte ment d e statistique d e l ' U n i versite d e Toronto a ete nom m e fel l ow d e l 'Asso ciation statisti q u e a m ericaine (ASA). M. George P . H. Styan, d u d e pa rt e m e n t d e mathemati q u es et d e statisti q u es d e l ' U n i versite M cG i l l , a ete nom m e red acte u r du B u l l eti n d e l ' l ns ti tute of Mathematical Statistics, cousi n a m e ri ca i n d e Liaison. L e pre m i er n u m ero p u b l i e sous s a d i rec tion sera Ie Vol u m e 1 6, no 1 , j a nvier 1 987. WHAT'S HAPPENING ? / AU FAIT DE l'ACTUAlITE Professor Donald G. Watts, of Queen ' s U n i versity , has j ust bee n a ppoi nted to a second term as Assoc i ate E d itor to The American Statistician. M artin Wilk, former C h i ef Stati sti c i a n of Sta tist i cs Canada, has bee n a ppoi nted mem ber of the Canad i a n I nsti tute for Adva nced Research . Dr. J. Clifton Y oung, Assoc i ate Professor of Statist i cs at the U n i ve rsity of Waterl oo, has been a p p o i n t e d fi rst d i r e c t o r o f t h e I n st i tute fo r I m p rovement i n Qua l i ty a n d Prod ucti vity ( I I Q P). REGIONAL NEWS M. Cesareo Villegas, qui v i e nt d 'atte i n d re I ' a g e d e l a retra ite, a accepte d e prolonger son contrat avec l ' U n i versite S i mon-Fraser pour une periode d e tro i s a ns. M. Donald G. Watts, de I ' U n i versite Queen 's a K i n gston , vi ent d ' entrepre n d re un second mandat a titre de red acteur adjoi nt d e l a revue The Ame rican Statistician. M. Martin Wilk, a n c i e n Stati st i c i e n en c hef d u Canada, a ete nom m e mem b re d e I ' l nstitut c a n a d i en d e recherches ava ncees. August 1 1 - 1 5, the University of Victoria and the International Statistical Institute co-spo n sored a conference on Tea ch i n g Statisti cs. The conference was a g reat success. It attracted som e 300 parti c i pa nts from 4 0 d i fferent countri es. M. J. Cl i fton Young, professeur agrege a l ' U n i versite d e Wate rl oo, a ete choisi com m e d i recteur fond ateur de I ' l nstitut pour I ' a m e l i o rati o n de l a qua l ite et d e l a productivite ( IAQP) . The 1 9 8 6 Annual M eeting of Alberta Sta tisticians was held at the U n i ve rsity of Al berta on Saturd ay, Octo ber 4. The m eeti ng featured ta l ks by E . E .A.A. A l y, M . R.T. Da l e , E . G . E n n i s, E. G o m bay, G . Lasz l o, J . L i n d , K .S . M . R a o a n d K . L. We l d o n . Du 1 1 au 1 5 aout derni er, I ' Universite de Vic toria a ete I ' hate d ' un c o n g res i n te rnati o n a l sur I 'ense i g nement d e l a statisti que orga n i se en col l a boration avec I ' Institut international de statistique. Le cong res, auquel ont parti ci pe envi ron 300 repre senta nts d e 40 pays, a ete un fra nc succes October 6-8, a conference o n d ata a n a l ysis a n d i ts appl i cati ons t o health a n d safety i n t h e work i ng envi ro n m e nt was h e l d at the U n i versite d u Quebec a M o ntrea l . T h i s conference was sponso red by the Institut de recherche en sante et en securite du travail du Quebec ( I RSST) Proceed i n g s o f t h e co nference wi l l b e ava i l a b l e i n a few months. For i nfo rmation, write to M m e M i chel i ne Levy, I RSST, 505, boul . d e M a ison neuve ouest, M o ntrea l (Que bec) H3A 3C2. The 1 986- 1 987 seaso n ' s program of the Statis tical Society of Ottawa was i n augurated by we l l atte n d e d ta l k s b y M i c h a e l Wol fso n o f Stati sti cs Ca n a d a and Professor M a l ay G h osh of the U n i ver sity of Fl ori d a . M rs. D i a n Cohe n , the we l l - k n own eco n o m i st, colum n i st and com m e ntato r on econo m i c eve nts, wi l l be the keynote spea ker at the Asso c i a t i o n ' s C h r i st m a s c e l e b r a t i o n m e e t i n g o n Dece m ber 3 . Her conference wi l l be entitl ed "The role of statist i cs in pub l i c perceptions of econom i c performance" . ECHOS DES REGIONS La rencontre annuelle des statistici ens alber tains a eu l i eu Ie sa medi 4 octob re dernier a l ' U n i versite d e l ' Al berta . Les pri n c i paux confere n c i e rs ont ete E . E .A.A. A l y, M . R . T . Da l e , E . G . E n n i s , E . G o m ba y, G . Lasz l o , J . L i n d , K . S . M . R a o et K . L . Wel d o n . D u 6 a u 8 octobre d e r n i e r s ' est t e n u a l ' U n i versite d u Quebec a M o ntreal u n c o l l oque sur I ' a na l yse des donnees a p pl i quee a l a sa nte et a l a securi te a u trava i l . Cet atel i e r m et h od o l o g i q u e a v a i t ete orga n i se p a r I ' l nstitut d e recherche en sante et en securite au travail du Quebec ( I RSST) . Les Actes d u co l l oque s e r o n t d i s p o n i b l e s d ' i c i quel ques mois. S ' ad resser a M m e M i c hel i n e Le vy, I RSST, 505, boul . de M a i sonneuve ouest, M ontrea l ( Quebec) H 3A 3C2. Le progra m m e d ' autom n e d e l a Societe sta tistique d' Ottawa a recemm ent re<;u I e coup d ' en voi al ors que M M . M i chael Wol fson d e Stati sti que Canada et M a l a y G hosh de l ' U n i ve rsite de la F l o r i d e o n t prononce des conferences fort goutees d ' un pub l i c venu nom breux. A I ' occasion d e sa rencontre du tem ps des fetes, Ie 3 d ecem bre, I ' associ ati on re- "Statistics - a lot of numbers looking for an argument. " - M rs . W K i l b ride WHAT'S HAPPENING ? / AU FAIT DE l'ACTUAlITE T h e M a t h e m a t i c s a n d Statistics Days of t h e Atlantic Provinces Council on the Sciences (APCS) wi l l be h e l d at Aca d i a U n i versity on Octo ber 3 1 and N ove m be r 1 . The i nvited spea ker i n stati stics wi l l be Professor Donald L . M c Leish of the U n i ve rs i ty of Waterl oo. The Pacific Northwest Statistics Group wi II hoi d its next m eeti ng at Si mon F raser U n i ve rsity (S F U ) on F r i d ay, Nove m ber 1 4. I n vited speakers a re Professor David M . Eaves of S F U and Dr. J on Wel l n er of the U n i versity of Washington (Seattl e). These m eeti n gs are reg u l a r l y atte nded by u n i versity stati sti cians i n B ritish Col u m bi a a n d Washi ngton state. The next Inter-University Sem inar wi l l be held at the U n i versity of Western Onta r i o on Febru ary 1 9, 1 987. T h i s sem i n a r bri ngs together stati sti ci ans from a n u m ber of u n i versities in southwestern On tario. Dr. Robert E. Kass of Ca rneg i e- M e l l on U n i ver sity has a l ready ag reed to spea k on this occasion . The second spea ker w i l l b e a n n o u n ced l ate r. The annual joint regional m eeting of the Montreal, Ottawa and Southern Ontario regional associations w i l l be h e l d i n t h e nati o n ' s c a p i ta l someti m e d u ri ng M a rc h , 1 987. Topics u nd e r consi d eration for t h i s m eeti ng are m i c ro-co m puters and the i r u se in d ata a n a l ysis, as we l l as categorical d ata a n a l ysis. A Sym posium on statist ical uses of adm i nistrative data wil l be h e l d i n Ottawa d u ring the fa l l of 1 987 . T h i s sym posi u m sponsored by Statistics C a n a d a w i l l foc u s o n the m et h od o l o g i c a l re sea rc hes being carri ed out on this s u bj ect and wi l l i n c l u d e sess i o n s o n to p i cs s u c h a s u ses o f a d m i n i strative d ata i n t h e d evel o p m ent o f sa m p l i n g fra m es , i n est i m a t i o n a n d i n su rvey eva l u a ti o n . Top i cs on i nteg rati on o f d ata from d i fferent sou r ces as we l l as confi d enti a l ity and p u b l i c relations wi l l a l so be i ncl u d ed to prov i d e a fu l l er perspecti ve of t h e i ss u e s i n v o l ved . F o r m o re i n form a t i o n , contact D r . M . P. S i n g h of the M ethod o l ogy B ra n ch at Statist i cs Canada i n Ottawa . A Statisti cal Servi ces Centre is i n the p rocess of be i ng set u p by the Depa rtment of Statistics a n d Appl i ed Proba b i l ity o f t h e University o f Al berta. This centre wi l l p rovi d e consu lti n g se rvices both withi n and outside the u niversi ty com m u nity. This i n iti ative was m a d e possible by a b u d geta ry a l l o cati on gra nted by the Spec i a l I niti ati ves Funds 1 986 of the U n i versity of Al berta . cevra M m e D i a n Cohen, econom i ste, c h ron i q u e u re et a n a l yste b i e n connue de I ' actu a l ite econom i q u e . S a conference a u ra p o u r titre " T h e rol e o f Stati stics in p u b l i c percepti ons of econom i c performance " . U n e rencontre d e mathemati ci ens et d e statisti ci ens a u ra l i eu a l ' U n i versite Acad i a Ie 3 1 octobre et I e p rem i e r nove m bre. Cette renco ntre est parra i nee par Ie Conseil des provinces atlantiques pour l es sciences (CPAS) . Le conferencier i nvite en statist i q u e est M . Dona l d L. M c Leish, de l ' U n i versite d e Waterloo. Le G roupe de statistique du Pacifique nord ouest se re u n i ra a 1 .' U n i ve rsite Si m o n - F raser (S F U ) I e vend red i 1 4 novem b re proc hain. Les conferenci ers i n v i tes p o u r cette occasi on seront M . D a v i d M . Eaves d e S F U et M . J on We l l ner d e l ' U n i versite d e Washington (Seattle). Les stati sticiens u niversi tai res de Col o m b i e- B rita n n i q u e et de I ' etat de Washi ng ton part i c i pent activem ent a ces rencontres. Le p roc h a i n Seminaire inter-universitaire se tiend ra a l ' U n i versite Weste rn Onta rio Ie 1 9 fevri er 1 987. Cet evenem ent reg rou pe l es stati stici ens de l a p l u part des u n i versi tes d u sud-ouest onta r i e n . M . Robert E . K a ss d e l ' U n i versite C a r n e g i e - M e l l o n p re n d ra l a parole a cette occasi o n . L ' i d e ntite d u d e u x i e m e conferencier sera d evoi l ee u n peu p l u s tard . La rencontre conJ ol nte annuelle des asso ciations regional es de Montreal, d' Ottawa et du sud de l ' Ontario a u ra l i eu dans la capita l e nationale a u cou rs d u mois d e mars 1 987. Les themes abord es seront vra i se m b l a b l ement I ' a n a l yse de d o n n ees categoriq ues et/ou I ' u ti l i sati o n d e m i c ro-ord i n a te u rs po u r I ' a n a l yse de don nees. Un Sym posium sur I ' em ploi de fichiers admi nistratifs a des fins statistiques se t i e n d ra a Ottawa au cou rs de I ' automne 1 987. Ce sym posi u m , qUi est com mand ite pa r Statistique Canada, portera s u r l es aspects m ethod ol ogiq ues d u sujet I I y sera q u es t i o n de I ' e m p l oi de f i c h i ers a d m i n i strat i fs d a n s I ' e l a borati on de p l a ns de sondage, I ' esti m ation et I ' eva l u ation d ' enquetes. Les p ro b l e m es d e confi denti al ite, d e rel ati ons avec I e p u bl i c et d ' i ntegra tion de d o n n ees d e d i verses sou rces y seront ega l e ment a bordes. Po u r en savoi r d ava ntage, contacter M . M . P. S i n g h a la directi on de la m ethod o l o g i e d e Statistique C a n a d a a Ottawa. "Si vous torturez les donnees assez longtemps, elles finiront p a r avouer. " - R o n a l d Coase WHAT'S HAPPENING ? / AU FAIT DE l'ACTUALlTE The Statistics Consu lti n g S e rv i c e of t h e Uni ve rsite de M ontreal ( S C l R U ) h a s rece n t l y b e e n awa rded i ts fi rst i nfrastruct u re grant by N S E RC . The serv i ce, which is staffed i n part by Professors G i l l es D u charme, Yves Lepage a n d Roch Roy, deals with a n average of 75 c l i ents per year. A new body enti t l e d the Nati onal Stat i st i cs Council has recentl y been created by the fed e r a l gove r n m ent f o r t h e pu rpose of advisi ng Statist i cs Canada on i ts pri oriti es, prog rams a n d pol i c i es. The co m m i ttee consi sts of a bo u t 35 representati ves from a l l reg i on s of Canada and a reas of p u bl i c l i fe. Among the m e m bers of ou r soci ety sitti ng on this cou n ci l a re Dr. I va n P. Fel l eg i , C h i ef Stati sti c i a n of Canada, D r . M a rt i n B. Wi l k, Presi d ent of the SSC, M m e N i co l e P . - G e nd reau, d i rector of the B u reau d e l a stat i sti q u e d u Q u e bec, a n d Professor M i chael A . Stephens o f Si m o n Fraser U n i ve rsity . T h e cou n c i l i s chai red b y Professor T h o m a s B . S y m o n s o f Trent U n i versity. The Department of Stati st i cs at the University of M anitoba has recently bee n h o n ored by the visits of Professors G u nnar K u l l d o rff and L u i Hang Wen . Professor K u l l d o rff, who spent si x weeks i n W i n n i peg, i s D i rector o f the I n st i tute o f M athe m a t i c a l Statist i cs at the U n i versity of U m e a , i n Swed e n . D r . H a ng Wen i s vi siti n g from Aca d e m i a S i n i ca u nt i l December 5 . H i s i nte rests l i e i n q u a l ity control theory and especial l y the Tageuchi m ethod . The si x vol u m es of the Proceedi ngs of the Joshi Festschrift w i l l be p u b l ished by the Rei del P u b l ish i n g Com pa n y at the end of t h i s ye a r . For m o re i nform ati o n , contact Dr. R . E . B u tts of the Depart ment of Phi l osophy at the U n i versity of Western O nta r i o . The I nstitute for I m prove ment i n Q u a l i ty a n d P r o d u ct i v i t y ( I I Q P ) w a s e s t a b l i s h e d b y t h e University of Waterloo i n Dece m be r of 1 985. Core f u n d i n g for the I nst i t u te h a s b e e n prov i d ed b y thi rteen i nd ustri a l p a rt n e rs w h o h a ve a g reed t o contri b u te 1 0 0 0 0 $ p e r y e a r f o r a m i n i m u m o f three years. T h e m aj o r focu s o f t h e I nsti tute 's work to d ate has been i n the a rea of a ppl i ed statistics. With the active i nvolvement of seve ra l m e m bers of the Department of Statistics and Act u a ri a l Sci ence, five short cou rses ra ngi ng in l ength from one to fi fteen d a ys have been d evel oped and presented on stati sti cal process control , reg ression and d esi g n o f expe r i m e nts. I n terms of resea rch a n d consu l ti ng activity, th ree contracts are c u r r e n t l y u n d e rway. The tota l va l u e of all contracts u nd e rtaken to d ate i n the a rea of a p pl i ed stati st i cs exceeds $ 350,000 Le d e p a rtement de statist i q u e et de proba b i l i te a p pl i q u ee de l' Universite de l'Alberta est en tra i n d e m ettre s u r pied u n b u reau d e consu ltati o n e n statisti q u e q u i offri ra ses serv i c e s a u x c h e rc h e u rs u n i versitai res a i nsi q u 'a u x secte u rs p u b l i c et prive. Cette i n iti ative est fi n a ncee par Ie Speci a l I n iti atives Funds 1 986 de l ' U n i versite de l 'Al berta . Le serv i ce d e consu l tati o n e n stati sti q u e d e l' Universite de Montreal (SCI R U ) s' est rece m m e n t vu octroyer u ne prem i e re su bvention d ' i nfrastruc t u re du C RS N G . Le serv i ce d essert p l u s de 75 cl i ents par a n n ee . M M . G i l l es Ducharme, Yves Lepage et Roch Roy y sont d etaches a d e m i -tem ps. Le gouvernem ent fed eral v i e nt d e m ettre su r pied u n org a n i s m e con s u l tati f a p pe l e I e Conse i l nati onal de la statisti que d ont I e m a n d at consiste a conse i l l e r Stati sti q u e Canada s u r ses pri o r i tes, ses prog ra m m es et ses pol itiq u es. Le com i te est com pose d ' e n v i ron 35 p e rson n a l i t es p r o v e n a n t d e toutes l es reg i ons d u pays. Pa r m i l es mem b res d e notre soci ete q u i si egent sur ce consei l , sou l i g nons M. Iva n P. Fel l eg i , stati st i c i e n en c hef du Canada, M . M a rt i n B . W i l k, presi dent d e l a SSC, M m e N i cole P. G en d re a u , d i rectrice du B u reau d e l a stati sti q u e du Q u e bec, et M. M i chael A . Stephens, d e l ' U n i versite S i m o n - F raser. Le presi d ent du n o u veau conse i l est M . Thomas B . Symons d e l ' U n i ve rsite Trent. Le d e pa rtement d e stati st i q u e d e l' Universite du Manitoba a rece m m ent eu Ie p l a i s i r d ' accuei l l i r M M . G u n n a r K u l l d orff et L u i H a ng Wen. M . K u l l dorff, q u i a sej o u rne a Wi n n i peg pend a nt si x sem a i nes, est d i recte u r d e I ' l nsti tut d e statist i q u e m athe mati q u e de l ' U n i versite de U m e a , en S u ed e . M . H a n g Wen, dont l a visite se term i nera I e 5 d ecem bre, est affi l i e a l 'Acad e m i e chi n o i se d e Beij i n g . I I s ' i nte resse a u x tech n i q u es d e l a m a it r i s e d e l a q u a l i te et nota m ment a l a m ethod e d e Tage uch i . Les s i x tomes d es Actes du symposium en I' hon neur de V . M. Joshi pa raitront chez Rei del avant l a fi n d e cette a n n ee . P o u r d e p l u s a m p l es d eta i l s , contacter M . R. E . B u tts d u d e pa rte ment d e p h i l oso ph i e a l ' U n i versite Western O nta r i o . L ' l nsti tut pou r I ' a m e l i oration d e l a q u a l ite et d e l a prod uctivite (IAQP) a ete cree p a r l' Universite de Waterloo en d ecembre 1 985. L ' l nsti tut est soutenu fi nanci erement par tre i z e p a rte n a i res i n d u str i e l s q u i s e sont engages a l u i verser 10 000 $ p a r a n n ee pou r u ne peri ode m i n i m a l e d e tro i s ans. J usq u ' i c i , l es acti vites d e I ' l nstitut ont surtout porte su r l a statisti q u e appl i q u ee . G race a l a col l aborati on ac ti ve d e pl u si e u rs mem b res d u departement de WHAT'S HAPPENING ? / AU FAIT DE L'ACTUALlT� - Stati stica l a ct i v i ty i n Ottawa i s certa i n l y n ot confi ned to Stati sti cs Canada and the u n i versities. A n u m be r of g ove r n m e nt d e p a rt m e nts a n d se m i pri vate orga n i zati ons are ca rryi ng out a vari ety of pol i cy revi ews that are suff i c i entl y specu l ative as to have a su bsta nti a l stati sti c a l component. N ota b l e a m ong these i s the Forget Commi ssion of Inqu i ry on u n e m p l oyment i ns u ra n ce, whose report is d u e a t the year e n d . The q u a ntitati ve as pects of t h i s report enta i l t h e pool i ng together o f a n u m ber of d i spa rate, very l a rge d ata sets, som e m od el l i ng to rel ate these sets, a consi d e ra b l e a m o u nt of d ata a n a l ysis, and si m u l ati o n s o f the m a c ro-eco nom i c i m pl i cati ons o f va rious po l i cy o pti ons. A parti c i pa nt has been q u oted to say that "the fi n a l report wi I I have more n u m bers per sq u a red i n ch than most i n recent memory " . Fu nds are avai l a b l e f o r i nv i t i n g V i siti ng Professors to spend from three m o nths to one yea r, between 1 986- 1 990, in the Department of Statistics at the U n i versity of Poona, Pune, I nd i a . The Visiting Professor/Fel l ow can i nteract with the fac u l ty mem bers which have i nterests in I n ference, I n ference i n Stocha st i c Proc esses, Rel i a b i l i ty, N o n p a ra m et r i c M ethods, Sa m pl i ng Theory, Stati stical Ecol ogy, by way of se m i n a rs or j oi nt resea rch proj ects. Teac h i n g of a grad uate cou rse can be m utua l l y benefi c i a l . Sem esters are J u l y 1 5 Novem ber 3 0 and December 1 5 - Apr i l 30. Depa rtment of Stati sti cs has 20 fa c u l ty mem bers_ The n u m ber of Ph . D ' s awarded i n past fi ve years is ten . Depa rtment has two years pro g ra m m e lead i ng to M. Sc . , post M . Sc. progra m m e lead i ng t o M . Ph i L There a r e a bout si xty stu d e nts stu d y i n g for M .S c . , about ten for M . Ph i l . and about five worki ng for thei r Ph. D . 's. - Conta ct: S _ R. Pa ra njape, Head , Department of Stati sti cs, U n i versity of Poon a , P u ne 4 1 1 007, I nd i a , si x months i n advance o f the i ntended visit pe riod_ - R E M N D E R / R A P P E L A new sse Membership Directory will be coming out in early 1 987. Please provide any cha nge of address as soon as possible to: U n nouveau repertoire des membres de fa sse paraitra au debut de 1 987. Veuillez com m uniquer au plus tot tout cha ngement d'adresse a : Mary E . Thom pson Depart. of Statistics and Actuarial Science U niversity of Waterloo Waterloo, Ont. N2l 3G1 stati stique et d ' a ctu a r i at, c i nq cours porta nt su r la maitri se d e la q u a l ite, la r e g ress i o n et la p l a n i fi cati o n d ' e x p e r i e n c e s o n t d ej a e t e c o n c; u s et offerts. Ces c o u rs peuvent s ' ec h e l o n n e r s u r u n e d u ree de u n a q u i nze j ou rs. Trois proj ets d e cons u l tati on e t d e recherche sont egal ement en cours d e rea l i sati o n . L a va l e u r tota l e d es contrats a l l ou es a I ' l nstitut d e passe 350 000 $. I I n ' y a pas q u ' a Stati stique Canada et q u e d a ns l es u n i versi tes q u e I ' on fa i t d e l a stati st i q u e a Ottawa. Les n o m b reu ses etu d es et I ' eval u ation d e pol i t i q u es publ i q u es a u xq u el l es se l i vrent u n bon n o m b re d e m i n i steres et d ' org a n i sm e s p u b l i cs et para pu b l i cs comportent sou vent u n e com posante d ' a n a l yse statist i q u e qui est l o i n d ' etre neg l i geable. ( ' est nota m m ent I e cas d e l a Commission d'enque te Forget s u r l ' assura nce-ch6mage, d ont I e rapport doit etre sou m i s avant l a fi n de I ' a n n ee . Les con c l u s i o n s du ra pport seront eta yees de c h i ffres, d ' a n a l yse d e d o n n ees et de previsi ons fond ees su r I ' ex p l orati o n d es conseq u e n ces m a cro- e c o n o m i q u es d e s d i ffere ntes p o l i t i q u e s e n v i s a g ees a u moyen d e si m u l ati ons. Tous ces ca l c u l s font i nter ven i r d es masses de donn ees h eteroc l i tes q u ' i l a fal l u reg rou per, i ntegrer et rel i er a u m oyen de m o d e l es et de m ethod es statistiques. U n mem bre de l a com m i ssion a d i t d e ce rapport q u ' i l "cont i e n d ra p l u s de c h i ffres p a r pouce ca rre q u ' o n en a v u s d e p u i s bel l e l u rette " . L ' U n i versite d e Poona , a P u ne e n I n d e , nous i n forme d e l a d i spo n i b i l ite d ' u ne bou rse perm ettant a un professeu r i n vite de fa i re un stage d ' u n e d u ree d e 3 m o i s a un a n , entre 1 986 et 1 990, au d eparte ment de Statistiq ues de cette u n i versite Les mem bres d e l a fac u l te avec l esq uels I e boursier sera en rel ation s ' i nte ressent aux questi ons re l ati ves a I ' i n ference statisti q u e , a I ' i nference d a ns l es processus stochast i q u es, a la fi a b i l ite, a u x m ethod es n o n para m etri q u es, a l a theorie de I ' echa nti l l on nage, a l a statist i q u e e n ec o l og i e . Cette re l at i o n pou rra s ' eta b l i r par Ie b i a i s d e sem i n a i res o u de p roj ets conj oi nts de reche rche. Les sem estres s ' ete ndent d u 15 j u i l l et a u 30 novem bre, et d u 1 5 d ecem b re a u 3 0 avri L L e d epartement d e Statisti q u es c o m porte 20 professe u rs. Dix d octorats ont ete d ecernes a u cours d es c i nq d erni eres a n nees. Le d eparte ment offre u n prog ra m m e d e d e u x a n s m e n a n t a I ' o bt e n t i o n d ' u n e m ait r i se, e t u n progra m m e p ost- m aitr i se . E nvi ron 6 0 etu d i a nts sont i nscrits a l a maitrise, 1 0 au post- m altrise et envi ron 5 trava i l l ent a I ' obte n tion d e l e u r d octorat. Pour tout rensei gnement, on d oi t contacter si x mois avant l a d ate souhaitee de visite: S. R. Paran j a pe, D i recteu r, d e pa rtement d e Statisti q u es, U n i versite d e Poona, Pune 4 1 1 007, I nd e . - WHAT'S HAPPENING ? / AU FAIT DE L'ACTUALITE I NT E R NATI ONAL M E ETI N G S/R E N CONTR E S I NTERNATI O N A L E S • • • • • • • • Dec 3-5, 1 98 6 - A tlantic City, NJ, USA Forty-second Annual Conference on Applied Statistics. W. R . Y o u n g , M e d i c a l Resea rch D ivision, A m erica n Cya n a m i d C o m p a n y , B u ilding 60, R o o m 2 0 3 , Pearl R i ve r, New York, 1 09 6 5 , U S A . D e c 4-5. 1 986 - New York, USA Third Conference on Criminal J ustice Statistics. L E. C h rist, Cri m i n a l J ust ice, City U n iversity of New Y o r k , 445 W . 5 9 Street, New Y o r k , 1 00 1 9 , U S A . D e c 6-8, 1 986 - Ottawa, CA N Canadian Mathem atica l Society: Winter Meeting. W. B u rgess, Depa rt . of M a t h e m atics U n iversity of Ottawa Ottawa , Ont., K 1 N 9 B 4 . Dec 8-1 0, 1 986 - Washington, DC, USA 1 986 Winter S i m ulation Conference. S Roberts, Progra m C h a i r m a n WSC86, Regenstrief I n st., 1 00 1 W . 1 0th St., I n d ia n a po l is, I N 4 6 2 0 2 , U S A . • J a n 7-9, 1 98 7 - Orlando, FL, USA ASA Winter Confe rence: Statistics in the Information Age. ASA, 806 1 5th St., N W , Wa s h i ngton, DC 2000 5 , USA. • Jan 1 2- 1 4, 1 987 - Claremont, CA, USA Conference on Industry-University Collaborations in the Mathematical Sciences . E . C u m be r batch, C l a re m o nt G rad u a te School, Claremo nt, CA 9 1 7 1 1 , U SA . • • • D e c 8 - 1 0 , 1 986 - Newark, Ni, USA 42nd Annual Conference on Applied Statistics. B. We l c h , 7 6 H e n d e rson Roa d , K e n d a l l P a r k , N J , USA. (ASQC, ASA) Dec 1 0- 1 2, 1 986 - Tokyo, Japan Second Pacific A rea Statistical Conference. Recent Developments in Statistical Theory a nd Data Ana lysis. ( K e l o Plaza H ote l ) Dec 1 5- 1 7, 1 986 - Cirencester, U K IMA Conference on Cryptogra phy and Coding. The Dep uty Secreta ry, I MA, M a i t l a n d H o use, Warrior S q u a re, Southe nd-on-Sea , Essex. S S 1 2 J Y , U K . ( I MA) Dec 1 5- 1 9, 1 986 - Santiago, Chile International Workshop on Multivariate Approxim ation. Prof. F . Utreras, D e pt. of Appl ied Math e m atics, U n ive rsity of C h i l e , Casa l l a , 1 70/3 , Correo 3 , Sa ntiago, C h i l e . • • • Jan 1 2- 1 6, 1 987 - Havana, Cuba Seminar on Approx i m ation and Optimization. H . T . B a n ks, A p p l ied Mathem atics Division, Brown U n i versity, Providence, Rhode I s l a n d , 0 29 1 2 , USA. Jan 1 6. 1 987 - Pittsburgh, PA, USA 4t h Annual Grad Student Presentations on Statistical Methodology. R. A. B i lonlck , Conso l idation Coa l C o . , Consol P l a z a , Pittsburg h , PA 1 5 24 1 , U S A . Jan 29-3 1 , 1 987 - Logan, UT, USA Utah State U n iversity Department of Mathematics Second Conference on Matrix Theory. L. B. Beasley, Dept. of M at h e m atics, Utah State U n i ve rsity, Log a n , UT 843 2 2 -4 1 2 5 , U S A . Feb 1 3- 1 8, 1 987 - Chicago, IL, USA Annual Meeting, A m erican Association for the Advancement of Science. AAAS Meet i n g s Office, 1 3 3 3 H St , N. W , Wash i n gto n , DC 2000 5 , USA. Feb 1 7- 1 9, 1 987 - St. Louis, MO, USA ACM Computer Science Conference. A . R. DeKock , Confere n ce C h a i r Or D r . G . Zobr ist, Program C h a i r, C S C ' 8 7 , M C 3 2 5 , U n iversity of M isso u r i , Rol l a , MO 6540 1 , U S A . (Assoc i a t i o n f o r Co m p uting Mach i n e ry) Ma rch 8 - 1 1 , 1 987 - Philadelphia. USA Computer Science and Statistics: 1 9t h Symposium on the Interface. R . M. H e l be r g e n Department of StatistiCS. Schoo l B U Si ness Ad m i n istration T e m p l e U n ive rsity P h i lad e l p h i a , P A 1 9 1 2 2 , USA. • March 22-25. 1 987 - Dallas. TX. USA Institute of Mathematical Statistics Central Regional Meeting. R. A. Joh nson, Dept. of Statistics, U n iversity of Wisco n s i n , 1 2 1 0 W. Dayton S t . , Madiso n , W I 5 3 70 6 , USA. • March 22-26. 1 987-Philadelphia. PA, USA Computer Graphics '87. E d ucation Coo rd i n ator. Nationa l Com p ute r G ra p h iCS Ass n . , S u ite 200, F a i rfax, VA 2 2 03 1 , USA. • March 23-28. 1 987 -Haifa. Israel Fifth International Conference on Geometry, Combinatorial Structures. Convexity. R . Artzy or J. Z a k s Department of Math e m atics U n i versity of H a ifa H a if a , 3 1 999, I s ra e l . • March 23-30. 1 98 7 -Columbus. Ohio. USA N SF-CBMS Conference on Mathematical Statistics. S. Leurg a ns, Department of M athem atics, Ohio State U n i versity, Col u m bus, O h i o 4 3 2 1 0 , U SA . • A p r i l 8 - 1 0, 1 987 - Cambridge, UK Charter Centenary Conference of the Royal Statistical Society. I . H . B l e n k i nsop, Exec. Secretary, Royal Statisti ca l Society, 25 E nford St , London, W1 H 2 B H . U K . (RSS) • April 2 8- Ma y 1 , 1 987 - Uxbridge, UK The Mathematics of Finite E lements and its Applications 1 987. The Secretary The I n stitute of C o m p utatI O n a l Math e m a tiCs B r u n e i U n iversity Uxbridge, Mddx , O B 8 3 P H , U K . • M a y 4-6, 1 987 - Minneapolis, NM, USA Annual Quality Congress. S .A . H a l l a d a y A m e r ican Soci ety for Q u a l ity Contro l , 2 3 0 W We l l s St., M i lwa u k e e , W I 5 3 2 0 3 , U S A . • 1 8. 1 9. 2 0 mai, 1 987 - Lausanne. Suisse Journees de statistique 1 987. P rofesse u r M i c h e l Leje u n e J o u rnees de sta tisti q u e U n i versite Lausa n n e , 1 0 1 5 , S U isse WHAT'S HAPPENING ? / A U FAIT DE L'ACTUALITE • • May 27-29, 1 987 - Blacksburg, VA, USA Institute of Mathematical Statistics E a stern Regional Meeting. R. A. J o h n s o n , D e pt. of Statistics, U n iversity o f Wisco n s i n , 1 2 1 0 W. Dayton St , M a d i s o n , WI 5 3 70 6 , U S A . May 3 1 -J une 5, 1 987 - Raleigh, NC, USA International Conference on Qua ntitative Genetics. Dr. B . S . Weir, Conference Secretary, D e pt. of StatistiCS, N orth Ca ro l i n a State U n i versity, Box B 2 0 3 , R a l e i g h , N o rt h Ca ro l i n a 2 7 6 9 5 , U S A • J u n e 1 -4, 1 987 - Tampere, Finland Second International Tampere Conference in Statistics. C o n ference Secreta ry, C 1 2 3 , Dept . of Math . S c i e n ces, U n iversity of Tam pere, PO B ox 607, S F - 3 3 1 0 1 T a m pere, F i n l a n d . • J u ne 29·July 1 , 1 987 - Aachen, FRG Conference on Classification and Related Methods of Data Analysis. H . H . Bock I n stitut fur Statist i k und W i rtschafts mathematik Tec h n i ca l U n iversity W u e l l n erstrasse 3 Aa c h e n , D-5 1 00 , F RG • • July 1 9-24, 1 987 - Prague, CZE Conference on Potential Theory. F a c u lty of Mathem atics a n d P h ys i cs C h a rles U n i ve rsity S o k o l ovska 83 Praha 8 , 1 8 600, Czechosl ova k i a . • A u g 1 0- 1 6, 1 987 - St. Louis, MO, USA Sixth International Conference on Mathematical Modeling. E. Y Rod i n Depart. o f Syste m s S c i e n c e a n d Mathematics Washi ngton U n i versity Ca m p us Box 1 040 O n e B rook i n g s Drive St. Lou IS, MO 6 3 1 3 0 , U S A . May 27-30, 1 987 - Kingston, Ont., CAN. Canadian Mathematical Society Summer Meeting. G. O rzech Depa rt m e nt of Mathem atics a n d Statistics Q u e e n ' s U n i ve rsity K i n g sto n , O nt., K7L 3 N 6 , CAN. · 3 1 mai - 3 juin 1 987 - Quebec, CAN Societe Statistique du Canada M. M o o re, president du Com ite du prog ra m m e E cole polytec h n i q u e , M o ntre a l ( Q u e bec) H 3 C 3 A 7 , Ca n a d a . • • J u ne 29-July 5 , 1 987 - Paris, France Premiere conference internationale conjointe sur les mathematiques industrielles et a ppliquees Dep uty Sec retary, I MA, M a itl a n d H o use, Wa r r i o r S q u a re, S o u t h e n d -o n -Sea, Essex, SSl 2JY. U K . ( I MA, G A M M , S I A M , S M A I ) J u ly 1 1 - 1 3, 1 987 - Montgomery, AL, USA International Conference on Data Bases in the H u m a nities and Social Science. L. J M cCra n k , Dea n , AU M Li bra ry a n d Resou rce Centre, A u b u r n U n iversity, M o ntgom ery, AL, U S A . • A u g 1 6-2 1 , 1 987 - Stanford, CA , USA Sixteenth Conference on Stochastic Processes and Their A pplications. D . L . I g l e h a rt, Dept. of O pe ra t i o n a l Resea rch, Sta n ford U n i versity, Sta nford, CA 94305-40 2 2 , U SA . • A u g 1 7-20, 1 987 - San Francisco, CA , USA 1 987 Joint Statistical Meetings, American Statistical Association, Biometric Society, IMS. ASA, 806 1 5th St., N . W . , Washi ngto n , DC 2000 5 , U SA. ( I M S B i o m et r i cs Society, ASA) • Aug 1 7-20, 1 987 - Boston, MA, USA International Congress on Planning and Design Theory. The A m e r i c a n Society of M e c h a n i c a l E n g i n ee rs, 345 e . 47th St., New Y o r k , N Y 1 00 1 7 , U S A . • Aug 2 1 -23, 1 987 - Thessaloniki, Greece The Mathematics of E x perimental Designs Stochastic Systems. S Kounias Aristotle U n iversity T h essa l o n l k l , G reece. • Aug 24-28, 1 987 - Thessaloniki, Greece European Meeting of Statisticians. S. K o u n l a s Aristotle U n iversity Thessa l o n l k i , G reece. ( B e r n o u l l i SOCiety) • Aug 24-28, 1 987 - Seattle, WA, USA Sixth National Conference on Artificial Intelligence. L. Cooper, American Assoc i ation for Art i f i c i a l I nte l l i g e n ce , 4 4 5 B u rg ess D r . , M e n l o P a r k , C A 9 40 2 5 , U S A . • Aug 24-28, 1 987 - Thrace, Greece Equadiff 87 Conference on Differential Equations. E q u ad iff 8 7 , Dem omtas U n i ve rsity of T h race, Section o f Appl ied Mathemat i cs, X a nt h " 6 7 1 00 G reece. • Sept 8- 1 6, 1 987 - Tokyo, Japan 46th Biennial Session of the International Statistical Institute. l S I P e r m a n e n t Office, 428 P r l nses Beatrl x l a a n , PO Box 950, V o o b u r g , 2 2 70 AZ , Neth e r l a n d s . . 29 sept · 2 oct, 1 98 7 - Versailles, France Cinquieme Symposium international sur les a n a lyses et les transformations de donnees. B u re a u des c o l l o q u e s Do m a i n e des V o l u ce a u - B P - 1 0 5 Le C h e s n a y Cedex, 7 8 1 5 3 , F r a n c e . • D e c 1 2- 1 9 , 1 987 - Vancouver, BC, CAN. Canad i a n Mathematical Society Winter Meeting. D. SJe rve Depa rt m e nt o f M at h e m atics U n ive rsity of B r itish Co l u m bi a V a n c o u v e r , B C , V B T l W 5 , Ca n a d a . WHAT'S HAPPENING ? I AU FAIT DE L'ACTUAlIT� CRI M I N O M ETRICA V o l u m e 1 , 1 98 5 of C ri m i n o m etma was released i n e a r l y s u m m e r . A few co m p l i m e nta ry copies o f t h e j o u r n a l a r e sti l l a va i l a b l e o n a f i rst co m e , fi rst served basis. L e vol u m e 1 ( 1 9 8 5 ) d e C r i m i n o m et r l ca a ete p u b l i e a u d e b u t de I ' ete. Q u e l q ues exe m p l a i res p e u v e n t e n core e t r e o bte n u s g ratu ite m e nt. P re m i e rs a r rives, prem i e rs serv i s l Please send i n $2.00 for postage to: O n est prie d'envoyer 2,00 $ pour les frais de poste il : Crim inometrica, Department of Sociology, The Un iversity of Alberta, Edmonton, A l berta, Canada T6G 2 H4, Criminometrica, Departement de sociologie, Un iversite de I'Alberta, E d monton (Alberta) Canada T6G 2 H4. The second vol u m e of C ri m i n o m et r i ca is p l a n n e d to be released in e a rly 1 98 7 . S u bscri pti o n rates: $ 5 00 i n d i v i d uals, a n d 5 1 0 .00 i nstitutions. P l e a se m a i l y o u r s u bscr i pt i o n t o C ri m l nome t r i ca a s e a r l y a s possi b l e . Le second vol u m e d e C ri m i n o m etma paraftra au d e b ut de 1 98 7 . Tarif d e sousm pt i o n 5 ,00 S p o u r les I nd i v i d u s, et 1 0 ,00 5 p o u r les i n stitut i o n s . P rt t ? re de rem ettre vos sousc r l ptlons a C r t m i n o m etrica I e p l u s tot poss i b l e . CAll FOR PAPERS/I N V ITAT I O N TENTH CONFERENCE ON PROBABILITY AN D STATISTICS I N ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE The Tenth Confe rence on Probabil ity a n d Statistics in Atmospheric Science W i l l be h e l d J O i n t l y W i t h the Seventh Conference on Hydrometeorology a n d the E leventh Conference on Weather Modification In October 1 98 7 in Al berta . The p ro g ra m is be i n g a r r a n g e d by the AMS C o m m ittee on P roba b i l ity a nd Statistics. P a pers are req u e sted o n a l l a s p ects o f p r o ba b i l ity a n d stat istics i n atm o s p h e r i c science. Pa pers d e a l i n g With statistical i n ference, part i c u l a r l y I n hydrology, weat h e r m o d if icati o n , a n d c l i m atology W i l l b e k e y e l e m ents of t h i s con fere n c e . I n a d d iti o n , pa pers desc r i b i n g n e w statistica l tec h n i ques a n d a p pl ications o f n e w a n d eXist i n g tech n i q ues, i n c l u d i n g work o n forecast i n g , the util ity and i m pact of forecasts, sig n a l detect i o n and c l i m ate a n a lysis are e n c o u r a g e d . Titles a n d reviewe r's a bstracts of 200 w o r d s o r l e s s s h o u l d be s e n t n o later t h a n Ma rch 1 5, 1 987 to : Prog ram Chairman Fra ncis W. Zwiers, Ca nadian Clim ate Centre, 4905 Dufferin Street, Downsview, Ontario, Canada, M3 H 5T4 (telephone: (4 16) 667-4963). The a bstracts s h o u l d co nta i n the co m p lete m a i l i n g a d d ress a n d the te l e p h o n e n u m ber of the lead a ut h o r . Notifi cati o n of the accepta n ce of the papers W i l l be com pleted by A p r i l 1 5 , 1 987. A preprint vol u m e W i l l b e prepared a n d d i st r t b uted a t the Conference. C a m e ra-ready m a n uscri pts of n o m o re than 8 pa ges, i n c l u d i n g d i a g r a m s and p h otog raphs, m u st be recei ved at AMS H e a d q u a rters n o later t h a n J u n e 1 5 , 1 98 7 . I n structions a n d speci a l ty p i n g p a p e r w i l l b e f u r n ished t o a uthors w e l l before that date. Page c h a rges will be assessed to help defray p r t n t i n g costs. Further enquiries should be directed to the Program Chairman. A S O U M ETTRE D ES TEXTES DIXI E ME CONF ERENCE SUR LES PROBABILITES ET LA STATISTIQUE DANS LES SCIENCES DE L'ATMOSPHERE La dixieme conference sur les probabilites et la statistique dans les sciences de I'atm osphere se t l e n d ra conj O l nte m ent avec la Septieme conference sur I'hydrometeorologie et la Onzie me conference sur les modifications du temps a u mOls d ' octo b r e 1 987, en A l berta . L e progra m m e est e l a bore par I e Com lte s u r l e s proba b l l ites e t l a statlst l q u e de I ' A M S . O n e s t I n v i te a fou r n l r d e s textes s u r t o u t a s p ect d e s proba b i l ites e t d e l a statist l q u e d a n s les s C i e n ces de I ' atmosphe reo Les textes a yant p o u r sUjet l ' l nference statlst l q u e , part l c u l i e re m e nt e n hydrolog l e , e n m od ificat i o n s d u tem ps e t en c l i m a to l o g i e , seront l es e l e m e nts-cles de cette confere n c e . O n e n c o u r a g e l a presenta tion d e textes d e c r l v a n t d e n o u velles tec h n i q ues stat isti q u es ou des a p p l ications d e tec h n i q ues n o u v e l l e s o u deja exista ntes, y com prls les travaux sur les previSions, I ' ut i l isation et I ' i m pact des previsions, la detection d es s i g n a u x c l i m atiques et les a n a lyses du c l i mat. Le titre d e ces textes, d e m e m e q u ' u n resu m e d e 200 m ots ou m o ins, d o ivent etre e n voyes au p l u s tard I e 1 5 m a rs 1 987 a u : Responsable d u progra m me, Francis W . Zwiers, Canadian Clim ate Centre, 4905, rue Dufferin, Downsview (Ontario) Canada, M3 H 5T4 (telephone: (4 16) 667-4963). O n d o it y i nd i q u e r I ' a d resse postale co m plete et I e n u mero de te l e p h o n e d e I ' a ute u r principal. Un avis d ' a c c e ptatl o n d u d o c u m e nt sera re m i s avant I e 1 5 a v r i l 1 9 8 7 . U n vo l u m e reg r o u p a n t c e s textes sera constltue e t d i st r l b u e a la Confe rence . L e s m a n u scrits prets a etre repro d u its e t a y a n t a u p l u s 8 pages (y com pris les g r a p h i q ues e t les photos) doivent etre sou m i s a u q u a rt i e r general d e I 'A M S a u p l u s ta rd I e 1 5 j U l n 1 98 7 . Les I n formations tec h n i q u es relative s a l a presentation des textes, d e meme que d u pa p i e r spec i a l seront fo u r n ls aux a u te u rs suff i sa m m ent lo ngtem ps avant cette date. Des f r a l s serant exiges afin d e couvm les couts d ' i m press i o n . Toute d e m a nde d ' information a d d itionnelle d o i t e t r e adressee a u responsable du progra m m e . Voe banque de donnees quI se feuillette. L'Annuaire du Quebec revient dans Autres publications du Bureau de la une presentation rajeunie, avec un statistique du Quebec: contenu enrichi de sujets d' actua lite. 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Quebec: 643-5 1 1 6 Montreal: 873-4722 Sans frais: 1 -800-463-4090 Nos publications sont en vente dans les librairies des Publications du Quebec et chez les concessionnaires: Chicoutimi: 549-7 1 3 5 Montreal: 873-6 1 0 1 Saint-Lambert: 465-5597 Quebec: 643-3895 Rouyn: 764-9574 Trois-Rivieres: 378- 1 525 Hull: 770-0 1 1 1 643-4296 Rimouski: 723-852 1 Sainte-Foy: 65 1 -4202 Sherbrooke: 566-0344 Par commande postaie: Les Publications du Quebec Case postale 1 005 Quebec (Quebec) G I K 7B5 Toute comman de est payable cheque ou mandat-poste Publications du Quebec . it it l ' avance, par l'ordre de Les IT H E P I E RR E R O B I L LA R D AWAR D 19871 1 R E S EARCH F E L LOWS H I PS A N D I NT E R N S H I PS I The objective of t h i s award is to recog n i z e t h e best P h . D . thesis defended i n a Ca n a d i a n u n iversity i n 1 986 a n d written i n a field covered by The Ca n a d i a n J o u r n a l of Statistics. Statist i cs C a n a d a offe rs v i s it i n g sc h o l a rs a n d s c i e n t i st s opport u n ities for q u a ntitative r e s e a r c h t h ro u g h its R e s e a rch F e l l ows h i ps and I n t e r n s h i ps P r o g ra m . As Ca n a d a ' s n a t i o n a l statisti ca l a g e ncy, Statistics C a n a d a provides a strong tec h n i c a l a n d profess i o n a l e n vironment a nd a large col l ection of data i n su pport o f soc i a l , eco n o m i c , a n d statistical stud ies. S u bm itted theses w i l l be eva l u ated by a pa n e l of j u d g e s a p p o i nted b y t h e Presid e nt o f t h e Statistical Soci ety o f Ca n a d a ; t h e i r decision w i l l be f i n a l . J u d g i n g w i l l b e on the b a s i s o f t h e level of ori g i n a l ity i n t h e i d e a s a n d te c h n i q u e s , t h e poss i b l e a p p l ications a n d t h e i r treatm e nt, a n d t h e pote ntial i m pact o n t h e statistical scien ces. T h e p a n e l m a y a rrive a t t h e concl usion that m ore t h a n one, or a lternatively, that n o n e of the subm Itted t h eses m e rits the award . The award consists of a certificate, a m o n etary prize, a n d a free one-ye a r m e m be rsh i p in the Statistical Society of Ca n a d a . The w i n n e r w i l l b e i n vited t o present a com m u n l cation based o n t h e thesis at the 1 987 a n n u a l m eeti n g of the Statistical Society o f Ca n a d a ; assista nce with expenses t o attend the m eeti n g m a y b e provided . The w i n n e r w i l l a l so b e I n v i ted t o s u b m I t a p a p e r based o n t h e thesis t o T h e Ca n a d i a n J o u r n a l o f Statist i cs . I f s u b m itted with i n a year of receipt o f t h e award, t h e paper w i l l b e g i ven speci a l atte nti o n (rapid decision, rapid p u b l icati o n i f accepted, h e l p f r o m the e d ito r i a l board ) I f a c ce pted , t h e paper w i l l be i d entified when p u b l ished a s being based on the theses w h i ch won the Pierre Ro b i l l a rd Award; the n a m es of t h e u n iversity a n d the t h esis s u pervisor w i l l be clea rly I nd icated. T h e t h e s i s su pervisor c o u l d b e co-a uthor of the paper. The Award Coordinator m ust receive four (4) copies of the theses tog e t h e r w i t h a c o v e r i n g letter from the t h e s i s supervisor indicating why the thesis i s suitable as an entry i n the competition (description o f the problem, techniques a n d results, pote ntia l i m pact . . . ), b y J a n u a ry 1 5 , 1 98 7 . O ff i c i a l confirmation that the thesis h a s been defended in 1 986 m ust also be provided. Coordinator: Professor J . T. Smith Department of Mathematics and Statistics Queen's U niversity Kingston, Ontario K71 3 N 6 Telephone: (6 1 3 ) 545-24 1 9 . 1 E x a m ples of poss i b l e a reas for research a r e : m a n p o w e r s u p p l y a n d d e m a n d , price m e a s u re m e nt, data q u a l i ty a s s e s s m e nt, hospita l util isation, m i n ority g r o u p stu d i e s , confide n ti a l ity assurance tec h n i q ues, t i m e series a n a lySIS, s m a l l a rea data esti m ati o n , i n c o m e d istribution, dev e l o p m e n t of new d a t a , a n d a n a lysis of data from a variety of spec i a l s u rveys. A l i m ited n u m be r of fel lows h i ps w i l l be awarded to I n d ivi d u a ls with d e m o n strated releva nt expertise. A p p l i ca nts w i l l be asked to s u b m it a clear proposal for research they wish to carry out at Statistics Ca n a d a on a topic of m utua l i nterest a n d benefit to the a g e ncy a n d to t h e VISiting resea rcher. F o r some prOJets, i nterns h i ps may be awarded at the req u e st of t h e f e l l o w to support a visiti n g g r a d uate student a s research assista nt. The te n u re of a n awa rd w i l l n o r m a l l y be one year, but i s n e g oti a b l e . S t i pe n d s f o r f e l l o w s a n d i n t e r n s w i l l r e f l e c t q u a l i f i ca t i o n s a n d e x p e r i e n c e , w i t h a p o s s i b l e a d d i t i o n a l a l l owance made for relocat ion a n d travel expenses. A pplication deadlines are May 31 and Nove m ber 30 annually. For further informa tion, write to: Research Fellowships and Internships Program International a nd Professional Relations Division Statistics Canada Ottawa, Ontario K 1 A OT6 Canada Telephone: (6 1 3 ) 990-8920. N O M I NAT I O NS I NV IT E D F O R COPSS PRE S I D E NTS' AWAR D COPSS, The Co m m ittee of Preside nts of Statistical Societies, sponsors a n d presents the Presidents' Award to a young m e m b e r o f t h e stat isti cal com m u n ity i n recog nition of outsta n d i n g contri butions t o t h e p rofess i o n of stat i s t i c s . T h e P r e s i d e nts' Award is j o i ntly sponsored by the A m e r i c a n Statist i c a l Asso ciation, the I n stitute of Mathematica l Statistics, the B i o m e t r i c Society E NAR, the B i o m etric Society W N A R , a n d t h e Stat i st i c s Society o f Ca n a d a , operati n g t h rou g h C O P S S . T h e Award con s i sts of a s u itable p l a q u e a n d a cash awa rd in the sum of $ 1 ,000 a n d i s presented a n n u a l l y at a "joint m eeti n g " of the sponso r i n g societies. The rec i p ient of t h e Preside nts' Award shall be a m e m be r of at l e a st one of the partici pati ng societies. The cand idate may be c h osen for a s i n g l e contri bution of extraord i n a ry m e rit, o r a n outst a n d i n g a g g regation o f co ntributions, to the profess i o n of statistics. T h e Presidents' Award is g ra nted to an i n d i v i d u a l w h o 1 h a s not yet reached h e r/his 40th b i rthday a t the t i m e of p resen tation of the awa rd . Members of the constituent societies are invited to send nominations of candidates to : R. Gnanadesik a n Chair, C O P S S Presidents's Award Com m ittee Bell Communications Researsh Room 2 Q-386 435 South Street Morristown, NJ 07960- 1 96 1 Com plete a n d c u rrent res u m es a s w e l l as a letter conta i n i n g s u p po rt i n g a r g u m e n t s f o r t h e n o m i n a t i o n m u st a l so b e subm itted for each n o m i n ee a n d t h e d e a d l i n e f o r rece i pt o f t h e m at e r i a l is December 3 1 , 1 986. --------��r-- I LE PRIX PI E RR E ROB I L LA R D 1 987 I L ' o bj ectif de ce prix est de s o u l i g n er la m e i l l e u re these d e doctorat soute n ue d a n s u n e universite c a n a d i e n n e e n 1 98 6 et portant s u r I ' u n des d o m a ines couverts par La Revue Canad ienne de Statist i q u e . L e s theses s o u m ises seront eva l uees p a r u n j u ry nom m e p a r I e Presid ent d e l a Societe Statist i q u e d u Cana d a ; sa d e c i s i o n s e r a s a n s a p p e l . L e s criteres seront: I e nivea u d ' orig inal ite d e s idees et d e s tech n i q ues e m ployees, les a pp l ications poss i b l e s et l e u r tra ite m e nt a insi q u e I ' i m pact pote nti e l s u r les sc i e n c e s sta t i s t i q ues. Le j u ry peut a rriver a la concl u s i on q u e p l u s d ' u n e these ou, a I ' o p pose, q u ' a u c u n e des theses sou m ises ne m e rite I e p r i x . Le g a gnant recevra u n certificat, u n e reco m pe n se en a rgent et a u ra g ratu ite m e nt pend a nt u n an tous l e s p r i v i l e g e s d e s m e m bres d e l a Societe Statist i q u e d u Cana d a . L e reci p i e n d a i re sera i n vite a assister a la r e u n i o n ann u e l l e de la Societe Statis t i q u e du C a n a d a et a y presenter une co m m u n ication basee s u r sa these; certains d e s e s fra is d e d e p l a c e m ent ou d e sej o u r p o u r ront i!tre defrayes p a r la Societe. Fina l e m e nt, Ie g a g n a nt sera invite a s o u m ettre a La Revue Cana d i enne d e Statist i q u e u n a rt i cle b a s e s u r sa these. S i cet a rticle e s t so u m is d a n s l ' a n nee s u i v a n t I ' attr i b u t i o n d u prix, u n e attention spec i a l e l u i s e r a a c c o r d e e ( d e c i s i o n ra p i d e , p u b l i cation ra p i d e d a n s I e c a s d ' u n e accepta tion, a i d e des redacteurs . . -l- S i I ' a rtlcle est accepte, i l sera m e n tio nne l o rs de sa p u b l ication q u ' i l est base s u r la these q u i a m e ri te I e Prix P i erre Ro b i l l a r d ; les noms d e I ' u n ive rsite et d u d i recte u r d e t h ese seront c l a i rem e nt I n d i ques. L e d i recte u r d e these pour ra lt i!tre co-a ute u r de cet a rticle. Le responsable du prix doit recevoir quatre (4) copies de chaque these soumise a u plus t a rd Ie 1 5 ja nvier 1 98 6 a i ns i qu'une lettre du directeur de these justifiant la participation it l a com petition (description du probleme, origina lite• . . .) . U n e attes tation officielle certifiant que la these fut soutenue en 1 986 doit etre annexee. I B O U RS ES D E R E C H E RC H E ET D E STAG ES I Statisti q u e Cana d a offre a ux c h e rc h e u rs et scienti f i q u es e n visite, l a poss i b i l ite d e m e n e r d e s recherches q u a ntitatives, g race a son prog ra m m e de bou rses de rech e rc h e et de sta g e s . A t i tre d ' o rg a n i s m e national de l a statist i q u e , Statist i q u e Canada four nit une l a rg e g a m m e de services tech n iq ue s et specia l i ses, de mElme q u ' u n g rand nom bre d e donnees s u scepti bles d e serv i r a la real isation d 'etu d es soc i a l es, econo m i q u e s et statist i q u es . Voici q u e l q u e s e xe m p l e s de d o m a i n e s de r e c h e r c h e poss i b l e s : I ' offre e t l a d e m an d e d e m a i n-d'oeuvre, l a m es u re des prix, I ' eva l uation de l a q u a l ite des d o n nees, Ie ta u x d 'occupation d e s h6pitaux, les etudes sur l e s m i n o rites, les tech n i q u e s de confidential ite, I 'analyse d e series c h ronologiq ues, I 'esti m ation d e s donnees pour les petites reg ions, l a re p a rtition d e s revenus, l a prod u ction de nouve l le s d onnee s et I ' ana l yse de d on n ees prove n a nt de d i fferentes e n q uetes speci a le s . U n nom bre l i m ite d e bou rses s e r a accorde a u x perso n nes q u i a u ro nt d e m o n t r e l e s c o n n a i s s a n c e s p e rt i n e nt e s . L e s cand i d ats devront presenter u n projet d e recherche precis q u ' i l s a i m era i ent rea l iser a Statist i q u e Cana d a s u r u n sujet p resentant un interet et des avantages pour l es deux p a rties. P o u r certains projets, Statist i q u e C a n a d a pou rra accorde r , a l a d e m ande d u bo u rs i e r, une bou rse d e sta g e a u n etu d i a nt d e 2 e o u 3 e cycle invite a titre d ' adjoint de rech e rche. Les bou rses seront n o r m a l e m ent accordees p o u r u n e perio d e d ' u n an, mais ce p o i nt pourra etre n eg o c i e . L'aide f i n a nciere versee a u x boursiers et a u x sta g l a i res sera eta b l i e en fonct i o n d es q u a l ifications e t d e I ' experie nce, e t p o u rra s ' a ccom pa g n e r d ' une ind e m nite de re i n sta l l ati on et de deplacement. C h a q u e a n n e e . les d a t e s l i m it e s p o u r a d re s s e r u ne demande sont Ie 3 1 m a i et Ie 30 novembre. Void ou s 'adresser pour obtenir de plus amples renseigne ments: Responsable: Professor J. T. S m ith Department of Mathematics and Statistics Queen's U niversity Ki ngston (Ontario) K7l 3N6 Telephone: (6 1 3 ) 545-24 1 9 . Programme de bourses de recherche et de stages Division des relations internationales et professionnelles Statistique Canada Ottawa (Ontario) K 1 A OT6 Canada Te/{'!phone: (61 3 ) 990-8920. I M IS E S E N N O M I NATI O N P O U R LE P R I X DES PR ES I D E NTS DE LA COPSS I Le Com ite des p residents de socletes statistiq ues (COPS S ) , p a r ra i n e e t presente I e Prix des preside nts desti n e a u n j e u n e m e m bre d e la com m u n a ute statist i q u e e n reco n n a i ssa n ce de son excepti o n n e l i e contri butio n a l a p rofession d e sta t i st i c i e n . Le [,rix d es preside nts est pa r ra i n e conJoi nte m e nt pa r l'Ame r i ca n Statist i ca l AssoCiation, I ' l nstitute of Mathem atical Statist ics, l a B i o m etric Soci ety E N AR, la B i o m etric Society WNAR, e t la Societe Statist i q u e du Ca n a d a , pa r I ' i nterm e d i a i re d e COPSS . A I ' occasion d'une reunion a n n u e l l e des societes qui pa r r a i n e nt I e prix, une p l a q u e et un m o nta nt de 1 000 $ seront re m i s au rec i p i e n d a i re . Le rec i p ien d a i re d u P r i x d e s pres i d e nts devra etre m e m bre d e I ' u n e o u I ' a utre des societes p a rt i c i p a ntes, et sera choisi e n r a i s o n d e sa contri bution it l a profess i o n d e statisticien p a r u n a p port p a rticu l i e r ou u n ense m b l e d e tra va u x d i st i n ctifs. Toute fois, cette personne devra avoir m o i ns d e 40 ans au m o m ent de l a prese ntation du prix. les membres des societes pa rti c i pa ntes sont invites a suggerer des candidatures au plus tard Ie 31 decembre 1 986 it : R . Gna nadesikan Chair. COPSS Presidents's Award Com mittee Bell Com m unications Researsh Room 2 Q-386 435 South Street Morristown. NJ 07960-1 961 C h a q u e so u m ission devra i!tre acco m pa gnee d ' u n cu rricu lum vitae exh a u st l f et a j o u r d e l a perso n n e m ise e n nom i n a t i o n ; on d e v r a egalem ent y t r o u v e r les a rg u m ents q u i m i l i tent e n fave u r d e cette nom i n a t i o n . --------���-- STATISTICS IN THE C APITALS N EWS F R O M STAT I ST I C S CANADA This new column from Statistics Canada will appear regularly in Liaison. Its aim is to inform Society members o f major activities and developments taking place i n Canada's federal statistical agency. I n this first column we begin with a brief overview of Statistics Canada and its programs. Program overview U nd e r the a u t h o r i ty of t h e Stati st i cs Act, Stati st i cs Canada has been g i ven the mandate to "col l ect, com pi l e , a n a l ys e , a b stract and p u b l i s h " stat i st i ca l i n forma tion, as wel l as a broad responsi b i I ity for t h e co-ord i nati on and i nte grati on of the nat i o n a l statistical syste m . T h i s wide-ra n g i n g m a n d a te h a s l ed t h e Agency t o deve l o p a va r i ed a r ray of prog r a m s a n d a l a rge and d i verse c l i entele, i n c l ud i n g fed era l , prov i n c i a l and m u n i c i p a l governments, busi ness, l a bo u r u n i ons, l o bby grou ps, acad e m i cs, com m u n i ty assoc i at i o n s a n d , o f cou rse, t h e general pu b l i c . Th e i r demands are met throu g h a c o r respo n d i n g l y d i ve rse set of i n for mation prod u cts. Statisti cs Ca n a d a ' s d a ta pro d u c i n g prog ra ms can be g ro u ped i nto th ree mai n a reas. The Econo mic Statistics P r o g ra m , w h i c h i ncl u d es t h e System of N a t i o n a l Accou nts, i s d esigned t o monitor Cana d a ' s econ o m i c perfo r m a n c e . Data a r e obta i n ed f r o m a l a rg e n u m ber o f su rveys as we l l as from a d m i n i strat i ve sou rces. I n forma tion i s p u b l i shed o n prod u ct i o n , i nternational trade, capital i n vest ment, fi n a n c i a l p e rfo r m a n c e , ow nersh i p a n d i n d u stri a l pri ces, among oth e r t h i n g s . The Socio economic Statistics p r o g r a m , which i s d es i gned to monitor the econom i c we l l -be i n g of Canad a ' s popu l ation, obta i ns d ata pri m a ri l y t h r o u g h h o u se h o l d su rveys a n d a d m i n i strative sou rces. It prov i d es d ata on e m p l oyment, u n e m p l oy ment, perso n a l a n d fa m i l y i n co mes and expend itu res, and consu mer pri ces. The Demographic and Social Statistics program o bta i ns d ata from the Census of Pop u l a t i o n , from su rveys a n d from a va ri ety of pro v i n c i a l a n d fed e r a l ad m i n i strative sou rces. I t prov i d es i nfo rmati on on the g rowt h , c o m position and d i stri bution o f Cana da's popu l ation, on spe c i fi c ta rget groups of soc i a l pol i cy i nterest, and on t h e h e a l t h , e d u c a t i o n a n d j usti ce syste ms. Criti cal to the support of these d ata prod u c i n g prog ra m s is t h e "te c h n i c a l i n frast r u c t u r e " t h a t Stat i st i c s C a n a d a m a i nta i n s . T h i s i n frastructu re i n cl udes c o m p u ti n g a n d m ethod o l o g i c a l resea r c h , a n a l yt i c stu d i es, the m a i nte n a n ce of cl assi fi cati on syste ms and s u r vey fra mes, and oth er acti vities to ensu re that the req u i red tec h n i ca l basis for an i nteg rated stati st i c a l syste m , a n d the m ost u p-to-d ate and effi c i e nt m ethods, are ava i l a b l e to the agency ' s prog rams. External contacts To e n s u re the re l e v a n ce a n d usefu l ness of i ts p rod u cts, Stat i s tics Ca nada has developed a n ex tensi ve l i a i son network. Some s i x teen A d v i sory Com m i ttees, e a c h d ea l i n g with a spec i fi c p r o g ra m a r e a , h a v e b e e n set u p . T h e s e i nc l ude, for e x a m p l e , Com m i ttees on Sta t i st i c a l M e t h o d s a n d o n Resea rch and Analysis. M e m bers of these C o m m i ttees c o m e m a i n l y from t h e p r i vate a n d a c a d e m i c sectors. Rece ntly the G ov e r n m ent an nou n c ed the fo rmati o n of t h e Nati onal Stat i st i cs Cou n c i l t o a d v i s e t h e C h i e f S t a t i st i c i a n o n program p r i o ri t i es . Cl ose l i a i s o n with provi n c i a l a n d territori a l go ve rnments is mai nta i ned t h ro u g h t h e Federa l - Pro v i n c i a l C o n s u l t a tive Cou nci l on Stati stical Po l i cy and a netwo rk of suppo rti ng com m i ttees d eal i n g w i th each of the major progra m a reas. The stati sti cal needs of other Federal G overn ment d e pa rt m e nts a re a d d ressed in a se r i es of i nter-d e p a rt m e nta l com m i ttees that have been set u p with each o f the m aj o r c l i ent and d a ta-su ppl y i n g d e pa rtme n ts . F i n a l l y , Sta t i st i c s C a n a d a h a s f r e q u e n t a n d c l ose c o nta cts w i t h i nternati o n a l stat i st i c a l a g e n c i es (su c h as the U n i ted Nations Statis tical Offi ce) and with stati sti c a l offi ces i n other cou ntri es. Other means by which Statis ti cs C a n a d a p r o m otes e x te r n a l professional contacts i nc l u d e t h e Fel l owsh i ps a n d I nternsh i ps Pro g ra m which stri ves to attract reco g n i zed researchers to Stati sti cs Ca nada, the reg u l a r prod ucti o n of the j ou rn a l Survey Methodology (now ava i l a b l e to mem bers of the Soci ety at a red u ced rate). a n d the sponsorsh i p a n d org a n i zati o n of sym posi a on to pics rel ated to i ts prog ra ms. Additional i nform ati o n on e a c h o f these i te m s c a n b e fo u nd el sewhere i n Liaison. Program developments Space l i m i tati ons prec l u d e the deta i l e d d esc ri pti o n i n th i s fi rst col u m n of recent progra m d eve l opm ents at Statist i cs Ca nad a . H o wever, we wi l l mention three d e vel o p m e nts briefly. The S m a l l B u si ness Stat i st i c s Prog r a m , a n e w a n d a m b i t i o u s i n itiative to d evel op a w i d e range of stati st i cs on sma l l b u s i n ess, is based a l m ost exc l usively on a d m i n i strati ve sou rces i n order t o avoi d i nc reasi ng the bu rd en of response on s m a l l b u s i ness. The p r o g r a m wi l l i n c l u d e l o n g i tu d i n al tracki n g o f the devel opm ent o f sm a l l b u si nesses, and wi l l present stati sti cal ch a l l en ges i n , for exa m p l e, d e vel opi ng and operati o n a l d e fi n i tion of " bi rths" and " d eat h s " of busi n esses. A l so u nd e r way is the H ealth Acti v i t i es Li m i ta t i o n s S u r v e y w h i c h i s a fol l ow-u p su rvey to the 1 986 Census. The su rvey see ks to LA STATISTIQUE EN CAPITALES N OU V E LLE S D E STATI STIQU E CANADA ::Ientify the l i m itati o n s faced by ome two m i l l i on Ca n a d i a ns who lave health rel ated p ro b l e m s or l i sa bi l ities which l i m i t thei r a b i l ity o hear, spea k, see, rea d , sta n d , va l k o r cl i m b sta i rs i n a way that n ost Canad ians ta ke for g ra nted . h i s su rvey i s p a rt of Sta t i st i cs :a n a d a ' s r e s p o n s e t o t h e eco m m endati ons of the 1 98 1 re lort " O bstacl es" , prod u ced by the pec i a l Parl i a m e ntary Com m i ttee I n the D i sa b l ed a n d the H a n l i capped. The fi nal d evel o p m ent to be n e n t i o n ed is t h e S o c i a l Po l i cy i m u l ation Data base a n d M od e l . ·his i nvolves the synthetic m atch n g of records from v a r i o u s s u r 'eys and a d m i n i strati ve sou rces, Ind the si m u l ation of models that a n form the basi s for stud i es of ncome sec u rity. T h e Forget :om m i ss i o n o f I n q u i ry i nto t h e J n e m p l oy m e n t I n s u ra n c e P r o Jram has m a d e use of i n forma i on from th i s model l i ng acti vity. t i s an exa m p l e of how Statisti cs :a nada supports the a n a l ytic use If the stati stical d ata i t prod uces. F u rther i nformati on on any of he f o r e g o i n g i t e m s m a y b e l bta i ned throu g h C h a r l es A . Pa rick, I nternational and Profess i o l a l R e l a t i o n s D i v i s i o n , Stat i st i c s :a nada, 6 1 3-990-8920 . • Cette rubrique que Sta tistique Canada publiera regulierement dans Liaison a pour but d'inform e r les m embres de la SSC des principales activites et des developpements en cours au sein de / 'organisme federal de sta tistique. Nous inaugurons cette premiere rubrique par une vue d'ensemble de Statistique Canada et de ses programmes. Vue d' ensemble des programmes E n vertu d e l a Loi sur l a sta tisti que, Statist i q u e Canada a rec;u Ie m a ndat d e « recuei l l i r, eta b l i r, a n a l yser, resumer et p u b l i er» des rense i g n em e nts stati sti q u es, et, d e fac;on g e n e ra l e , de voi r a l a coord i nati o n et a I ' i ntegrati o n d u systeme stat i st i q u e nati o n a l . C e vaste m a ndat a amene I ' org a n i s me a mettre sur p i ed d i vers pro g r a m m es et a s ' a d resser a u n e c l i ente l e l a rge et d i ve rsi f i e e , no ta m m ent l es a d m i n i strati ons fed e ra l e , provi nci a l es et m u n i c i p a l es, Ie m onde d es affa i res, Ie m o n d e d u travai l , l es g ro u pes d e pressi on, l es u n i versita i res, l es assoc i at i o ns c o m m u n a uta i res et, n a tu re l l e m e nt, I e grand p u b l i c. Stati st i q u e Ca nada repond a u x besoi ns d e ses d i ve rses c l i entel es par un ensem b l e d i versi fi e d e prod u i ts d ' i nfor m ati on. Les prog ra m m es de d o n n ees d e Stati st i q u e C a n a d a p e u v e n t etre reg roupes sous troi s themes, pri n c i pa u x . Le progra m m e de l a statistique economique, q u i com prend I e system e d e compta b i l i te nati onale, a pour but d e su i vre I ' e vol ution de l a situati o n eco n o m i que d u pays. Les d o n n ees provien nent d ' u n grand nom bre d ' en q u e tes et de d i verses sou rces a d m i n i s trati ves. Des rense i g n e m e nts sont p u b l i es, par exe m p l e , sur l a pro d u cti on , Ie comm e rce i nte rnati o n a l , l es d e p e n se s d ' i n v e s t i s s e ments, l es fi na nces, l a propri ete et l es pri x i nd ustri els. Le prog ra m m e d e l a statistique socio-economi que, pour sa part, est voue a I ' etu d e du b i en-etre econ o m i q u e de l a popu l ation d u C a n a d a Les d o n n ees recuei l l i es d a n s I e cad re d e ce progra m m e , provi e n n e n t p ri n c i pai ement d ' e n q u etes a u pres d es m e nages et d e d i fferentes sou r ces a d m i n i strati ves. O n y prod u i t d es d o n n ees s u r I ' e m p l o i , I e cho mage, l es reve n u s et l es d epenses d es parti cu l i e rs et d es fa m i l i es, et su r l es p r i x a l a c o n so m m at i o n . E n fi n , s u r l a b a se d e s d o n n e e s i ssues d u recense m e nt d e l a popu l ation, d ' enq u etes et de d i verses sou rces ad m i n i strati ves fed e ra l es et prov i n ci a l es, I e progra m m e d e l a statistique demogra phique et sociale fo u r n i t d es r e n s e i g n e m ents sur l a c ro i ssa nce, l a com po sition et la d i stri b uti on de la po p u l ation d u Canada, su r certa i ns g rou pes c i b l es vi ses par l es pol iti ques soc i a l es, et sur l es systemes d e l a sa nte, d e I ' e nsei g nement et de la j usti ce . Pour soute n i r t o u s ces p r o g ram m es d e d o n n ees, Statisti q u e Canada m a i nti ent u n e i nfrastruc ture tec h n i q u e i m portante. Cette i n frastructu re c o m prend I ' i nfor m ati que, l es reche rches m ethodo l og i q ues, l es et u d es a n a l yt i q u es , I e m a i ntien d e systemes d e cl assi fi cation et d e bases d ' en q u ete et d ' a utres activites qui gara nti ssent q u e la base tec h n i q u e necessa i re a u n system e stati sti q u e i ntegre et l es m ethodes l es pl us modernes et l es plus effi caces sont a la d i spo sition d es prog ra m m es du B u rea u . Relations avec I'exterieur Afi n de g a ra nti r l a perti nence et I ' uti l i te d e ses prod u its, Statis tique Canad a a c o n st i t u e u n re seau de l i a i so n tres d eve l o p p e . Quelque 1 6 com i tes consu l tati fs, voues chacu n a u n e l e me nt prec i s d u progra m m e , o nt e t e m i s su r pied. Citons a titre d ' exe m p l e, I e comite d es m ethodes stati st i q u es et cel u i d e l a r e c h e r c h e et d e I ' a na l yse. Les m e m b res d e ces co- I L A STATlSTlQUE EN CAPITALES m i tes v i e n n e n t p r i n c i p a l e m e n t des secte u rs prive et u n i versita i re. Le gouverne m e nt a a n n o n c e re ce m m ent l a creati o n du Conse i l nati onal d e l a stati st i q u e afi n d e conse i l l e r I e statisti c i en e n chef sur l es pri orites d e prog ra m m e . U n e l i a i son etroite avec l es a d m i n i stra tions provi nci a l es et territo r i a l es est a ss u r e e p a r I ' e n t r e m i se d u Conse i l consu ltat i f fed eral -prov i n c i a l d e l a pol i ti q u e stati st i q u e et p a r u n r e s e a u d e s o u s- c o m i t es consacres a u x p r i n c i p a u x d o m a i n e s d e prog ram m e . Les besoi n s stati sti q u es des autres m i n i ste res fed eraux font I ' obj et d ' etudes de la p a rt de d i v e rs com i tes i n ter m i n i steri e l s rattaches a chacun d es p r i n c i p a u x c l i e nts et m i n i st e r e s fou r n i sse u rs d e d o n n ees. E n f i n , Stati stique Ca nada m a i nti ent d e s r e l at i o n s freq u e ntes et etroi tes avec l es org a n i s mes stati sti q u e s i nternati ona u x com m e I e B u re a u d e statisti q u e d es Nations U n i es et avec l es org a n i s m es stati st i q u e s d ' a utres pays. La promotion q u e Stati st i q u e Canada fa i t d e ses servi ces p ro fessi o n n e l s s' est ega l e m ent tra d u i t e p a r un p r o g r a m m e d e bou rses d e recherche et d e stages ayant pou r but d ' atti rer des cher c h e u rs reconnus a Stati stique Ca nada, par la p u b l i cati on reg u l i ere de l a revu e Techniques d'enquete ( m a i nte nant m i se a l a d i sposi tion d es m e m bres d e la Soci ete a u n pri x red u i t), et par I e parra i nage recense m e nt de 1 986. Pa r cette enquete, on tente d ' i d enti fier l es l i m i tati o n s a u xq u e l l es font fa c e q u e l q u e d e u x m i l l i ons d e C a n a d i ens a u x prises avec d e s i ncapa c i tes a entend re, parl e r, voi r, l i re , m a rcher, etc . Cette e n q u ete c o ns titue u n e l e m ent de repo n se d e Stati st i q u e C a n a d a a u x r e c o m m a nd ati ons d u r a p p o rt d e 1 98 1 " O bsta c l es" prepare par I e Co m i te speci a l concernant l es i n va l i d e s et l es hand i ca pes. et I ' o rga n i sa t i o n d e sym posi u m s su r l es suj ets se ratta chant a ses p rog ra m m es. On trou vera a i l l e u rs dans Liaison des rense i g n e m ents s u p p l e m enta i res su r chacun de ces poi nts. Les devel oppements recents Les contrai ntes d ' espace nous em pechent m a l h e u reusem ent d e presenter d a ns cette p rem i ere ru bri q u e u n e d esc ri pti o n d eta i l l ee d es d eve l o p pem ents rece nts con cernant l es prog ra m m es d e Stati s tique Canad a . N ous n ' en m e nti on nerons bri eve m e nt que trois. Po u r term i n e r , m e nti o n n o n s l a base d e d o n n ees e t I e mod e l e d e si m u l at i o n d e s p o l i t i q u es so c i a l es, p rog ra m m e q u i consist e a a pparier d e fa<;on synthet i q u e l es d ossi e rs d e d i v e rses e n q u etes e t sou rces a d m i n i st r a t i v e s et a s i m u l er d es model es pouva nt con s titu e r l a base d ' etudes d e l a s€c u rite d u reve n u . La C o m m i s s i o n Forget, s u r I e prog ra m m e d ' assu rance-ch6mage, a uti l i se l es r e n s e i g n e m e n ts fou r n i s pa r c e s travaux d e model i sati o n . ( ' est u n e xe m p l e d e l a f a <; o n d o nt S t a ti sti q u e C a n a d a a p p u i e I ' u ti l i sa tion analyt i q u e d es d on n e es sta tistiq ues q u ' i l p rod u i t. Le p rogra m m e de la sta t i s ti q u e d es peti tes entrepri ses, nou vel l e i n i ti ati v e ayant pou r but d e creer u n vaste eve nta i l d e stati s tiq u es sur l es peti tes entre p r i ses, re pose presq u e excl usi vement sur des sou rces ad m i n i strati ves, et ce, afi n d ' eviter d ' accroitre I e fard e a u d e r e ponse d e s peti tes entre p r i ses. C e prog ra m m e com p rend ra I e su i vi l ongitu d i n a l d u d ev e l oppe m e nt d e s peti tes entre p r i se s et envisagera d es probl e m es stati sti q u es com me, par exe m p l e, l a m i se a u poi nt d ' u n e d efi n i t i o n o p e ra tionnel l e d e s " c reati o n s " et d e s " d i sparitions" d ' entreprises. Pou r d e p l u s a m p l es ren s e i gnem ents sur l es prog ra m mes d e Stati st i q u e Canada, o n est pri e d e s ' a d resser a C h a r l e s A . Patri c k , D i vi s i on des relations professi o n nel l es e t i nternationa l es, Stat i st i q u e Cana d a , a u n u m ero 6 1 3-9908920 . • Un a utre p rog ra m m e en cours q u i m e rite d ' etre signa l e est I ' en q u ete su r la sa nte et l es I i m i ta t i o n s d ' a ct i v i tes, e n q u ete q u i se situe dans I e prolongem ent d u (4 1 6) 278-3483 LIAISON gives you a«ess to the world of Statistics vous donne a«es a u monde de la statistique Philip E.J. Green, M.Sc. President Printing your business card in :Notre carte professionneile dans: Phi l i p G reen and Associates Consulting Sta tisticians Toronto 930 Crozier Court Montreal M ississauga, Ontario Halifax L5H 2T3 .+ Statistics Canada CclIla(irl · Statlshque Canada SURVEY METHODOLOGY TECHNIQUES D'ENQUETE Development and Application of Methods in Surveys S urvey Methodology publishes articles dealing with various aspects of statistical development, Le developpement et l'application des methodes dans les enquetes echniques d'enquete contient des articles sur les T divers aspects des methodes statistiques comme such as: • design issues i n the context of practical constraints • use of different data sources and • ,-------, collection techniques • total survey error • survey evaluation • research i n survey methodology • time series analysis • seasonal adjustment • demographic studies • data integration and analysis • estimation and data analysis methods • general survey systems development. Emphasis is placed on the development and evaluation of specific methodologies as applied to data collection or the data themselves. This journal is published biannually. Members of the Canadian Statis tical Society can subscribe to this publica tion at the reduced price of $ 1 4.00 per year. ORDER FORM Mail to: Publication Sales Statistics Canada Ottawa, K 1 A OT6 (Please print) BON DE COMMANDE Postez it: Vente des publications Statistique Canada Ottawa, K 1 A OT6 par exemple: les problemes de conception decoulant de contraintes d'ordre pratique • I'utilisation de differentes sources de donnees et de methodes de collecte • les errreurs dans les enquetes • ['evaluation des enquetes • la recherche sur les methodes d'enquete • I' analyse des series chronologiques • la desaisonnalisation • les etudes demographiques • I' integration de donnees statistiques • les methodes d'estimation et d'analyse de donnees • Ie developpement de systemes generalises. Une importance particuliere est accordee a ['elaboration et a ['evaluation de methodes qUi ont ete utilisees pour la collecte de donnees ou appliquees a des donnees reelles. Techniques d'enquete est une publication bi-annuelle. Les membres de la Societe Statistique du Canada peuvent se procurer cette publication au prix reduit de $ 1 4.00 par annee. PF 0256 o Purchase Order Number (please enclose) Numero de la commande (inclure s.v.p.) o Payment enclosed Paiement inclus Account No .. N a de compte: Company /Compagnie Expiry date Date d'expiration Dept.!Service Attention: $ ------ CHARGE TO MY:lCHARGEZ A MON COMPTE: o MASTERCARD (Lettres moulees s.v.p.) ------ o VISA Statistics Canada Statistique Canada IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII IIIIIII CitylVille: TeL/Tel o Bill me later/Facturez·moi plus tard My client reference number is: Numero de reference du client: ------ Province: P. C.Ic. P Signature: Address/Adresse: C _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Enter my subscription to SURVEY METHODOLOGY, (Catalogue 1 2·00�, 2 issues) at the reduced price of $ 1 4.00. Veuillez m'abonner pour un an (2 numeros) it TECHNIQUES D'ENQUETE, ( N ° au catalogue 1 2·00 1 ), au prix reduit de $ 1 4.00. Cheques or money orders should be made payable to the Receiver General for Canada/Publications, in Canadian funds or equivalent. Les cheques ou mandats doivent etre etablis a I'ordre du Receveur general du Canada/Publication, en dollars canadiens ou I'equivalent. THE CONSULTANTS ' COLUMN F i rst Exper i e n ces wit h a Statistica l Con s u lt i n g Cou rse by 1. Terry Smith Depa rtment of M athematics and Statisti cs, Q u e e n ' s U n i ve rsity I n h i s exce l l ent aft e r-d i n n e r add ress, " Stati sti c i a n s ve rs u s Sta tisti c i a n s " , p resented at the 1 985 a n n u a l m e et i ng of the Soci ety, M a rti n W i l k, Presi dent of the SSC, u rged the Soc i ety to h e l p bri d g e the g a p betwee n " b l u e- c o l l a r " and "wh ite-col l a r " stati st i c i a n s. I n sol i d a rity with h i s posi t i o n , I a m a d d ressi ng a n a rea o f c o m m o n c o n c e r n both t o a c a d e m i c a n d n o n - a c a d e m i c sta t i st i c i a n s : t h e appropri ate pra ct i ce of stat i st i c s as a professi o n . S t a t i st i c a l c o n s u l t i n g i s a centra l a ctivity i n the practi ce of statisti cs. H ow many stat i sti c i a n s manage to get t h ro u g h thei r careers w i t h o ut bei ng asked to g i ve advice on the proper use of stati stics for a spec i f i c probl e m ? Perhaps i t i s ti m e we ta l ked a l ot more a bout how to i m prove o u r consu lti ng. The story beg i ns in the wi nter of 1 9 8 5 . M y d e p a rt m e n t h a d deci d ed t o take a fresh l oo k at tea c h i n g consu l t i n g , a n d I w a s g i ve n the c o u rse a ss i g n m e n t . D u ri ng o n e o f the sessions a t the S o c i ety ' s 1 9 8 5 m e et i n g i n Wi n n i peg, I heard Dou g l as Za h n , Department o f Stati st i cs, F l o r i d a State U n i ve rs i ty , te l l a b o u t h i s approach to teach i ng consu l ti n g . D u ri n g the few m i n utes h e spoke h e a d d ressed m a n y of my c o n cerns a bout consu l ti n g , tea c h i n g consu l t i n g , and d esi g n i n g a con s u l ti ng cou rse ; after the sessi o n I went to h i m for advi ce. Two l o n g c o n v e rs a t i o n s a n d t w o o f h i s a rti c l es (see the References) h e l ped m e t o form u l ate a coherent plan for a consu lti n g cou rse that seem ed to have tre m e n d o u s p o tenti a l . The fol l ow i ng em erged as key poi nts i n the d esi g n : ( i ) a n u n d e rsta n d i n g o f w h a t m a kes for effecti ve consu lti n g ; (ii) a set o f criteri a for criti q u i n g a consu lting sessi o n ; (iii) the fact that i m prove ment of stat i st i c a l i n a d e q u a c i es i s o n l y part o f the pro b l e m ; the way a consu l ta nt i nteracts with c l i ents i s easi l y a s i m porta nt; (iv) the uti l ity of v i d eota pi ng to com pensate for the consu l t a n t ' s i m perfect mem ory of the sess i o n ; (v) t h e n e e d f o r a p e r i o d o f coa c h i n g b a s e d o n v i d e ota p e d rec o r d s o f c o n s u l t i n g p e rfo r mance. Recog n i z i n g that d i rect expe rie nce was m y m ost pressi ng need at that ti me, Zahn i n vi ted me to h i s d e p a rt m e n t to o b s e r v e h i s cou rse a t fi rst h a n d . I j u m ped at the c h a nce a n d i n j u l y went to Ta l l a hassee. My i ntenti on was to get a fee l for h ow o n e i m p l e m ented the basi c outl i ne. What I e x p e r i e n c e d , t h a n k s to Z a h n ' s wisdom a n d g e n erosi ty, was i n tensive i nvol vem ent i n the process of teach i n g a n d l e a rn i n g . I was v i d eota ped i n two h o u rs of role pl ayed consu l ti n g sessi o n s , a s cl i ent to th ree d i fferent st u d e nt consu ltants and as consu l ta n t to th ree d i fferent stu d e nt c l i ents. I then p a rti c i pated i n s u pervi si o n sessions based on th ose tapes i n w h i c h the th ree stu d ents and I a l l recei ved coach i ng from Z a h n o n t h e i m prove m e n t of o u r consu l ti n g perform a n ce. That experien ce c l i n c h e d m y d e c i s i o n to u s e vid eota p i n g and c oa c h i n g based on Za h n ' s p h i l os o p h y of c o ns u l ti ng a n d p r i n c i p l es of i m p rov i n g consu l t i n g p e r fo r m a n c e . These factors c on v i n ced me: the h i g h l evel of mastery shown b y t h ose stu d e nts, the d epth of i nfo r m a ti o n I recei ved a bout m y o w n con- sulti n g perform a nce, and the fact that t h e w h o l e p r ocess f l o w e d from a coherent, reasona b l e p h i l osophy o f consu l t i n g . My i m m ed i a t e t a s k u p o n retu r n i n g to K i n g ston w a s t h e pu rc hase o f v i d e o e q u i p m e n t. A vari ety of d e c i s i o n s h a d t o b e made, for exa m ple, V H S o r B eta , c o n s u m e r o r i n d u st r i a l g r a d e , sec u re o r access i b l e fac i l iti es, etc . T h e e q u i p m e n t I c h os e w a s p u r c h a s e d w i t h fi n a n c i a l h e l p from t h e G e o r g e L . E d g ett Stati st i c a l La b o ratory ( Q u e e n 's S TA T L A B ) a n d t h e A l l i e d Fou n d at i o n v i a the S u bco m m ite e o n Stat i st i c a l Cons u l t i n g o f t h e ASA S e ct i o n o n S t a t i s t i c a l Ed u cati o n . The v i d eo record e r i s a profess i o n a l V H S m o d e l w h i c h u s es h a l f- i n c h T 1 2 0 ta p e a n d cou nts tape i n h o u rs, m i n utes, a n d seconds. T h e cam era ope r ates at l ow l i g ht l evels. The 2 0 - i n c h col o u r m o n itor i s fa i rl y sta n d a rd . The m i crophone that ca m e w i t h t h e c a m e ra proved m o re u sefu l w h e n fitted w i t h a n exte n s i o n cable a n d a d esk sta n d . C o u rse d esi g n a n d p l a n n i n g were the order of busi ness for the re m a i n d e r of t h e s u m m e r . I n e e d e d to reso l ve s o m e o f t h e q u e st i o n s t h a t h a d b e e n m y concern for som e ti m e : (i) H ow d o we hel p stud e nts t o i nteg rate t h e stati st i c a l m at e r i a l i n thei r cou rses so that t h e y c a n choose the a p p ro p r i ate st rategy in tac kl i ng a consulting pro b l e m ? (ii) H ow d o w e c o n v i n c e st u d e n ts t h a t t h e s u c c e s s o f a c o n s u l t i n g sess i o n d e p e n d s o n m a n y factors besi d es the m a stery of m ateri a l i n sta t i st i c a l t h e o ry a n d m ethods cou rses? THE CONSULTANT'S COLUMN (i i i) What shou l d we put forward a s a st a n d a r d of e f f e c t i v e consulting agai nst w h i c h stud ents can m easure thei r i m provement? (iv) H ow c a n w e p r ov i d e s t u dents with adequate feed back on th e i r perfo r m a n c e so that l e a r ni ng prog resses? (v) H ow c a n we h e l p stu d e nts l ea r n to be se l f-c r i t i c a l w i t h o u t bei n g e i t h e r s e l f-dest r u ct i ve o r ove rly opt i m i st i c ? (vi) C a n we devise a m ethod of i nstru cti o n that adapts read i l y to a se l f-t e a c h i n g m o d e b e y o n d g rad uation from the cou rse ? Answers beg a n to take shape as I fi l l e d i n d eta i l s of t h e fol l ow i n g c o u rse o u t l i n e : fo u r weeks for i nterpe rsona l aspects of a consu lti ng sess i o n ; fo u r weeks for tec h n i ca l aspects such as pro blem sol v i n g , select i o n of statis tical strategi es, a nd session m a na gem ent; a nd fou r weeks for prac tice a n d coa c h i ng u s i ng v i d e o ta pes of ro l e p l a y e d c o n s u l t i n g sess i o n s (see McCulloch e t a l . , 1 985). The key concept u a l m ateri a l form i ng a basis for m u c h o f the cou rse i s a ph i l osophy of consu l ti n g fro m w h i c h c r i te r i a for a successfu I consu I t i ng sessi on ca n be deri ved . W h i l e each stu d e n t w i l l ev o l v e h i s or h e r o w n p h i l osophy i n t i m e , the fol l ow i ng po i n ts p r o v i d e a sta rt i n g base (adapted from Zahn a n d Boroto, 1 985). 1 . A statistical consu ltation i s a m eeti ng betwee n two o r m o re persons i n o rd e r to a d d r e s s a stati stical questi on. 2. The pu rpose of a statisti c a l consu ltat i o n i s to i n c r ease t h e uti l i ty of i nformati on i n the cl i ent d i sci p l i ne. 3. Honesty, with com passion, i s the p o l i cy o f the consu l ta nt. 4. The c l i e nt ow n s the p r o blem, m a kes the f i n a l d e c i s i o ns, and pays the b i l l s ; the consu l tant serves the c I i ent. 5. The consu ltant can not force the c l i e nt to adopt the consu l ta nt' sol ution of the probl e m . 6 . T h e c l i e nt h a s t h e r i g h t to come to the consultati on i n h i s or her cu rrent cond i t i o n ( i n fo r m ed or not, confident or not, prepa red or n ot). 7. T h e c o n s u l t a n t c h o o s e s whether o r n ot to work with the cand i date c l i ent. 8. The consu ltant a l one b e a rs respon si b i l i ty f o r effe c t i v e consulti ng. A way of i m p l e m e nti n g the p h i l o s o p h y is fo u n d i n t h e s e c r i t e r i a fo r t h e s u c c e s s o f a consu l ti ng sessi o n (also adapted from Zahn and Boroto, 1 985). 1 . The cI i e nt was g i ven a l l t h e i nformati on relevant t o h i s or her d e c i s i o n . T h i s was c o n veyed without bel i ttl i ng , patro n i z i n g , or i nti m i d ati n g . 2 . T h e consu l ta nt veri fied t h a t t h e i n fo r m a t i o n h a d b e e n rece i ved accurate l y. 3. M a j o r a l t e r n a t i v e s to t h e s u g g ested sol u t i o n were c o n s i d e red a n d t h e rel ati ve adva ntag es and d i sadva nta ges of the va rious opti ons were e x p l a i ned to t h e c l i e nt. 4 . The i n form ati o n g i ve n was accu rate. 5. The p l a n d evel oped i n t h e i nteract i o n c a n b e i m p l e m e nted by a l l pa rt i es i nvolved . 6. A l l p a rt i e s were certai n at the end of the i nteracti o n as to the i r roles in i m p l e m e n ti n g the sol uti on. As Septe m be r a p proa c h e d , I felt more and more l i ke a cl oset revo l uti onary a bout to go p u b l i c. T h r e e a s p e cts o f t h e c o u r s e , v i d e ota p i n g , r o l e p l a y i n g , a n d co a c h i n g , w e r e fo re i g n to m y previous teac h i n g experience as we l l as that of my col l eagues, and th i s gave m e pa use for reflecti o n . It w a s h e l p f u I f o r m e t o real i se that videota pi ng can be reg a rded as col l ecti n g data a n d , as such, is q u i te fa m i l i a r to statisti c i a ns; that rol e p l ay i n g is a type of si m u l ation, a nother activity wel l u n d e rstood by sta t i st i c i a n s a s to b o t h i t s strengths a nd i ts l i m itati ons; and that coachi n g is a form of one-to one teac h i ng, not u nc o m m o n i n office h e l p sessions. D u r i n g the c o u rs e I fo u n d that, when e n o u g h experience of a n a l ys i n g o n e ' s v i d e ot a p e d ro l e p l ays h a s b e e n g a i n e d , t h e p h i l osophy a n d c ri teri a outl i n ed a bove beg i n to form a powerf u l tool w i t h w h i c h t o d etect, understa n d , a nd m od i fy aspects of one 's consu l t i n g behav i o u r that re peated l y l e a d t o d i ff i c u l t i es . Z a h n uses a coac h i n g m ethod for w o r k i n g o u t d i ff i c u l t i e s t h a t rese m b l es i n m a n y w a y s t h e tec h n i q u e o f a s p o rts coac h : a n a d j u st m e n t o f t e c h n i q u e i s suggested a nd tried out u nti l the r e v i sed te c h n i q u e i s effect i v e , c o m forta b l e , a n d a u t o m a t i c . M ore so than i n sports, however, the student a l so m ust l earn to get p a st t h e n e g a t i v e f e e l i n g s a ssoc i ated w i th " b l ow i n g a consultati o n " o r " l ooki ng stu pid " . T h i s i s perha ps the most d i ffi c u l t cha l l enge for a novice consu lting coach. What have I l e a rned from th i s f i rst v e r s i on o f t h e c o u rse J Pe rhaps m ost of a l l that there i s m u c h t o b e l e a rned from further experi e n c e . Stu d e nts responded positively on the whole. The two stu d e nts w o r k i n g f u l l - t i m e i n i nd u st ry c l a i m ed t hat t h e ex pe rience hel ped t h e m d i rect l y a n d i m med i atel y i n the i r work; t h i s i s o n e o f t h e fa cto rs t h at e n c o u raged m e to p u rs u e t h e p roj ect furth e r . T h e m ost c o m m o n sug gestion for i m p rov e m e n t was to i nt rod u c e v i d e ota p e d ro l e p l ays earl i e r in the course as motivati on for the m ateri a l on i nterpersonal a n x i ety and c r i ti q u i n g a consu l t i n g sessi on. Stu d e nts a l so wa nted m ore practice with stati stical pro- THE CONSULTANT'S COLUMN b l e m -sol v i n g , a n d s u g g ested speci a l l y desi gned exercises usi ng vid eota pe. The two facu lty pa rtici pa nts, from M a t h e m a t i c s a n d Stat i stics a n d Q u ee n ' s STAT LAB and from the Psyc holog y Depa rt me nt, a l so responded favo u rably. Thei r i nvol vement was a va l u a b l e reso u r c e , a n d c o n f i r m e d t h e benefits of a team effort. The h e l p of a " s u pport net wor k " c a n be of c o n s i d e r a b l e va l u e i n a n u nderta k i ng to i m pro ve one 's consu l t i n g , and is eq u a l l y u sefu l t o som e o n e te a c h i n g a cou rse l i ke this one. I n add ition to su pport from a l l the part i c i p a nts i n the course, I benefitted from reg u l a r te l e phone conversat i o ns with Doug l as Zahn about d i ff i c u l t poi nts i n t h e tea c h i n g . I n d e e d , o u r conti n u i n g d i sc u ssi o n s h a ve been mutu a l l y benefi c i a l to o u r u nd ersta n d i ng of what i s effective c o n s u l t i n g a n d h o w we m a y ach i eve it. What i s plan ned for next t i m e a ro u n d ? Sta rti n g i n S e pte m b e r one-half of my teachi n g t i m e w i I I be d e v o t e d to c o n s u l t i n g i n Queen 's STATLA B . I i ntend to u se that opportun ity to vid eota pe m y ow n consu l t i n g sess i o n s a n d t o u se w h a t I l e a r n f r o m t h e i r a n a l ysis i n the cou rse . I i ntend a l so to have the stude nts ta pe sessions with actual c l i ents to re pl ace som e of t h e rol eplay work. T h i s wi l l a d d another d i mension t o thei r expe rience and m i ne. In closi ng, I encourage you to c o n s i d e r t h i s m et h o d for y o u r cu rrent consulting cou rse, o r for the new i nstructi on that you have d e c i d ed to i ntrod u c e i nto y o u r department (and I i nc l u d e govern ment and i nd u strial departm e n ts on a n eq u a l foot i n g w i t h a c a d e m i c d e p a rt m e nts a s reg a r d s appl i ca b i l i ty of this m ethod ) . As I have tried to i nd i cate, reso u rces a re read i l y ava i l a b l e ; these i nc l u d e seed gra nts for equ i p m e nt, Zah n ' s w r i t i n g s a n d pers o n a l coach i ng , a n d contact w i t h a g row i n g n u m be r of i n d i v i d u a l s who, l i k e m ys e l f, h a ve e x pe rie nced the method . I t i s d efi n i te l y worth tryi ng ! _ References 1. Zahn a n d Boroto, Increasing Productivity by Resolving Break downs in Pro fessio n a l In tera c tions, u npublished m a n u scrip t, 1 985. 2. M cCu l l och, B o roto, M eeter, Pol l a n d , and Za h n , An Expa nded Approach to Educa ting Statistical Consultants, American Statistican, 1 985. (Presen ted a t the 1 986 A n n u a l Meeting of the Sta tistical Society of Canada). "Nous devons croire au hasa rd. Autrement, comment pourrions-nous expliquer Ie succes de ceux que nous n 'aimons pas ? " - J ean Coctea u "An approxima te answer to the right problem is worth a good deal more than an exact answer to an approximate problem. " - J o h n Tu key "Once is happenstance, twice is coincidence, anymore and it's enemy action. " - J a mes Bond 30 LE STATISTICIEN - CONSEIL Cou rs su r l a co nsu ltati o n statisti q u e : premi eres i m p ress i o n s par 1. Terry Smith Departement d e mathematiques et d e statisti que, U n i versite Quee n 's Dans l a causerie fort i nt e res sante d ont il nous a g rati fies a pres Ie diner sous Ie ti tre de " Stati sti ci ens contre statist i c i e n s " a I ' as sem b l ee genera l e 1 985 de l a SSC, M a rt i n Wi l k, notre presi d e n t ac tuel , priait i nsta m m ent l a Soci ete de contri buer a com b l e r I e fosse q u i separe l es " cols bleus" et l es " c o l s b l a ncs" d e l a sta t i st i q u e . Com m e j e partage s a posi tion, j e va i s a border u n s u j et d ' i n t e r et com m u n p o u r l es sta t i sti c i e n s , ta nt theori c i e ns q u e prati ci ens, a savo i r I e bon exerci ce d u m et i e r d e statisti cien. Dans cette professi on, la con su ltati on stat i st i q u e o c c u p e u n e pl ace d e choix. Com b i e n d e statis tici ens, en effet, font- i Is ca rri ere sans j a m a i s se fa i re d e m a n d e r d es conse i l s sur I e bon usage d e l a sta tisti que dans tel ou tel cas b i e n precis? Peut-etre I e mom ent est- i l venu d e nous atta rder d avantage sur l es m oyens d ' a m e l i o r e r n os consu Itati ons. L ' h i sto i re q u e j e v e u x v o u s raconter com m e n ce u n j o u r d e I ' h i ve r 1 98 5 . M o n d e p a rte m e nt avait d eci d e d e pre n d re un n o u veau d epart dans I ' ensei g n e m e nt de l a consu ltati on, et c ' est a moi que I e cours avait ete confi e . Lors d ' une sea nce, org a n i see a W i n n i peg d a ns I e cad re d e I ' asse m b l ee 1 98 5 de l a Soci ete, j ' a i pu enten d re D o u g l a s Z a h n , d u d e p a rte me nt de stati stique d e la F l o r i d a State U n i versity, exposer ses theo ries sur I ' e nse i g n em ent de l a con su ltati on. Sans d oute n ' a-t- i l parle que quel q u es m i n utes, m a i s il a a bord e plusieurs suj ets q u i m ' i nte ressa i e nt person nel l ement d a ns I e d o m a i n e d e l a consu l tat i o n , d e son ense i g n ement e t d e l a con ception d ' u n cours e n ! a mati ere; l a seance fi n i e, je s u i s a i l e l u i de- m a n d e r conse i l . Apres avo i r eu deux l ongs entretiens avec l u i et l u d e u x de ses a rt i c l es (voir les References), il m ' a ete pl us fac i l e d e d resser I e p l a n cohere nt d ' u n co u rs d e c o n s u l ta t i o n , d o n t I e pote n t i e l sem b l a i t e n o r m e . Les poi nts su i v a n ts se s o n t r e v e l es cruc i a u x d a ns l a concept i o n : (i) i l fa ut savoi r c e q u i rend l a consu l tation efficace; (ii) il fa ut pouvo i r criti q u e r l es seances de consu l tati o n e n fonc tion d ' u n e seri e d e criteres; ( i i i ) rem ed i e r a u x i n s u ffi sances statist i q u es n ' est q u ' u ne partie du probl e m e ; l a fa<;on dont I e stati s t i c i e n-consei l et son cl i e nt a g i ssent reci proq uem ent I ' u n su r I ' a utre a sans a u c u n d oute a utant d ' i m por ta nce; (iv) I ' enregistrement d e la sean ce a u magnetoscope est uti l e pou r pal l i er eventu e l l ement l a m e m o i r e d efa i l l a nte d u statist i c i e n ; (v) u n e p e r i o d e d ' i n st r u ct i o n parti cu l i ere s ' i m pose, f o n d e e su r I ' e n registrement video d e sea nces de consultation. Constata nt q u e I ' e x p e r i e n c e i m m e d i ate eta it c e d o nt j ' ava i s I e pl us pressant beso i n a I ' epoq u e , Z a h n m ' a i nvite a ven i r o bserver I e cours d e m es propres y e u x d a n s son d e pa rtement. Sautant sur I ' oc casi o n , j e s u i s p a rt i p o u r Ta l l a hassee en j u i l l et. J ' a va i s I ' i nten t i o n de me fa i r e u n e i d e e d e I ' a p p l i c ati o n d es g r a n d es l i g n es du p l a n , m a i s ce que j 'ai ve c u , g race a l a sagesse et a l a g e n e rosite d e Z a h n , c ' est u ne pa rt i c i pati on poussee a I ' ensei g n e m e nt et a I ' a ppre n t i ssage proprement d i ts. Pe n d a nt d e u x heu res d e psy chod ra m e , j ' a i ete fi l m e a u magnetoscope ; d a n s ces seances d e consu ltati on si m u l ees, j ' ai ten u I e rol e de c l i e nt vis-a-vis d e tro i s etu d i a nts q u i te nai ent cel u i d e stati sti c i e ns-conse i l s e t I e rol e d e conse i l e n vers tro i s etu d i a nts q u i fa i sa i ent office d e cl i ents. E n s u i te, p e n d a nt l es s e a n c e s d e s u pe r v i s i o n fondees s u r l es b a n d e s v i d eo , Z a h n n o u s a d o n n e , a u x tro i s etu d i a nts et a m o i - m e m e , u ne i nstructi o n parti c u l i ere p o u r a m e l i o rer n otre prati q u e d e l a c o n s u l ta t i o n . Cette e x pe r i e n ce m ' a d e c i d e a recouri r a u x enreg i s trem ents v i d eo et a I ' i nstruction particu l i ere e n m ' i ns p i ra nt de l a theori e d e Zahn s u r l a c o ns u l ta tion et d es p r i n c i pes q u ' i l p reco n i se pou r en a m el i orer I ' exerci ce. Voici ce q u i m ' a conva i cu : la g ran d e v i rtuosite d es etu d i a nts d a n s cet a rt, I ' i nformati on tres a p p ro fo n d i e q u e j ' a i re<; u e s u r m on propre rende m e nt en l a m at i e re et I e fa i t q u e I e process u s t o u t enti e r reposa i t su r u n e t h e o r i e ra i so n n a b l e e t c o h e r e n te d e l a consultation. La pre m i ere tache q u i m ' at ten d a i t a mon retou r a K i ngston eta i t I ' ac hat du m ate riel vid eo. I I m ' a fal l u pre nd re a cet egard p l u s i e u rs d e c i s i o n s : a l l a i s-j e o p t e r p o u r V H S ou pou r Beta, p o u r u n a p parei l com m erc i a l o u i nd u stri el , po u r d es i nsta l l ations prot e g e e s o u accessi b l es, e t a i nsi d e su i te . U n e fo i s m o n c h o i x a r r e t e , j ' a i a c h ete I e m a t e r i e l a v e c I e concou rs fi n a n c i e r d u G eorge L . E d g ett S t a t i st i c a l L a b o r a t o r y (STATLAB d e Q u e e n ' s) et d e l ' Al l i ed Fou n d a t i o n p a r I ' i nt e r m ed i a i re d u sous-com i t e s u r l a c o n s u l ta t i o n s t a t i st i q u e d e l a section su r I ' ense i g n e m e nt d e l a stati sti q u e d e I ' ASA. Le m a g n e toscope est u n mod e l e V H S pro fess i o n n e l a b a n d e T 1 2 0 d ' u n d e m i -pouce ou I e d efi l e m e nt est i nd i q u e en h e u res, m i n u tes et secon des. La c a m era foncti o n n e sous u n tres fa i bl e ecl a i rage. Le LE STATlSTlClEN·CONSEll m on i te u r cou l e u r de 20 pou ces est d ' u n type fort coura nt. Q u ant au m i cro qui accompagnait la came ra, i l s' est m ontre p l u s uti l e u n e foi s m u n i d ' u n cordon de ral l onge et d ' u n p i e d . J ' a i consacre I e reste d e I ' ete a l a conception et a l a p l a n i fi cati on d u cou rs. J ' ava i s a reso u d re q u e l q u es probl emes q u i m e preoccu pa i e nt depuis u n certa i n te m ps : ( i) C o m m e n t a i d e r l e s e t u d i a nts a i nteg rer l a m a ti ere sta tisti q u e a l e u rs cou rs pou r q u ' i l s p u i ssent, d evant u n prob l e me d e consu ltati o n , c h o i s i r l a strateg i e vou l u e 7 ( i i ) Co m m e n t l e s c o n v a i n c r e q u e I e succes d ' u n e seance de con su ltation d e pend d e b i e n d ' autres facteu rs q u e de la m a itri se de l a m ati ere des cou rs d e theorie et d e m ethodes stati stiq ues7 ( i i i) Quel critere d' efficacite de v i o ns- nous proposer pou r que l es etu d i a nts p u i ssent m e s u r e r l e u rs prog res7 (iv) Comm ent i n former l es etu d i a nts en reto u r s u r l e u r rende m ent d e m a n i ere a fa i re ava ncer I ' apprentissage 7 (v) C o m m e n t a i d e r l e s e t u d i a nts a acqu'e ri r I ' a rt d e I ' a u to criti q u e sa ns tom ber d a ns I ' a uto d estru cti o n ni I ' exces d ' o pti m i s me7 (vi) P o u v i o n s- n o u s I m a g i n e r u n e m ethode d ' i nstruct i o n g race a l aq u e l l e , en I ' adapta nt un pe u , l es etu d i a nts pou rra i ent s ' i nstru i re e u x - m e m e s u n e fo i s I e c o u r s term i n e ? Les reponses o n t com me nce a p r e n d re fo r m e p e n d a nt q u e j e prec i s a i s l es d eta i l s d es g ra n d es l i g nes d u cou rs q u e voi c i : q u atre sem a i nes consa c rees a u x aspects i nterperso n n e l s d ' u n e seance d e consu l tati o n , q u atre sem a i nes a u x aspects tec h n i q u es comme l a sol u tion d es probl emes, I e c h o i x d e s strateg i es statistiques e t l a d i rec tion d e la seance et enfi n , q u atre sem a i nes d ' exerci ces et d ' i nstruc- tion personnel l e par l a m ethode d u psyc h o d r a m e , a u tre m ent d i t d e sea nces d e consu l tati on si m u l ees e n re g i strees a u m a g n etos cope (voi r M c Cu l l oc h et ai, 1 985). U n e bonne p a rti e du c o u rs repose avant tout, c o n c e pt u e l l e m ent parl a nt, su r u n e theorie d e l a consu l tati on d ont o n peut t i rer l es cri te res d u su cces d e l a sea nce. C h a q u e etu d i a nt a c q u e r r a sa n s d o ute avec I e tem ps s a p r o p r e ph i l oso p h i e a cet egard, m a i s tous tro u ve ront u n p o i nt de d e p a rt d a n s l e s e l e m e n ts s u i v a n t s ( a d a ptati on d e Z a h n et B o roto , 1 985). 1. La cons u l tat i o n stati sti q u e est u n e r e n c o n t r e d e d e u x o u pl u s i e u rs perso n n es d a n s I e b u t d ' et u d i e r u n e q u esti o n sta t i st i que. 2. L a cons u l tati on statisti q u e a pour but de rend re pl us uti l es l es d o n nees propres a l a d i sci pl i ne d u c l i ent. 3 . H o n n etete et c o m passi o n , tel est I e m ot d ' ord re d u stati sti c i e n-consei I . 4. Le probl e m e est c e l u i d u c l i ent, c ' est I e c l i ent q u i prend l es d ec i s i o n s fi n a l es et c ' est l u i q u i paVe l es factu res. Le stati st i c i en conse i l est l a pour serv i r Ie cl i ent. 5 . Le st a t i sti c i e n - c o n se i l n e peut obl i ge r I e cl i ent a a d opter l a sol u tion q u ' i l l u i propose. 6. Le cl i e nt a Ie d roit d e ve n i r e n consu ltation d a ns I ' etat O U i l se tro u ve ( b i e n i nforme ou non, sur d e l u i ou non, prepare ou non) . 7. ( ' est a u statisti c i e n-conse i l d e d ec i d e r s i , o u i o u n o n , i l va trava i l l e r avec I ' eventue l cl i ent. 8. Le stati st i c i e n - c o n s e i l est seu l responsa b l e de I ' effi cacite de la consu l tati o n . Pou r c e q u i est d ' eva l u e r l a reussite d ' u ne seance d e consu l tati on, on trou vera dans l es crite res ex poses c i -d essous ( i l s'agit u ne fois d e pl u s d ' u ne a d a ptati o n d e Z a h n et Boroto, 1 985), u n m oyen de m ettre l a theorie en prati q u e . 1 . L e cl i ent a rec;u t o u s l es re n se i g n e m e nts q u i d o i ve nt e n tre r en l i g ne d e com pte d a n s sa d e c i s i o n . l i s l u i ont ete fou r n i s sans air condescendant et sans q u ' i l se sente d e preci e ni i nti m i d e . 2. L e statisti c i e n -consei I s ' est ass u re que I e c l i ent avait rec;u ces rense i g nem ents exactem ent. 3. Le statistici en-conse i l a en visa g e l es pri n c i p a u x moyens d ' a c tion q u i pou rra i ent rem p l a c e r l a sol uti o n proposee et en a expose a u cl i e nt l es ava nta ges et i nc o n ve n i e nts respectifs. 4. L ' i nformati o n tra n s m i se e ta i t exacte. 5 . Le p l a n d resse pen d a nt l a renco ntre peut etre appl i q u e p a r toutes l es parti es en cause. 6. Toutes l es part i es con n a i s sa i e nt b i e n , a l a fi n d e · l a rencon tre, Ie role q u ' e l l es avai ent a j ou e r d a n s l a sol ution. A I ' a pproche d e septem bre, j e m e fa i sa i s d e pl us e n pl us I ' effet d ' u n revol uti o n na i re cra i g n a nt d e se m ontrer enfi n a u g r a n d j o u r . Com m e ni moi n i m es coi l e g u es n ' avi o n s j a m a i s e u rec o u rs d a n s notre e n sei g n e m e n t a tro i s d e s el e m e n ts d u c o u rs, a s a v o i r l a m a g n etosc o p i e , I e psychod ra m e et I ' i nstructi on parti c u l i e re, j e m e su i s d o n n e I e tem ps d e refl ec h i r. I I m ' a ete tres u ti l e d e constater e n fi n d e c o m p t e q u ' o n p o u v a i t consi d erer I ' e n reg i strem ent v i d e o com m e u ne forme d e col l ecte d e d o n n ees et q u ' a c e titre, i l n ' etait pas i nconnu d es stati sti c i ens; q u e I e psyc h o d r a m e est u n ty p e d e si m u l at i o n , a u tre a cti v i t e f a m i l i e re a u x statisticiens tant d a n s ses poi nts forts q u e dans ses l i m i tes, et que I ' i nstructi on parti c u l i ere est u n e sorte d ' ense i g nement en tete a tete, q u ' i l n ' e st pas r a r e d e re ncontrer dans l es entre v u e s d e b u rea u . Pend a nt l es l ec;ons, j e m e s u i s a perc;u q u e l o rsq u ' o n a b i e n p r i s I ' ha b i t u d e d ' a n a l yser I ' enre g i stre m e nt d e ses propres psychod ra- LE STATISTICIEN-CONSEIL m es, l a theori e et l es criteres d ont j e vous parl a i s p l u s t6t d ev i e n nent u n i n st r u m e n t p r e c i e u x p o u r reperer, com prend re et mod i fi e r ces aspects q u i , d a ns n otre com portem ent de consei l , provoq uent re g u l i e re m e n t d e s d i ff i c u l t e s . Pou r trancher ces d i fficu ltes, Z a h n recourt a u n e m ethod e d ' i nstruc tion q u i n ' est pas sa ns ra p pel er a bien d es ega rds cel i e d ' u n entrai neu r sporti f : i l propose u n e tech n i q u e re m a n i ee q u ' i l fait essayer j u sq u ' a ce q u ' e l l e so i t eff i c a c e , a i see e t a utom ati que. Pl us encore q u ' e n sport, toutefois, I ' etu d i a n t doit aussi appre n d re a passer par d essu s l es senti ments n eg ati fs que lui i nspi rent Ie fa i t d ' a voi r rater une consultati o n ou d ' a vo i r I ' a i r stu p i d e . Peut-etre est-ce l a I ' obs tac l e I e p l u s d i ffi ci l e a surmonte r pou r u n i nstructe u r novice. Q u ' a i-j e a ppris, m e d e m a nd e rez-vous, de cette prem i ere ver sion d u cours? Peut-etre s u rtout q u ' i l y a bea ucoup a ti rer d ' u n e experi ence suppl em entai reo D a ns I ' ense m b l e , l a react i o n des etu d i a nts a ete bonne. Les deux q u i travai l l a i e nt a p l e i n tem ps d a ns I ' i nd ustri e ont d ecl a re q u e I e cours l e u r avait ete d ' u n e a i d e d i recte et i m m ed i ate d a ns l e u r trava i l ; c ' est d ' a i l l e u rs u n d e s fa c t e u r s q u i m ' ont i ncite a poursu i v re I ' opera t i o n p l u s l o i n . Ce q u ' o n n o u s a suggere I e p l u s so u vent com m e a m e l i orati on, c ' eta it d ' i ntrod u i re I ' e n reg i stre m ent v i d eo d es psy chodra m es plus t6t, p o u r que l a cl asse a borde l es suj ets d e I ' an xi ete d a ns l es relations i nterper son n e l l es et d e l a c r i t i q u e d es sea n ces de consu ltati on avec plus d e m oti vati on. Les etu d i a nts ont ega l e m ent m a n i feste Ie d esi r d ' u n surc roit d ' exerci ces en sol ution d e problemes stati stiq ues e t nous ont propose d ' en i m a g i n e r e x p resse ment a I ' a i d e de bandes v i d eo. Les deux u n i versita i res - I ' u n mem bre d u d e pa rt e m e n t de m a t h e m a t i q u es e t d e sta t i st i q u e e t d u STALAB d e Queen ' s, I ' a utre d u de- parte ment d e psyc h o l og i e - o nt e g a l ement b i e n reag i . Le u r presence s' est m ontree prec i eu se et n ' a f a i t q u e c o n f i r m e r l e s ava ntages d u travai l d ' eq u i pe. Q u a nd o n e ntreprend d ' ame l i orer ses consu l tations, I ' a i d e d ' u n " rese a u d e s o u t i e n " p e u t etre d ' u n e uti l ite consi d era b l e , comme e l l e peut I ' etre aussi pour ceux q u i d o n n e nt u n c o u rs d e c e g e n re . Outre I ' a p p u i d e tous l es pa rti c i p a nts, j ' a i ega l e m e n t b e n ef i c i e des conve rsati ons te l e p h o n i q u es q u e j ' entrete n a i s reg u l i e r e m e n t avec Dou g l as Zahn su r l es poi nts c r i ti q u es de I ' e n se i g n e m e nt. De fait, n os d i sc u ssi o n s freq u e ntes nous ont ete m utuel l e m ent bene fiques, en ce sens que nous avons m i e u x com pris ce q u ' eta i t la con sultation effi cace et comm ent on l a rendait tel l e . N os proj ets d ' aven i r? A parti r d e septe m bre, j e consa c rera i l a moitie d e m o n ense i g nem ent a l a c o n s u l tat i o n a u S T A T L A B d e Queen 's. J ' a i I ' i ntent i o n d e pro f i t e r d e c et t e o c c a s i o n p o u r e n registrer au magn etoscope m es propres sean ces et d e me serv i r dans I e cours des resul tats d e l e u r ana l yse. J ' e ntends b i e n aussi q u e les etu d i a n ts e n re g i strent cel l es q u ' i l s org a n i sent avec d ' a u then tiques cl i e nts pou r rem pl acer u n e partie d es psychod ra m es , ce q u i aj outera u n e d i m e nsion nouve l l e a l e u r experi ence et a l a m i en ne. E n g u i se d e concl usion, je vous i n c i te a e n v i sa g e r I ' e m p l o i d e c ette m ethode d a n s vos actu e l s cours d e consu l tation ou l a nou vel l e formati on que vous v o u l e z i n a u g u re r d a n s votre d e p a rte m e nt ( I es m i n i steres et l es servi ces i nd ustriels eta nt a m es yeux sur u n p i ed d ' eg a l ite a ve c l es d e p a rte m ents u n i ve rsi ta i res p o u r ce q u i est de I ' appl i c a b i l ite d e l a metho d e ) . Com m e j e me su i s efforce d e vous I e m o ntrer, l es ressou rces ne sont pas d i ffi ci l es a trouver, no- ta m m e n t l es s u b v e n t i o n s , l e s ecrits d e Za h n et son i nstr u cti o n perso n n e l l e , et l es conta cts avec l es i n d i v i d u s d e p l u s e n p l u s nombre u x q u i , com m e m o i , ont experi m ente cette m eth od e . E l l e v a u t v ra i m e nt l a p e i n e q u ' o n I ' essa i e . - References 1 . Z a h n et B o roto, Increa sing Productivity by Resolving Break do wns in Pro fessional In tera c tions, manuscrit inedit, 1 985. 2. McCu l l och, B o roto, M eete r, Pol l a n d , et Z a h n , An Expa nded Approach to Educating Statistical Consulta n ts, A m e rica n S ta tisti can, 1 985. (Allocution prononcee a I 'assem blee generale 1 986 de la Societe statistique du Canada). Stati st i cs : M ath e m at i ca l S pecia lty o r S e pa rate D i sci p l i n e ? by K_ L. Weldon Depa rtment of M athematics and Stati sti cs, Si m on Fraser U n i ve rsity Introduction I n a recent p residential a d d ress to t h e Roya l Statistical S o c i ety, J o h n N e i d e r m a d e t h e fol l ow i n g p o i n t : "If the statistician c a n rightly claim to be interested in the theory and practice of activities in science and technology, we need to ask why so many scientists and technologists believe that statistics has lit tle to offer them in their work. " In an o p e n i n g add ress to t h e Second I nternat i o n a l Confe re n ce o n Tea c h i n g Sta tistics, J i m Z i d e k re m i nded u s t h a t m a n y I m porta nt statist i c a l tec h n i q u es were I n vented by rese a rc h e rs w h o were experts i n fiel ds oth e r t h a n statist i c s , a n d t h a t t h i s sou rce of i n novation i n statistics conti n u es to be prod u ctive tod a y . B ut h e IS concer ned a bo ut t h e res p o n se of today's tea c h e rs of statistics. He says, "All of this leads me to suggest that there is a very realistic possibility that sta tistics will cease to exist. It may flow out through its prim ordial roots b a c k into substantive areas where it will be develop ed in a piece-meal fashion, as in its past, by an army of statistical users rather than statistical scientists. It is incumbent on all of us to resist this process of dissolution, to resist defining our subject out of existence. We can begin by not de fining our curricu lum too narrowly. " T h ese rece n t q u ot e s f r o m N e i d e r ( 1 986) a n d Z i d e k ( 1 986) l e n d a utho rity to an o p i n i o n a r g u e d i n t h i s p a p e r : t h e subj ect o f statist i cs i s u n l oved a n d u n d e r util ized, a n d t h e sou rce of this I g n o m i n y I S the content of t h e s u bj e ct as It h a s been ta u g ht. I present my own a rg u m e n t f o r t h i s v i e w , a n d p r o p ose s o m e c o r r e c t i v e m easu res. I n p a rti c u l a r , I a r g u e f o r t h e treat m e n t of statistics as a sepa rate d i sci p l i n e , and s u g g est that deve l o p m ents to date In t h i s d i recti o n st i l l fa l l s h o rt of the idea l . revels i n m essy a n d/or i n c o m p r e h e n s i b l e m a t h e m ati cs, a nd resu lts i n m essy a nd/o r i n com p r e h e n s i b l e n u m e r i ca l st ate m e nt s . Even r e l a t i v e l y e n l i g h t e n e d n o n -st a t i st i c i a n s a r e skept i c a l of t h e pract i c a l i m por t a n c e o f the m ate r i a l we tea c h in t h e u n iversities. T h i s v i ew i s s o preva l e n t that m a n y t e a c h e rs a cc e pt this s i t u a t i o n a s u n a v o i d a b l e . I f t h i s d e s c r i pt i o n o f t h e d i s m a l v i ew o f statistics a p p e a rs t o be a n ove rstate m e nt, consid e r t h e f o l l ow i n g : 1 . D o y o u r f i rst - c o n t a c t c o n s u l t i n g c l i e nts c o m e to y o u with t h e expecta t i o n t h a t you w i l l h e l p t h e m w i t h t h e i r resea rch. o r i s the i r expectat i o n rather that you will te l l them how to l e g iti m i ze what they h a v e a l ready co n c l ud e d ? 2 . H ow m a n y u n i v e rs i ty g r a d u ates o f m a j o r fields ot h e r t h a n statist i cs consider t h e i r statistics cou rses to h a ve been excit ing a n d relevanP 3 . W h e n d i d you l a st h e a r a b u s i n essm a n say that, befo re h e m a d e a n i m p o r t a n t decision concern i n g h is co m pa n y, h e wa nt ed to d iscuss the m atter with a statistic i a n ) D o d e c i s i o n -m a k e rs i n b u s i n ess e v e r p e r c e i v e decision-m a k i n g to i n c l u d e a d a t a a n a l ysis p h a s e ) 4 . A g r o u p o f e d u cated i n d i v i d u a l s deci d e to d o a su rvey of t h e m e m be rs h i p o f t h e i r association to dete r m i n e g U i d e l i n e s for t h e next year's prog ra m H ow m a n y o f t h e m w i l l t h i n k it a p p r o p r i ate t h a t t h e desi g n o r t h e a n a l y s i s of t h e s u rvey be d o n e by a statist i c i a n) M ost of the i n d i v i d u a ls referred to In t h e a bove q u estions W i l l have h a d one o r m o r e sta t i st i c s c o u r s e s , a n d W i l l h a v e developed a disl i k e o r even a n open sco r n f o r the su bject. Th ese react i o n s to statistics s h o u l d sca n d a l ize us a l l ! H ow is It that a s u bj e ct that h a s a bea r i n g on a l m ost every field of e n deavor, that h a s i ntri g u ed so m e g reat g e n i uses o f t h e sCientific w o r l d . that offers t h e o p po rt u n ity of w h i t e c o l l a r e m p l o y m e n t a n ywhere i n the world, a n d that holds t h e k e y t o m o d e r n i n d u st r i a l s u rviva l , i s s o u n i versa l l y s h u n n e d ? The dism a l image of statistics O n e w a y to J u d g e t h e i m a g e o f statistics i s t o i m a g i n e t h e resu lts o f t h e fo l l ow i n g su rvey : a l l facu lty of a u n i ve rsity a re asked to ch oose the d isci p l i n e they f i n d m ost I nteresti n g , a fter t h e i r o w n d i sci p l i n e . H ow m a n y w o u l d c h oose sta t i st i c s ? Probably very few. N ext w e m i g ht branch out I nto the l a rg e r p rofess i o n a l w o r l d o f e n g i neers, sci e nt i st s , c r i m i n o l o g i sts, a n d n u rses. Are there a n y out there w h o a p pre ci ate t h e i nte l l ect u a l leverage of statist i ca l th i n k i n g ? O r w o u l d n ot m ost profess i o n a l s expre ss t h e o p i n i o n t h a t stat i s t i c s is a n e cessary but certa i n ly d u l l s u bj e ct, w h i c h Is t h e problem with statistics only an i m a ge problem ? I f .t. h e d i s m a l i m a g e o f statistics were o n l y a " p ercept io n " prob l e m , we c o u l d per h a ps I g nore it a n d wa it for p u b l i c e n l i g h te m e nt t o occu r. O r p e rh a ps t h e professi o n c o u l d e n g a g e a n a r m y o f p u b l i c relations experts. B ut the I m a g e p r o b l e m is only a sym pto m of a m o re serious d e f i c i e n c y i n o u r tea c h i n g o f the su bject. wh i c h ste m s from a m i sco ncepti o n : t h e m i sco n ception is that statistics I S a specia lty with i n m athe m atics; that Its ess e n c e 1 5 f o u n d in the d i sci p l i n e of m a t h e m a t i cs; that stat i stics I S m e r e l y a n a p p l i c a t i o n o f m a t h e m at i c s . Rath e r , statistics is a d i sc i p l i n e u n t o itse l f, it i s in ess e n ce t h e scientific m eth o d , a nd m a t h e m atics is m e re l y o n e of t h e i nt e l lectua l tools a va i l a b l e t o c l a r i f y a n d s o l ve p r o b l e m s i n statistics. The treatm e n t of sta t i stics as an " a p p l i cati o n " of m a t h e m atics not o n l y leads to a l l the i m a g e p r o b l e m s j u st m e nti o n e d , b u t i n d uces t e a c h e rs to l i m it t h e i r i n st r u ct i o n to a very n a r ro w port i o n o f t h e disci p l i n e . T h u s t h e te a c h i n g of stati st i cs f r o m a p u r e l y m a t h e m at i ca l basis is i n a p p ro p riate for the d i sc i p l i n e of statistics: i t l e a d s to wides p read m is u n d e rsta n d i n g of the p rac tical v a l u e of statistics, a nd it l e a d s to the o m ission of i n struct i o n i n t h e p a rt s of the basic t h eory o f statistics that h a ppen n ot to be m a t h e m at i ca l in nature. Are non-algebraic aspects of statistics fun da mental to statistical theory? I h a v e o utl i n ed elsew h e r e ( W e l d o n . 1 986) exa m p les of n o n - a l g e b r a i c c o n ce pts t h a t a r e at l e a s t as f u n d a m e n t a l t o statist i c a l t h eory as a re m o m e n t g e n e rat i n g f u n ct i o ns. confide nce i nterv a l s. a n d t tests. O n e way to su m m a ri ze th ese POi nts is to l i st q u esti o n s that a g r a d u a t e of a n inte r m e d i ate u n d e rg r a d u ate cou rse I n sta tistics s h o u l d be a b le to a n swe r : 1 . W h a t a r e c r i t e r i a f o r a c c e pt i n g ass u m pt i o n s o f i n d ependence. l i n ea rity o r n o r m a l ity) 2 . Desc r i b e i n words t h e kind of s i t u a t i o n i n w h i c h " S i m pson's parad o x " m i g ht deceive the u n w a r y . S a m e q u e st i o n f o r " regress i o n tow a rd the m e a n " 3 . W h at I S t h e esse ntial d i ffe r e n ce bet ween a st u d y desi g n from w h i c h o n e ca n i n fer a c a u sa l relati o n s h i p a n d o n e t h a t revea l s o n l y assoc iation of v a r i a b l e s ) 4 . What featu re of a d i stri buti o n d o e s a m e a n m e a s u re that is not m e a s u r e d by a n y oth e r statist i c ) Sa m e f o r sta n d a r d d e v i a t i o n , a n d correlation coeff i c i e n t . Desc r i be t h ese a s p e cts I n words t h a t w o u l d b e u n d e rsta n d a b l e to a n o n -statist i c i a n . 5 . I n a hypothesis test i n g sett i n g . w h a t are t h e l o g i c a l l i n k s between p r i o r bel iefs. pu rpose of a n a l ysis. P-va l u e . sa m p l e s i z e . a n d t h e u lt i m ate conclusions of t h e hypo thesis test7 6. What as pects of a statist i c a l p r o b l e m i n d i cate w h ether data a n a lysis. est i m a t i o n . hypot h esis testi n g . o r so m e co m b i n a t i o n of these strate g i es. is req u i red ? W h e n IS a Bayes i a n a p proach m ost a p p r o p r i a te ) Th ese q u est i o n s a re o n l y exa m p les o f a vast a rea of n o n -a l g e braic aspects of sta tistics. but t h ey do p o i n t to t h i n g s t h a t receive sca nt attention i n m ost statistics c o u rses a n d text b o o k s . N o w a t y p i c a l com m e nt from a m at h e m a t i c a l ly-o r i e nted teacher of statistics wo u l d be t h a t t h e s e issues are t o o soph isti cated f o r a n e a r l y cou rse a n d that t-tests s h o u l d b e l e a r n e d fi rst. But is this rea l l y s e n s i b l e 7 T h e a s pects of t-tests t h at students f i nd f a i r l y easy to l e a r n are a bs o l u t e l y u s e l ess w i t h o u t a n u n d e rsta n d i n g o f w h e n a n y h y p o t h e s i s test ( t o r oth e r) i s a p p r o p r i a t e , w h e n i t s h o u l d be a t-test, a n d what it m ea n s w h e n i t i s d o n e . K n o w i n g when a test o f s o m e sort i s needed i s s u rely m o re f u n d a m e nta l t h a n the calcu lation deta i ls of t h e p a rt i c u l a r test. F u rtherm ore, t o st u d e nts w h o a re not d i rected to a ca reer i n statistics, the n o n - m athematical issue is probably e a s i e r to l e a r n . S o it i s m o re r e l e v a n t a n d e a s i e r t o l e a r n this n o n -m athe m a t i c a l issue t h a n to l e a r n h o w t o do a t-te st. W h y d o a l l textbooks i n e l e m e n ta ry sta t i st i cs a p p a rently i g n o re t h i s ? Perhaps it i s e r r o n e o u s l y t h o u g ht that s u c h n o n - m a t h e m a t i c a l is sues do n ot belong to a n i ntrod u ct i o n to statistics because they are n ot m a t h e m a tical issues. Are the non-m athematical a s pe<ts only appropriate for service <ourses? The u s u a l tra i n i n g of statist i c i a n s be g i n s with a tra i n i n g in m a t h e m a t i cs , i n c l u d i n g the m a t h e m atics o f statistics; the n o n - m a th e m atical aspects are pres u m a b l y lea rned on the j o b. Appre nt i ces h i p w a s t h e o n l y m ethod of tra i n i n g i n m ost p r o f e s s i o n s u n t i l relatively recently, but h a ve w e n o t found t h a t fo r m a l tra i n i n g i s f a r m o re effi cienn If part of stati st i cs m u st be l e a r n ed o n t h e j o b , i t i s d o u btfu l t h a t t h e n o n 3 1 g e b r a i c aspects s u c h a s th ose m e nt i o n e d 3 bove are the best pa rt to be l e f t to a p prentices h i p tra i n i n g . If t h e g e n e r a l ideas Jf h y pot hesis test i n g a re u n d e rstood, say I n the context of a sign test o r a n o r m a l test, would it be s o d i ff i c u lt to p i c k u p a b o o k a n d f i n d o u t a bo u t t h e t-tesP I t ;eem s t o m e that t h e n o n -a l g e b r a i c a s pects Jf statist i c s s h o u l d be i n c l u d e d i n e a r l y ;tat istical c o u rses, whet h e r t h e cou rse is a ;erv i c e c o u rse or a c o u rse f o r a c a r e e r ;tatisticia n . Poss i b l y t h e fa i l u re o f te a c h e r s o f ;tatlstics t o i n c l u d e adeq u ate treat m e nt o f l o n -a l g e b r a i c a s pects o f s t a t i s t i c s i s a :onseq u e n ce of the tea c h e rs ' b e l i e f t h a t ;uch aspects a re n ot p a rt o f t h e s u bj e ct they a re tea c h i n g . B u t it se e m s u n l i k e l y that tea c h e rs of statistics w h o h a v e c o n ; u lt i n g experi e n ce w o u l d a ct u a l l y bel i e ve t h i s . M ost c o n s u lta nts k n ow t h a t i s s u e s ; u c h as " correlation does n ot i m p l y c a u ;ati o n " are a key part o f statist i c a l theory. rhere a re m o re plausible exp l a n ations for )m iss i o n o f n o n - a l g e b r a i c a s p e cts f r o m ;tatistics c o u rse s : 1. T h e r e are powe rfu l i n stit u t i o n a l Jrea s u res i n d u c i n g t h e t e a c h e r t o c o n :entrate o n these a l gebra i c a s pects a t the �xpense of the " soft" concepts. The creation of Statistics d e p a rt m e nts i s o n l y effective i n resisti n g m a t h e m a t i c a l dom i nation w h e n t h e facu lty c h a n g e t h e i r aca d e m i c style accord i n g l y . 2 . T h e tra i n i n g o f t h e t e a c h e r of sta tistics i s proba bly st ro n g in m a t h e m a t i cs a n d wea k i n the n o n - m ath e m at i ca l a spects of statistics. 3 . The m ost p resti g i o u s Stat i st i cs J o u r n a l s e n c o u r a g e content of the m ost m a the m atica l k i n d - there is l i ttle to l e re n ce for specu lati o n , co m m e nt on releva n ce o r i nterp retat i o n , i n these j o u r n a l s . 4. The n o n - a l g e b r a i c a s pects o f statistics a re d i fficult to I n c l u d e in a test or e x a m i nat i o n . E v e n tea c h e rs w h o spend a m p l e t i m e d i scuss i n g c r i t e r i a for the a ss u m pt i o n of i n d e p e n d e n ce w i l l u s u a l l y n ot s e t exa m q u estions in w h i c h t h e stu d e n t w i l l have to use these crite r i a before proceed i n g with a ca l c u lati o n . 5 . When a m a th e m a t i c i a n i s a s k e d t o teach stat is�ics t o st u d e nts w h o are I n e pt or u ntra i ned i n m a t h e m atics, a co m m o n response i s to tea c h a c o u rse d e v o i d o f i ntel lect u a l co ntent. Beca use the tea c h e r rea l i zes that t h e stu d e nts a r e i n c a p a bl e o f u n d e rsta n d i n g even t h e s i m p l est fo r m u l a s , t h e m ate r i a l i s p r e s e n t e d a t t h e g ra d e school level. T h e a ltern ative of tea c h i n g a s e r i o u s , a n d p o s s i b l y u s e f u l , st a t i s t i c s cou rse w h i c h e m p h a s i z e s n o n - a I g e b ra i c as pects, IS seldom considered. T h e i n st i t u t i o n a l f r a m e w o r k f o r i n structi o n I n statistics m ust be c h a nged to e n s u r e t h e f u t u re e f f e ct i v e n e s s of t h e d i sci p l i n e . There m u st evolve a context for the te a c h i n g of stat istics that rec o g n i z e s the i m porta n ce of t h i s d i sc i p l i n e to both science a n d social sc i e n ce , a n d a l so reco g n izes ItS differences from m at h e m atics. O n l y t h e n w i l l t h e d i s m a l v i ew o f stat i s t i c s be g i n t o b e d i s p e l l e d . T h e re m a y w e l l b e a d a y i n w h i c h statist i c i a n s a re societ y ' s h e ro e s . B u t we h a ve a l o n g way to g o . • With all t h e s e i n s t i t u t i o n a l i m p e d i m e nts t o t h e i n c l u s i o n of a f u l l r a n g e o f topics i m porta nt t o statistical theory, it i s n o t s u r p r i s i n g t h a t statistics co u rses are s o na rrowly m at h e m at i ca l i n focus. Condusion Most of the prob l e m s with the c u rrent attitudes i n our soc i ety toward sta t i st i c s c a n be t r a c e d to a s i n g l e p h i l o s o p h i c a l issu e : I s stat i s t i c s a s p e c i a lty o f m a t h e matics, o r I S It a sepa rate d iSCI p l i n e 7 S u re l y the d i sc i p l i n e of stat i s t i c s I n c l u d e s m a n y ideas o f m athem atics, but a l so o f science a n d s c i e n t i f i c m et h o d , psyc h o l o g y o f percept i o n , a n d p sy c h o l o g y o f l e a r n i n g , com m u n icat i o n m odes, I n fo r m a t i o n m a n a g e m e n t , a n d m a n y m i sce l l a n e o u s p r i n c i p l e s h a v i n g l ittle t o d o with m at h e m at i cs p e r s e . It is v e r y h e l p f u l to t e a c h e r s , l e a r n e rs a n d users t o t h i n k o f statistics a s a d i sci p l i n e d i sti n ct from m at h e m atics. T h e t r e a t m e n t o f st a t i s t i c s as a d i s c i p l i n e ca n m a k e a big d i fference to the effective n ess of tea c h i n g in a u n i ve rsity o r c o l l e g e . E va l u ation of facu lty c a n be based o n contri but i o n s to statistics rather tha n to m at h e m atical statistics. Stat isti ca l consu lt i n g w o u l d be d e e m e d a n i m p o r t a n t activity. Te a c h i n g w o u l d g a i n new i m po r t a n c e a s t h e w a y to c h a n g e a tt i t u d e s toward the s u bj e ct, a n d i n crease the use f u l n ess of the s u bj ect. Refere n ces 1 . N e i d e r . J . A . Stat i s t i c s , S c i e n c e a n d Tec h n o logy, Journal o f the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 1 49 : 1 09 - 1 2 1 . 1 98 6 . 2 . We l d o n , K . L . On te a ching the non algebraic aspects o f statistics. Resea r c h Re port No. 86- 1 1 . D e pa rt m e nt of M ath . ematics a n d Statistics, 1 9 8 6 . 3. Z i d e k , J . V. Statistica tio n : the quest for a curriculum. Tec h n i ca l Report. Depart m e n t of Statist i c s . U n i ve rs i t y of B r i t i s h Co l u m b i a . S e pte m be r , 1 98 6 . La stati st i q u e est-e l l e u n e b ra n ch e d e s m a t h e m ati q u es ou u n e d i sci p l i n e d i sti n cte? p a r K. L . Weldon Departement d e m ath e m ati q u es et de stati st i q u e , U n i versite S i m on- Fraser Introduction A I ' occa s i o n du d i scou rs pre s i d e n t l e l q u ' i l p r o n o n c a i t rece m m e n t d e v a n t l a Royal Statistical Society, J o h n N e i d e r s'ex· p r i m a it e n ces term es : "Les statisticiens pretende n t q u 'ils s 'interessent a ux aspects theoriques et pra· tiques de la science et de la technologie. Si ce tte pretention est legitime, iI convient de se demander p o urquoi tant de tech n o · logues e t de savants demeurent sceptiques vis,a·vis de J 'apport coneret de la statisti· que a J'exercice de leur profession ". Pour sa pa rt, J a m es V . Z i d e k profitalt d u d e u x i e m e c o n g res I n t e r n a t i o n a l s u r I ' e n s e i g n e m ent d e l a statist i q u e p o u r n o u s rappeler q u ' u n b o n n o m bre d e s m ethodes statist i q u e s les plus i m p o rta ntes ont ete conc;ues par des chercheurs spe c i a l ises d a n s d ' a utres d isc i p l i n es q u e l a sta t i st l q u e , et q u e cette sou rce d ' e n nch lsse m ent est e n · core tres feconde a uj o u rd ' h u l . Lors d e son a l locution d ' o uvert u re , Z i d e k d isalt: "Tout ceci m 'amene a envisager tres coneretement la possibilite que la statisti· que disparaisse un jour en tant que disci· pline distincte. file p o u rrait fort b i e n retqurner a ses sources prim o rdiales, les sciences appliquees, ou e lle continuerait comme jadis de grandir a u gre des applica· tions, servie par une armee d'utilisa te urs plutot que par une petite troupe de statis· ticiens. /I nous incombe a tous de resister a ce mouve m e nt qui sonn e rait Ie glas de notre profession. Nous pourrions commen· cer par faire preuve de plus de souplesse dans i'elaboration de nos programmes ". Ces pro pos de N e i d e r ( 1 9 8 6 ) et d e Z i d e k ( 1 9 8 6) etayent l a these d e cet a rticle, a savoi r que la statist i q u e est mal a i mee, sous·uti l i see, et q u e cet etat d e choses est i m p u ta b l e au choix traditi o n n e l de la m a tiere dont n o s co u rs s e com posent. J e you· drais exposer ici les m ot i fs q u i s o u s·te n d e n t m o n raison n e m e nt e t s u g g e re r q u e l q u es correctifs. A m o n avis, l a statist i q u e m e rite d ' etre tra itee com m e u n e d i sc i p l i n e a pa rt e n t i e r e , e n co r e q u e n o u s a yo n s bea u c o u p d e chem i n a fa i re a v a nt d ' atte i n d re cet objectif. La statistique a m a uvaise presse Tentons d e m i e u x c e r n e r la p e r c e p tion q u e I ' o n se fait de la sta t i st i q u e e n i m a g i n a nt les res u ltats d e I ' e n q u ete s u i vante: o n d e m a n d e a tous les professeurs d ' u n e u n i v e rs ite de c h o l s i r la d i sc i p l i n e q u ' i ls trouvent l a p l u s i nte ressa nte, a I ' ex ception d e l a l e u r. Com b i e n d ' e n t r e e u x choisiraient l a statist i q u e ) Proba b l e m e nt tres p e u . N o u s p o u r r i o n s a u ssi p o s e r l a q u esti o n a d es m g e n i e u rs, d e s h o m mes d e s c i e n c e , d e s c r i m l n o l o g u e s e t d e s I n f i r m i e res. Y en a-t- i l bea u c o u p parm i e u x q u i a p preclent a s a J u ste v a l e u r I ' i nf l u e n ce d e la p e n see statlst i q u e ) Parions q u e p l u s l e u rs d ' entre e u x c o n s l d e re nt q u e la statistlq u e est u n m a l necessa ire, q u ' e l l e est e n n u y euse, tru ffee de m ath e m a t i q u e s i n i n t e l l i g i bles e t farcie d e c o n c l u s i o n s r e posa n t s u r des ca l c u l s n u m e r l q u es e n i g m at i q u e s . Avo u o ns·l e : l a v a l e u r p r at i q u e d e n otre e n se i g n e m e n t est c o n sta m m e n t mis en d o ute, meme p a r c e u x q u i , sa n s a p p a rte n i r a l a profess i o n , e n o n t u n e b o n n e c o n n a i ssa n c e . D e fa it, cette o p i n i o n e s t S l l a rg e m ent repa n d u e q u e pl u s i e u rs d ' entre n o u s se m b l e n t r e s i g n e s a s u b l r cette situat i o n . S i cette deScription vous se m b l e exa g e ree, posez-vous p l utot les q u est i o n s s u i va ntes: 1 . Les c h e r c h e u r s q u i v l e n n e n t v o u s consulter p o u r l a p re m i e r e fois s' atte n d e nt- l i s a c e q u e vous l e s asslst i e z d a n s l e u r recherche o u v e u l e nt- i l s p l utot q u e v o u s l e g it i m l ez l e s co n c l u s i o n s a u x q u e l l e s i l s sont deja a rr i ves? 2 . Statist i c i e n s m i s a p a rt, c o m b i e n de d i p l o m es u n i ve rsita i res c o n s i d e r e n t q u e l e u rs cours d e statist i q u e ont ete u t i l es et i nte ressa nts) 3 . Avez-vous deja e n t e n d u d i re q u ' u n h o m m e d ' a f f a i res v o u l a i t c o n s u l t e r u n statist i c i e n a v a nt d e p r e n d re u n e decision i m portante) Quand les fondes d e p o u vo i r ressentent-lis I e beso i n d e f a i r e a p pel a u n e a n a lyse d e d o n nees avant d e p re n d re u n e decisi o n ? 4 . S u p po s o n s q u ' u n g r o u p e d e g e n s i n st r u l ts d e c i d e d e m e n e r u n e e n q u ete a u pres des m e m bres d e l e u r a sso c i a t i o n d a n s I e but d e determ i n e r l e s orie ntat i o n s d u prog ra m m e d e I ' a n n ee s u i va nte. Com· b i e n d ' entre eux est l m eront que l a plan i f i c a t l o n d e I ' e n q u e t e et I ' a n a l y s e d e s d o n nees d o i vent etre confiees a u n statis tic i e n ) S e l o n toute vra ise m b l a n c e , l a p l u p a rt de ces perso n nes a u ro nt s u i v i a u m o i ns u n c o u rs d e statist i q u e et a u ront vite fa it d e developper d u ded a i n o u d u m e p r i s p o u r ce sujet. N o u s devrions etre sca n d a l ises d e l e u rs reacti o n s ! P o u rq u oi c e s g e ns-Ia font i l s des m a i n s et des pieds po u r esq u i ve r la statist i q u e , a l ors q u ' e l l e a d es ra m if icati o n s d a n s presq u e t o utes les spheres d u savoir, q u 'e l l e a pass i o n n e ta nt d e g e n i es scientifi q u es, q u ' e l l e ouvre des perspectives d 'e m p l o i presq u e i l l i m itees d e p a r I e m o n d e et q u e la s u rvie de I ' i n d u st r i e m o d e r n e e n depend) La statistique n e souffre-t-e lle q u e d ' u n probleme d'i mage? S i l a m a uvaise reputation d e l a statls t i q u e n 'eta it q u ' u n prob l e m e de p e rc e p t i o n , n o u s p o u rrions sa n s d o u t e f e i n d re d e I ' i g n o re r e n attendant pat iem m e n t q u e I e p u b l ic rea l i se q u ' i l est d a n s s o n tort. A defaut, n o u s pourrlons songer a e n g a g e r u n e p l et h o re d ' experts en relations p u b l i q u es. H e l a s , ce m a n q u e de po p u l a rite est en fait Ie reflet d ' u n e serie use c a r e n ce d a n s n otre f a c; o n d ' e nseig n e r l a sta t l st l q u e . A I ' o ri g i n e de ce probleme se trouve la con cepti o n erro n ee q u e l a statist i q u e est u n e bra n c h e d e s m athematl q u es, u n e specia l i t e q u i repose ava nt tout s u r l a c o n n a l ssa n ce d es m athematiq ues, u n e si m p l e a pp l i ca tion d e s m athemati q u es. Au co ntra I r e , l a statistiq u e est u n e d i sci p l i n e d i st i n cte q U I s ' i n s p i re p r o fo n d e m e n t d e l a m e t h o d e sc i e n t i f i q u e e t dont la m a t h e m at i q u e n ' est q u ' u n d es n o m b r e u x o u t l i s i n t e l l e ct u e l s a u x q u e l s e l l e fait a p p e l p o u r c l a r i f i e r e t re so u d re ses problemes. Consi d e r e r la statis t i q u e com m e u n e a p p l icati o n d e s m athe m at i q u e s , c ' est a l i m e nter les p r o b l e m es d e percepti o n d o nt n o u s p a r i i o n s t o u t a I ' h e u r e . B i e n p l u s , (est i n citer et c o n d ition n e r les statistlciens a lim iter e n ce sens l e u r e n se l g n e m e n t d e l a d i sc i p l i n e . A l a l i m ite, ense i g n e r l a s t a t i st i q u e d ' u n p O i nt d e v u e pu rement m at h e m a t i q u e e q u i v a ut a e n tra h i r I 'esprit. ('est u n c r i m e q u e d e passer sous s i l e n ce l es n o m b r e u x e l e m ents n o n - m a t h e m a t i q u e s q u i c o n st i t u e n t l a base d ' u n e p a rt i e d e s a theorie . De la deco u l e I e m a n q u e d e c o m p r e h e n s i o n g e n e r a l ise d e l a va l e u r p r at i q u e d es m ethodes statlst l q ues. Quelle est i ' i m portance des concepts non algebriques en statistique? J ' a i d o n n e a l i l e u rs (Weldon, 1 986) q u e l q ues exemples de concepts n on-alge b r i q u e s dont I e role e n statistiq u e est to u t a u ssi i m portant q u e les noti o n s d e f o n c tlon g e n e ratrice d e s m o m e nts, d ' i nterv a l l e d e co n f i a n ce o u d e test d e Stu d e nt, pou r ne n o m m e r q u e cel les- I a . Menti o n no n s a titre d ' i l l u stration u ne l i ste d e q u est i o n s a ux q u e l les d e v r a i t sa v o i r r e p o n d re t o u t f i n issa n t a ya nt com p l ete u n c o u rs d e n i vea u i nte r m ed i a i re en statist i q u e : 1 . N o m m e r d e s criteres perm etta nt d e j usti f i e r u n e hypot h ese d ' i n d e p e n d a n c e , d e l i n e a rite o u d e norma l ite. 2 . Decrire e n vos propres m ots une sit u a t i o n ty p i q u e d a ns l a q u e l l e I e p a radoxe d e S i m pson p o u rrait i n d u i r e u n a n a lyste e n e r r e u r . M e m e q u esti o n a p r o p o s d e l a regression vers l a m oye n n e . 3. Q u ' est-ce q u i d i st i n g u e u n sch e m a d 'experience a p a rt i r d u q u e l o n peut d e d u i re I 'exist e n c e d ' u n l i e n c a u s a l , et u n a utre q u i n e p e r m et d e d iscern e r q u e l a prese nce d ' u n e association entre l es varia bles? 4. Q u e l l e est la ca r a ct e r i sti q u e d ' u n e d i stri bution q ue seule l a m oy e n n e p e r m et de m es u re r ? M � m e q u e st i o n e n ce q u i concerne I 'ecart-type e t I e coeffi c i e nt d e correlatio n . Expri m e r votre reponse e n d e s t e r m e s q u i p u i s s e n t rej o i n d re u n n o n i n it i e . 5. Dans I e contexte d ' u n t e s t d ' h y po t h es e , q u e l s sont les l i e n s l o g i q u e s q u i exist e n t e ntre I ' i n f o r m a t i o n a p r i o r i , I e seu i l criti q u e d u test, l a ta i l l e d e I ' e ch a n t i l l o n , Ie m otif de I ' a n a lyse et les con c l u sions q u 'on e n t i re ? 6 . Com m e nt fa it-on p o u r s a v o i r s i o n doit reso u d re u n prob l e m e statist i q u e a u moyen d ' u n e a n a l yse d e donnees, d ' u n test d ' h y pothese, d ' u n e esti m at i o n ou d ' u n e com b i n a ison de ces methodes? D a n s q u e l les ci rconstances I ' a p p roche bayes ien n e est- e l l e l a p l u s i n d i q uee? Ces q u estions sont des exem p i es typi q u es d ' u n e m u l t i t u d e d e co n c e pts n o n a l g e b r i q ues q u i sont i n h erents a l a statisti q ue , m a is sur l esquels on ela bore peu ou pas d a n s l a p l u pa rt des cours et des m a n u e l s d e statist i q u e . Les professe u rs d e sta tist i q u e q u i ont u n e ori entation m ath e m a t i q u e repondent souvent q ue ces q u estions sont trop soph ist i q uees pour q u ' o n p u isse l es a border dans u n cours de base, et q u e d e toute fa�on l e s etudia nts doive nt d ' a bord a p p re n d re a f a i re des tests d e S t u d e n t . M a i s est-ce b i e n raison n a b l e ? A q u o i bon s a v o i r c o m m e n t fa i re u n t e s t d e Student s i o n n e sait pas q u a nd avo i r re cours a un test d ' h y pothese (de Student ou a utre), ni q u e l test e m p l o y e r , ni m e m e co m m e nt I ' i nterpreter? I I est sure m e n t p l u s i m portant d e savo i r q u a n d a p p l i q u e r t e l o u tel test p l utot q u e de m e m o r i s e r l a m a rc h e a su ivre pour s e serv i r d ' u n test p a rt i c u l i e r . D ' a i l l e u rs, les etu d i a nts q U I ne se desti n e n t pas a une carriere e n statisti que a u rant proba b l e m e n t plus de facil ite a sa i s i r les notions non-mathematiq ues. I I est certes p l u s facile, et surtout p l u s pert i n e nt, d e se fa m i l i a riser avec I e ralson n e m e nt 10g i q u e qui sous-te n d l a d e m a rc h e p l utot que d ' a p p re n d re a fa i re un test d e S t u d e nt. P o u r q u o i donc les bou q u i ns elem e n ta i res de statist i q u e ne tien n e nt-lis a uc u n com pte d e ce l a ? J ' a i tenda nce a cro i re q u e c'est pa rce q u e l e s professeurs s ' i m a g i n e n t q u e l e s p ro b l e m es n o n - m at h e m at i q u e s n ' ont r i e n a voir avec un cours d ' i ntrod uc tion a l a statist i q u e j ustem ent parce q u e ces p ro b l e m es n e sont pas d e nature m a thematique. L e s concepts non-mathematiques n'ont-ils leur place que dans les cours de service? La formation traditi o n n e l l e d ' u n sta tisti c i e n est avant tout axee sur les m athe m a t i q u es, y com pris les aspects m athemati q u es d e l a statist i q u e ; c' est pres u m e m e nt s u r Ie m a rc h e d u trava i l q u ' i l se fa m i l i a rise a v e c les conce pts n o n - m a t h e m a t i q u e s . Dans u n passe pas s i l o i n ta i n , i l est vrai q u e I ' o n n e p o u v a it a c q u e r i r l e s r u d i m e n t s d ' u n e p rofession q u ' e n trava i l l a nt co m m e a pp r e n t i . To utefo is, n o u s recon n a i s s o n s a uj o u rd ' h u i I ' efficacite d ' u n e sol i d e for m a t i o n a ca d e m i q u e . S ' i I est vrai q u ' u n e t e l l e formation n e p e u t p a s etre com p l et e , j e doute fort q u ' i l s o i t p re f e r a b l e d ' a p p r i voiser l e s concepts non-m ath e m atiques d e l a statist i q u e e n d e hors d u m i l i e u sco l a i re . U n e fois q u e I ' o n a saisi l a p h i loso p h i e des tests d ' hypothese, d i sons dans I e contexte d ' u n test du s i g n e o u d ' u n test norm a l p a r e xe m ple, est-il si d i ffi c i l e d e p r e n d re u n l i vre p o u r se rense i g n e r s u r I e test d e Stu d e nt ? I I me s e m b l e que les n ot i o n s n o n m athem atiques q u i font p a rtie de l a statis t i q u e devra i e nt �tre e n se i g n e es d a n s l es prem i e rs cours, q u ' i l s'ag isse d ' u n cours d e service o u de concentrat i o n . S i certa i n s p rofesseurs de statist i q u e n e g l i g e nt les aspects non-mathematiques d e l a statist i q u e , c'est poss i b l e m ent pa rce q u ' i l s s ' i m a g i n e n t q u e ces q u e st i o n s n e font pas vra i m ent p a rtie d e l e u r d i sc i p l i n e . Toutefois, i l se m b l e i m p ro b a b l e q u e d e s professeurs de statist i q u e q u i posse d e nt de I ' experience e n consu ltation ajoutent foi a cette croya nce. La p l u pa rt des consu ltants sa v e n t q u e des q u est i o n s du g e n re " I a corre l ation n ' i m p l i q u e pas necessa i r e m e n t u n l i e n de c a u s e a effet" jouent u n role de prem i e r plan e n statist i q u e . I I y a d ' a utres expli cations poss i b l e s a ce p h e n o m e n e , q u i sont p l u s p l a u s i b les ce l l es- I a : 1 . De fortes press i o n s i n stitut i o n n e l l e s i nc itent les professeurs a se concentrer s u r l es aspects a l g e b riques d u sujet a u d et r i m e nt des concepts " m o us " . 2. La formation d ' u n professeur de sta tist i q u e i nc l ut h a b i t u e l l e m e n t u n e forte com posa nte d e m at h e m a t i q u e s et I ' a p prent i ssage des notions non-algebriq ues y est deficient. 3 . Les revues d e statist i q u e les plus pres t i g i e uses exhortent a p u b l i e r des a rt i c l e s d o n t I e conte n u est a ussi mat h e m at i q u e q u e pOSS i b l e . I I y a p e u d e p l ace d a n s ces revues pour de la specu l at i o n ou des com m e ntai res concer n a nt I ' i nterpret a t i o n o u l a v a l e u r des resultats. 4. Les noti o n s non-m a t h e m a t i q u e s q u i I nt e rv i e n n e n t e n statist i q u e s e p r�te n t assez m a l a exa m e n . M e m e l e s professeurs q U i consacrent bea ucou p d e temps a e x p l i q u e r les ci rconsta nces d a n s lesq u e l les I ' hy pothese d ' i n dependa nce est j u stifiee, pou r p re n d re u n exe m p l e , osent rare m ent pose r u n e q u estion a ce sujet a I ' exa m e n . 5. Lorsq u'on d e m a n d e a u n m a t h e m a ticien d'ense i g n e r l a statist i q u e a d e s etu d i a nts q u i ont u n e formation i n a d e q u ate d a n s ce dom a i n e , sa reaction est souvent d e don ner un cours depourvu d e conte n u i nte l l ectu e l . L e professe u r presente l a m a tiere co m m e s ' i l e n se i g n a it a I 'ecole p r i m a i re pa rce q u ' i l rea l ise q u e les etudia nts sont i n ca pa b l es de com prendre les form ules m�me les p l u s e l e m e ntalres. O n considere rarement l a possi b i l ite de d o n n e r un cours de statlst l q u e uti le et seri e u x m ettant e n re l i ef les aspects non-a l ge briques d u sUJet. Lors q u e I'on prend consci e n ce c,l e tou s c e s obstacles i nstitutio n n a l ises q u i e m p� chent I ' i n c l u s i o n d ' u n l a rg e eventa i l d e t h e m es i m porta nts d a n s I ' ense i g n e m e n t d e l a statist i q u e , i l n ' est pas surpre n a n t q u e nos cou rs d e statist i q u e a ie nt u n a r r i e r e g o u t d e m a th e m at i q u e s si pranonce . Conclusion La p l u p a rt des attit u d e s q u e n otre societe c u ltive v i s-a-vis d e l a sta t i st i q u e peuvent s e ra m e n e r a u n e seule q u estion p h i l osop h i q u e : l a statist i q u e est- e l l e u n e branche d e s m at h e m atiq ues, o u est-el l e a u contra i r e u n e d is c i p l i n e d i st i n cte ? I I est evident que l a statistiq u e a fa it sien nes d e n o m breuses i d e es m at h e m at i q u es, m a i s e l l e s ' i ns p i re e g a l e m ent de l a science et d e l a m ethode scientifique, d e l a psycholog i e d e l a perception e t d e I ' a p p rentissage, des modes d e com m u n i cation et de gerance de I ' i nfo r m ation, a i nsi que d e plusieurs princi pes qui n 'ont a p e u pres rien a voir avec les m athematlques. I I serait tres sa l uta i re p o u r les professe u rs, les etu d i a nts et tous l e s util isate u rs d e l a statist i q u e de l a percevoir com me une d i s c i p l i n e d i st i n cte des m athe m atiq ues. Traiter l a statist i q u e com m e u n e d isci p l i n e a p a rt entiere pourra i t fa i re toute la d ifference q ua nt v l e nt I e temps de I 'ensei gner effica ce m e nt dans un college ou u n e u n i ve rslte. O n songerait pe ut-etre enfin a eva l u e r la perfo r m a nce des professeurs e n fo n ction de l e u r cont r i b ution a l a statisti q u e , et non se u l e m e nt a l a statist i q u e m a them ati q u e . La consu ltation pourra it ega l e m ent p re n d re l a p la ce i m portante qui l u i revient. L'ense i g n e m e n t jouerait a l ors u n r o l e n o u v e a u e t d e v i e n d ra i t I e m ote u r d ' u n cha n g e m e nt d ' attitude a I 'egard d e l a d isci p l i n e e t d e son uti l ite. I I f a ut que c h a n g e I e cadre i n stitution nel d a n s l e q u e l evo l u e I 'e nseignement de l a statist i q u e de m a n iere a assurer la matu ration d e notre d i sci p l i n e . II fa ut q u e I e contexte d e I ' e n se i g n e m ent d e l a statist i que evo l u e pour que I'on rea l ise I ' i m por tance d e notre d i sci p l i n e en sciences et e n sci e n ces soc i a l e s e t q u e I'on e n v i e n n e a reco n n aitre en q u o i e l l e se d i sti n g u e d e s m at h e m a t i q u e s . A l o r s s e u l e m e n t pou r r o n s- n o u s conj u r e r I e m a u v a i s so rt q u i fra ppe notre profes s i o n . I I n ' e st p a s i m poss i b l e q u e les statisticiens so i e nt u n j o u r les heros d e l a societe. M a i s ce n ' est p a s pour d e m a i n l a ve i l l e . References 1 . N e i d e r , J . A . Statistics, S c i e n c e a n d Tec h n ology, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 1 49 : 1 09 - 1 2 1 . 1 986. 2 . Weldon, K . L . O n tea ching t h e non algebraic aspects of statistics. Rapport de recherche n o 8 6- 1 1 . Depa rtement de m a thematlques e t de statist i q u e , U n i v e rs i te S i m o n - F raser. 3 . Z i d e k , J. V. Statistication: the quest for a curriculum . R a p p o rt d e rech e r c h e . Departement d e statist i q u e . U n i versite de l a (olom bie-Brita n n i q u e . CAREER OPPORTUNITIES LE BABILLARD DES CARRIERES UNIVERSITY OF GUELPH UNIVERSITY OF ALBERTA Depart m e nt o f Math e m atics and Statistics D e p a rt m e n t of Statistics a n d A p p l i e d Proba bil ity A p p l i ca nts a re i nvited for a te n u re-track position at t h e Assistant o r Associate Professor level i n t h e a rea of Statistics, effective S e ptem ber 1 , 1 98 7 o r ea rl ier. Du t i es w i l l i n volve a com bi nation of tea c h i n g u n d e rg ra d uate a n d g rad u ate level cou rses, research a n d/or con su lti n g . T h e ca n d idate w i l l be expected to cont ri bute s i g n ifica ntly to t h e d e p a rt m e nt's research program e m p h a s i z i n g a p p l i ed statistics, p a rt i c u l a rly i n t h e B i ol og i ca l or Natural S c i e n ce s a n d Ag r i c u lture resea rc h . T h e Department of Statistics a n d A p p l i e d Proba b i l ity i n vites a p pl ications for two te n u re-track posit ions: o n e at t h e Assista n t Professor level ($3 1 , 6 1 2 - $45,340 per a n n u m ) a n d one at the Assista nt/Assoc i ate Professor level ($3 1 ,6 1 2 - $ 5 7, 2 3 6 per a n n u m ) in a n y a rea of Sta tistics a n d/or B iostatistics. E ffective date : J u l y 1 , 1 98 7 . The U n i v e rs i ty o f A l b e rta I S an e q u a l o p p o rt u n ity e m p l oyer, but, in accord a n ce With Ca n a d i a n i m m i g ra tion req u i re m e nts, t h i S a d v e rt i se m e n t IS d i rected to Ca n a d i a n citizens and perm a n e nt reside nts. Send curriculum vitae including names of three referees to: W.R. S m ith, Chairman. Department of Mathematics and Statistics. University of Guelph. Guelph. Ontario. N 1 G 2W1 . The closing date for a p p l ications is J a n ua ry 1 5 1 987. Position subject to final budgetary a pproval. In accordance with Canadian imm igration proce dures, this advertisement is directed to Canadian citi zens and permanent residents. YORK UNIVERSITY, TORONTO De part m e nt of Mathe m at i cs Appl ica nts a re i n vited for o n e or m o re te n u re-track o r l i m ited-term positi ons, ra n k and field o p e n , to beg i n J u ly 1 , 1 98 7 . Appl ica nts s h o u l d have proven a b i l ity o r d e m o n strated pote n t i a l f o r rese a r c h a n d te a c h i n g . S p e c i a l considerati o n w i l l be g i v e n t o ca n d i d ates i n Statistics o r O pe rations Resea rch. Positions a re s u bject to u n iversity a p prova l . Res u m es and at l e a st t h ree letters of recom m e ndation s h o u l d be rece ived by J a n u a ry 1 5 , 1 98 7 . Address all correspondence to: Joan Wick Pelletier. Chair. Depa rtment of Mathematics. 4700 Keele Street. North York. Ontario. Canada M3J 1 P3 York University is implementing a p olicy of e m ployment e quity. Qualified women a n d men are invited to apply. In accorda nce with Canadian immigration requirements, this advertisement is directed to Cana dian citizens and permanent residents of Canada. Interested individuals should send curriculum vitae (including list of publications) and names of three referees to: Dr. J . R . McGregor. Chairman. Department of Statistics and A pplied Proba bility. University of A l berta. Edmonton. A lberta. Canada T6G 2 G 1 . Closing date for applications: J a nuary 1 . 1 987. QUEEN' S UNIVERSITY De p a rt m ent of Mathem atics and Statistics The depa rtment has two posit i o n s a v a i l a ble from J u l y 1 , 1 9 8 7 . One IS a t h ree-yea r renewa b l e (te n u re track) pOSition a n d the oth e r IS a th ree-year Q u e e n ' s Nati o n a l S c h o l a rsh i p w h i c h m i g ht becom e te n u re-tra c k . Cand idates s h o u l d have d e m o nstrated pote nti a l i n re search and teach i n g . O utsta n d i n g ca nd id ates i n a n y f i e l d w i l l b e consi d e re d , but the d e p a rt m e nt is p a rt i c u la rly i nte rested in a p p l i c a nts who work i n Stat istics, Proba b i l ity o r Ana lysis. S a l a ry will d e pe n d o n experience and q u a l ifications. Applicants should send a vita to: Professor L.L. Cam pbell. Head Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Queen's U n iversity Kingston, Ontario K7 l 3 N 6 Applicants should a rrange f o r three letters of re commendation to be sent to the a bove address. At least one letter should com ment on the candidate's teaching ability. Applications should be sent as soon as possible. The closing date for a pplications is J a n u a ry 3 1 , 1 987. In a ccordance with Canadian immigration requi rements, this adve rtisement is directed to Canadian citi zens and permanent residents. Candidates of either sex are equally encouraged to apply. --------��r-- UNI VERSITY O F CALGARY UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY Depart m e nt of M a t h e m atics a n d Statistics F a c u lty of Med i c i n e T h e U n i v e r s i t y of C a l g a r y , D e p a r t m e n t o f Mathem atics a n d Statistics I n v i tes a p p l icati o n s f o r a n Assi sta nt o r Asso c i ate P r ofessor i n Statistics a n d/o r Actu a r i a l S c i e n c e co m m e n c i n g J u l y 1 , 1 98 7 . Duties w i l l i n c l u d e u n d e rg ra d u ate a n d g r a d u a t e level tea c h i n g , i n c l u d i n g l a rg e e n ro l m e nt i ntrod u ctory s e r v i c e co u rs e s . T h e s u c c e s s f u l c a n d i d a t e w i l l be r e q u i r e d t o a ct i v e l y e n g a g e in re s e a r c h a n d to p a rtici pate in the expansion and d eve l o p m e nt of the Act u a r i a l S c i e n ce a n d/or Applied Statistics p r o g r a m s . Cand i d ates i n a l l a reas of statistics w i l l b e g i v e n considera t i o n ; however, prefe re n ce w i l l b e g i v e n to ca nd id ates In a p p l i e d statistics, p a rt i c u l a r l y th ose with tra i n i n g in a ct u a r i a l s c i e n ce o r statistical c o n s u lti n g . A l l q u a l ified i n d i v i d u a l s a re e n co u ra g e d t o a p p l y . I n a c co r d a n c e w i t h C a n a d i a n i m m i g rati o n req u i r e m e nts, p r i ority w i l l b e g iven t o Ca n a d i a n citizens a n d p e r m a n e n t res i d e nts of Ca n a d a . Applications, including a curriculum vitae, three letters of recommendation and a brief description of field of interest, should be sent prior to January 1 2 1987 to: , Dr. J . R . Collins, Chairman Statistitics Appointments Com m ittee Department of Mathematics a nd Statistics. The U niversity of Calgary 2500 U niversity Drive N.W. Calgary. Alberta T2N 1 N4 T h e f a c u lty o f M e d i c i n e a t T h e U n i v e r s i ty o f Ca l g a ry IS d evel o p i n g a m a j o r m u lt i d isci p l i n a ry research thrust in E p i d e m i o l o g y a n d B i osta t i s t i c s . S i g n i f i c a nt o p po rt u n ities are ava i l a b l e for c l i n i c a l co l l a bo r a t i o n a n d f o r c o m m u n i ty st u d i e s . N ew fa c i l i t i e s w i l l be a v a i l a b l e i n early 1 98 8 . Com puti n g power and expertise is well deve l o ped at The U n iversity of C a l g a ry . T h e H e a lth Ca re Resea rch G ro u p o f the Facu lty o f M e d i c i n e , The U n i ve rsity of C a l g a ry, wi l l b e rec r u iting a n u m be r of f a c u lty w i t h a n M . D . a n d / o r P h . D . i n B i osta t i s t i c s . A p p l i ca t i o n s a re i n v i t e d f r o m m e d ica l scie ntists with postdocto ral experience as we l l as from s C i e n t i sts w h o have d e m o n st r a t e d seve r a l y e a rs of prod u ct i ve i n d e pe n d e n t rese a rc h . Seve nty-five percent of the s u ccessfu l ca n d i d ates t i m e w i l l be protected for rese a r c h a c t i v i t i e s . F u n d i n g w i l l be p r o v i d e d on a c o m p e t i t i v e b a S I S f r o m t h e A l b e rta H e r i t a g e F o u n d ation f o r M e d i c a l Resea rc h . S u ccessf u l c a n d idates w i l l be a p po i nted a t a facu lty ra n k p o s i t i o n cons istent with their tra i n i n g and experience. S a l a ry scales are those a p p roved by the U n i versity of C a l g a ry . I n a ccordance with Canadian immigration require ments. priority will be given to Canadian citizens and permanent residents o f Canada. Please submit a curriculum vitae, a brief description of field of interest and three names of referees prior to January 31. 1987, to: Dr. E. J. love. Cha irman Health Care Research Group Department of Com m unity Health Sciences Faculty of Medicine. the Un iversity of Calgary Hea lth Sciences Centre. 3330 Hospital Drive N.W. Calgary, A lberta. T2N 4 N 1 UNIV E RSITY O F WATERLOO UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN ONTARI O Depart m e n t of Statistics and Act u a r i a l S c i e n ce STATLAB The D e p a rt m e nt of Statistics a n d Act u a r i a l S c i e n ce at the U n iversity of Wate r l o o h a s a va c a n cy f o r a n Assista nt Professor o f Statistics. This posit i o n i s c u rrently f u n d ed for a th ree year term beg i n n i n g in J u l y, 1 98 7 Duties i n volve u n d e rg r a d u ate a n d g ra d uate tea c h i n g a n d resea rch , a n d p reference w i l l b e g i v e n t o i n d i v i d u a l s w h ose research i nterests a re i n t h e a re a o f q u a l ity c o n t r o l or i n d u st r i a l a p p l i c a t i o n s o f stat i st i c s . I t i s i ntended t h a t t h i s a p poi ntee wi l l b e actively i n v o l ved i n the recently esta bl ished Wate rloo I n stitute for I m pro v e m e n t In Q u a l ity a n d Producti vity. S a l a ry w i l l be c o m m e n s u rate w i t h expe r i e n ce . I n accord a n ce with Ca n a d i a n i m m i g ration re q u i reme nts, preference w i l l be g i ven to citizens a n d p e r m a n e n t resi d e nts o f C a n a d a . Curriculum vitae and three letters of reference should be sent to: Dr. J. D. Kalbfleisch, Cha irman Department of Statistics and Actua rial Science, U niversity of Waterloo, Waterloo. Ontario, Canada. N 2 l 3 G 1 Statistica l Consu lta nt/A n a l yst posit i o n in u n i versity STATLA B . Consult with rese a r c h e rs from hospitals a n d u n i ve rsity, data a n a lysis, report preparat i o n . M S a n d 2 years experience with facil ity i n statistical c o m p u t i n g (SAS, B M DP, S PSS), c o m puter syste ms, a n d progra m m i n g (FO RTRA N , BASIC). Resume to: N a ncy Korstanje. E m ployment Relations Officer, Room 262. Stevenson-lawson Building. The University of Western Ontario, london. Ontario, N6A 5B8 T h e closing date for a pplications is Ja nuary 3 1 . 1 987. --------��r- Return address / Adresse de retour: Mary E. Thompson, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, U niversity of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada N2L 3G1
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